BMIE Market 92401

San Bernardino County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,659 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±635 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	646 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,932 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	748 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$26,596 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,570 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,097 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$353,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,383 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92401
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	88.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-52.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-68.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	8 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	21 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	25 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	14 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92401. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 21 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	25.3	25	40%	+10.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	13.7	14	35%	+4.8
Market Momentum Score	24.1	24	25%	+6.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 25 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,659	41	40%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	26,596	1	40%	+0.6
Households (ACS)	646	41	20%	+8.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 14 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	35%	+3.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	60.3	8	25%	+1.9
Population (ACS)	1,659	41	20%	+8.3
Median household income (ACS)	26,596	1	20%	+0.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	-33.3	9	30%	+2.8
20-year restaurant growth	-52.4	2	20%	+0.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 6 · Burgers 4 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Filipino 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Quick service 7 · Bar 5 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
5 Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		466 W 5th St Ste E	open
Albertos Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		480 S E St	open
All Pro Smog & Tune	Restaurant (service type not stated)		275 S E St	open
American Hoagies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	370 W Court St Ste E	open
Berlín Resto Bar	Bar	Pizza	San Bernardino	open
Birria & Beer By Escondida Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		168 S E St	open
Burger Point	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	444 W Mill St #2014	open
Burger Time	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	161 Carousel Mall	open
Donut Hut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	408 W Mill St	open
Downtown Bar	Bar		123 N E St Ste B	open
Frankie's Donuts and Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Dessert	Dessert · Sandwiches · Bakery	415 5th St A	open
Gus Junior #14	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	444 W Mill St	open
HETU Sunset Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		San Bernardino	open
Huffarama	Bar		San Manuel Stadium, 280 S E St	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		497 S E St	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		495 N D St	open
Jovi's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	123 N E St	open
King Kebab King Kebab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	370 W Court St	open
Las Conchitas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	168 S E St Ste E	open
Mad Greek	Restaurant (service type not stated)		591 N D St	open
Manna Tacos	Food truck		570 W 4th St Ste 107	open
Molly's Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	350 N D St	open
Noah's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	863 N D St	open
Orange Julius	Quick service		267 Carousel Mall	open
Richie’s Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	591 N D St	open
Roger's Burgers	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	591 N D St	open
SM Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	333 S E St	open
Sterling Investments Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		466 W 5th St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	466 W 5th St Ste E	open
Sunset Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Vegetarian · Filipino		open
The Office Saloon	Bar		123 N E St	open
Viva La Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	455 W 4th St	open
Wienerschnitzel Wienerschnitzel	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	494 S E St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	33	32	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	25	24	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	26	25	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	33	31	11	18	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	26	24	7	15	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	24	22	7	14	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	23	20	8	12	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	23	21	8	13	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	24	21	8	11	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	25	22	9	10	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	23	21	9	10	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	22	19	6	11	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	16	14	5	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	20	17	6	7	4	1	NAICS2007
2009	20	18	6	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	19	17	8	7	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	19	16	6	7	3	3	NAICS2007
2012	18	16	7	7	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	18	15	6	7	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	16	14	6	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	17	15	5	8	2	2	NAICS2012
2016	18	16	4	10	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	10	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	13	3	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	12	3	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	12	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	10	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92401. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
92415	0.3 mi	1	2016
92410	1.7 mi	54	2023
92408	2.0 mi	87	2023
92411	2.3 mi	18	2023
92405	2.8 mi	25	2023
92350	4.0 mi	—
92354	4.5 mi	41	2023
92369	4.7 mi	1	2011

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.