BMIE Market 92405

San Bernardino County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	31,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,068 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,627 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±611 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	28,873 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,604 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,964 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,554 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,489 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±90 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$415,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,625 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92405
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+13.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+8.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-3.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 23–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92405. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.7	70	40%	+27.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.0	70	35%	+24.5
Market Momentum Score	63.9	64	25%	+16.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	31,217	90	40%	+35.9
Median household income (ACS)	66,964	42	40%	+16.9
Households (ACS)	9,627	85	20%	+17.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.0	80	25%	+20.1
Population (ACS)	31,217	90	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	66,964	42	20%	+8.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	13.6	72	50%	+35.9
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	8.7	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

Mexican 14 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 8 · American 7 · Burgers 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Caribbean 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Seafood 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 16 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 9 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 4 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alberto's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1008 W Highland Ave	open
Alpha Pupuseria and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	3970 N Sierra Way	open
Angie's Bakery & Mexican Bread	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	214 W Highland Ave	open
Baker's Drive-Thru Baker's Drive-Thru	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	601 W Highland Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	487 W Highland Ave	open
Causa's Back Yard BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	602 W 36th St	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	996 W Highland Ave	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	996 W Highland Ave	open
Chilibuzzed	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Bakery	813 Colima Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	795 W. Highland Ave	open
Donut Makers	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	393 W Highland Ave	open
El Jardin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	1141 W Highland Ave	open
El Pollo Loco El Pollo Loco	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	758 W Highland Ave	open
El Taco Loro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1303 N E St	open
Elgin & Fagin	Bar		336 W Highland Ave	open
Express Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2305 N Cabrera Ave	open
George's Burgers George's Bar & Grill	Quick service	Burgers · American	715 W Highland Ave	open
Golden Dragon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1042 W Highland Ave	open
Hawaiian BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	996 Highland Ave	open
Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1839 N E St	open
Island Breeze Jamaican Cuisine - San Bernardino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	763 W Highland Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		1141 W Highland Ave	open
Keilani's Sweet Shack	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1875 N Sierra Way	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	808 W Highland Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1081 W HIGHLAND AVE	open
La Fuente Mexican Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Mexican	3990 N Sierra Way	open
La Michoacana Drive Thru	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	265 W Highland Ave	open
Las Patronas Mexican food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	150 W Highland Ave	open
Lesley Bakery 2	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Mexican · Dessert	2296 N Arrowhead Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	525-B W Highland Ave	open
Lnj Food Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3993 N Sierra Way Ste 103	open
Los Reyes	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		2155 N Sierra Way	open
Louisiana Famous Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings · Caribbean	763 W Highland Ave	open
Mariscos el porras	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	92405, San Bernardino, CA, United States	open
Marshall Donuts and Ice Cream	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	3144 N E St	open
Mbm Com Alizz Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3992 N Sierra Way Ste A	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	718 W Highland Ave	open
Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	825 W Highland Ave	open
Mi Casita Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	150 W Highland Ave	open
Mikes Burger Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	940 W Highland Ave	open
Nopal D.F Style Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	265 W Highland Ave	open
Noyes Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	341 W Highland Ave	open
Olive Garden Restaurant Olive Garden Italian Food Restaurant	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Papa Joe’s SmashBurgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	3252 N E St	open
Pizza House Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2433 N Sierra Way	open
Pizza King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1807 N E St	open
Ricos Tacos Antony	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	825 W Highland Ave	open
Rosita's Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1064 W Highland Ave	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	525 W Highland Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	295 W Highland	open
Tacos El Guacamole	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	825 W Highland Ave	open
The Marquis Lounge	Bar		1036 W Highland Ave	open
The Orphanage Bar	Bar			open
The Red Fox	Casual dining · Bar		3142 N E St	open
WaBa Grill WaBa Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	3993 N Sierra Way	open
WG0135 - San Bernardino (N Sierra Way) WaBa Grill	Quick service		3993 N. Sierra Way	open
Wong's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2150 N E St	open
Yum Yum Donuts Yum Yum Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	932 W Highland Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	26	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	23	22	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	27	24	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	26	24	8	13	3	1	NAICS1997
1999	25	23	7	13	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	27	24	5	15	4	2	NAICS1997
2001	30	27	6	17	4	2	NAICS1997
2002	25	23	7	12	4	1	NAICS1997
2003	25	23	8	11	4	1	NAICS2002
2004	26	25	9	13	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	26	25	8	14	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	31	30	11	16	3	1	NAICS2002
2007	28	27	10	14	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	30	28	7	17	4	2	NAICS2007
2009	27	25	7	16	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	23	21	4	15	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	22	21	4	15	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	26	24	4	17	3	1	NAICS2012
2013	21	20	3	15	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	20	18	3	13	2	2	NAICS2012
2015	22	20	4	15	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	23	21	4	16	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	21	19	3	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	22	4	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	20	3	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	21	3	13	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	23	3	14	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	24	3	15	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	25	4	16	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92405. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
92411	2.1 mi	18	2023
92401	2.8 mi	10	2023
92415	2.9 mi	1	2016
92410	3.2 mi	54	2023
92404	4.3 mi	61	2023
92408	4.7 mi	87	2023
92369	4.7 mi	1	2011

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.