BMIE Market 94116

San Francisco County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	43,791 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,716 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	15,476 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±738 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	43,698 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	16,283 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$158,921 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,583 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±264 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,502,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50,088 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	80 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94116
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-2.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+9.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+37.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+110.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	92 (range 83–101) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	96 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	40 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94116. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	95.7	96	40%	+38.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.7	68	35%	+23.7
Market Momentum Score	40.0	40	25%	+10.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 96 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	43,791	95	40%	+38.1
Median household income (ACS)	158,921	97	40%	+38.8
Households (ACS)	15,476	94	20%	+18.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	9.6	54	35%	+18.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.3	42	25%	+10.5
Population (ACS)	43,791	95	20%	+19.1
Median household income (ACS)	158,921	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-2.4	25	50%	+12.4
10-year restaurant growth	9.6	54	30%	+16.1
20-year restaurant growth	37.9	57	20%	+11.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (107)

By cuisine

Chinese 22 · Asian 18 · Coffee 14 · Pizza 10 · Italian 8 · Japanese 7 · Sandwiches 7 · American 6 · Bakery 6 · Sushi 6 · Tea / bubble tea 6 · Korean 5 · Dessert 4 · British / Irish pub food 3 · Mexican 3 · Noodles / ramen / pho 3 · Seafood 3 · Thai 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · European 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Burgers 1 · French 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 69 · Bar 15 · Café 12 · Coffee shop 8 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Specialty food shop 4 · Delivery-focused 2 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
8 Immortals Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1433 Taraval St	open
After Hours Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	3044 Taraval St	open
Apres Vous	Restaurant (service type not stated)	European	345 Taraval St	open
Arts Tv Service Center Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2149 Taraval St	open
Avenues San Francisco	Coffee shop	Coffee	3606 Taraval St	open
Banhwich	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Sandwiches · Asian	1105 Taraval St	open
Bar on the Vine	Bar		2043 30th Ave	open
Brothers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · Indian	3627 Taraval St #3629	open
California Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	719 Taraval St	open
Chalos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	2240 Taraval St	open
ChouChou French Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	400 Dewey Blvd	open
Dim Sum Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2237 Taraval St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3116 Noriega Street	open
Dumpling Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	1935 Taraval St	open
Dumpling Zone	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	408 Dewey Blvd	open
E &amp S Sunset Group, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1201 Vicente St	open
Eagle Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1712 Taraval St	open
El Antigua Cafe Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1131 Taraval St	open
El Burrito Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1601 Taraval St	open
El Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	1400 Taraval St	open
F&r Noodle Bar Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1155 Taraval St	open
Fiery Hot Pot Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1626 Taraval St	open
Foam Tea House	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1745 Taraval St	open
George's Zoo	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2560 Sloat Blvd	open
Golden Boy Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1447 Taraval St	open
Grandma's Saloon	Bar		1016 Taraval St	open
Grubbin	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1404 Taraval St	open
Guilin Rice Noodles House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	901 Taraval St	open
Han Bat Korean Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Korean · Asian	2001 Taraval St	open
Happy Family Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1042 Taraval St	open
Hotline	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean	3560 Taraval St	open
Hotpot Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1626 Taraval St	open
House of Pancakes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian · American	937 Taraval St	open
Izakaya Umai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	22 Plaza St	open
JANDii	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1100 Taraval St	open
Java Beach At The Zoo	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	2650 Sloat Blvd	open
Just Won Ton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	1241 Vicente St	open
Karl's Beacon	Bar		1355 Taraval St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1150 Taraval Street	open
King of Thai Noodle Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	1541 Taraval St	open
Kingdom Of Dumplings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1713 Taraval St	open
La Linda	Casual dining · Bar		2255 Taraval St	open
Lasagneria Babbo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1994 37th Ave	open
Little Aloha	Dessert	Hawaiian / Pacific	1115 Taraval St	open
Lost and Found Cocktail Bar	Bar		1439 Taraval St	open
Lou's Cafe Lou's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches	1508 Taraval St	open
Maillards	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	37th Ave	open
Mango Medley	Dessert	Dessert	339 Taraval St	open
Marco Polo Italian Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1447 Taraval St	open
Milktopia	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Coffee shop · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1139 Taraval St	open
Ming's Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2129 Taraval St	open
Mr Bread Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1018 Taraval St	open
Mr Szechuan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	890 Taraval St	open
New Taraval Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	1054 Taraval St	open
NoodlePanda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1055 Taraval St	open
North Beach Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3054 Taraval St	open
Obriens Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1940 Taraval St	open
Ocean Malasada Co.	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	2433 Quintara St	open
Old Mandarin Islamic Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Chinese · Asian	3132 Vicente St	open
Old Pier Hong Kong BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1033 Taraval St	open
Parkside Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		1940 Taraval St	open
Pasquale's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2640 Sloat Blvd	open
Pirro's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2244 Taraval St	open
Pizzaro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	800 Taraval St	open
Porky Wow!	Quick service · Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	1101 Taraval St	open
Quarters Teahouse	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1111 Taraval St	open
Riji Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	1155 Taraval St	open
Ristorante Marcello	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2100 Taraval St	open
Riverside Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Seafood	1201 Vicente St	open
Rolling Out	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	1722 Taraval St	open
S & E Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2406 19th Ave	open
San Francisco Wine Trading Company	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		250 Taraval St	open
Seniores Pizza	Delivery-focused	Pizza · Italian	2415 19th Ave	open
Shandong Deluxe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1042 Taraval St	open
Shannon Arms Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	915 Taraval St	open
Sherpa House SF	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Chicken / wings	733 Taraval Street	open
Smile House Cafe	Café	Coffee · Chinese · Asian	1030 Taraval St	open
Stix	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Korean · Hot dogs	1155 Taraval St	open
Strada Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1115 Taraval St	open
Streamline Coffee & Kitchen	Café	Coffee	3560 Taraval St	open
Sunset's Best Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chinese · Asian	3060 Taraval St	open
Super Cue Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1139 Taraval St	open
Sushi Zen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1041 Taraval St	open
SushiRaw #4	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	901 Taraval St	open
Sweet Passion Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	3020 Taraval St	open
Szechuan Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	917 Taraval St	open
Taqueria el Sol	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	901 Taraval St	open
Taraval Okazu Ya Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1735 Taraval St	open
TEAZO	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1050 Taraval St	open
Tennessee Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1128 Taraval St	open
The Deli King	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1143 Taraval St	open
The Dog Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	1404 Taraval St	open
The Four Deuces	Bar	British / Irish pub food	2319 Taraval St	open
The Gold Mirror	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	800 Taraval St	open
The Riptide	Bar		3639 Taraval St	open
The Spot Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Korean	2325 Taraval St	open
Ultrabrite Dental Solutions Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2299 19th Ave	open
Underdogs Too	Bar	Mexican	3600 Taraval St	open
Vanida Thai Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	3050 Taraval St	open
Victor's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	719 Taraval St	open
Viet Quan Vietnamese Noodle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1757 Taraval St	open
Welcome Coffee & Goods	Coffee shop	Coffee	425 Taraval St	open
White Cap White Cap	Bar		3608 Taraval St	open
Win's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3040 Taraval St	open
Yoji Sushi House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	406 Dewey Blvd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	730 Taraval St	open
Uncle Joe	Other	Sandwiches	2101 21st Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	44	38	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	43	38	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	53	46	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	58	52	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1998	52	46	34	9	3	4	NAICS1997
1999	55	48	34	9	5	5	NAICS1997
2000	55	49	33	10	6	4	NAICS1997
2001	60	54	39	10	4	4	NAICS1997
2002	60	51	32	16	3	5	NAICS1997
2003	66	58	34	21	3	5	NAICS2002
2004	69	61	35	23	3	4	NAICS2002
2005	69	62	39	20	3	4	NAICS2002
2006	74	64	40	20	4	6	NAICS2002
2007	63	56	34	18	4	5	NAICS2002
2008	62	57	35	17	5	4	NAICS2007
2009	70	63	37	17	9	5	NAICS2007
2010	75	66	41	14	11	5	NAICS2007
2011	75	66	40	17	9	5	NAICS2007
2012	71	63	36	20	6	5	NAICS2012
2013	82	73	46	19	7	6	NAICS2012
2014	79	71	43	20	8	5	NAICS2012
2015	80	72	42	18	11	6	NAICS2012
2016	83	73	41	20	11	7	NAICS2012
2017	93	83	47	19	16	7	NAICS2017
2018	91	82	46	20	15	7	NAICS2017
2019	96	88	51	21	16	7	NAICS2017
2020	89	80	45	18	16	7	NAICS2017
2021	96	87	51	19	17	6	NAICS2017
2022	93	81	46	20	15	7	NAICS2022
2023	91	80	48	19	13	7	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 94116. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
94122	1.0 mi	199	2023
94132	1.6 mi	71	2023
94127	1.7 mi	48	2023
94121	2.4 mi	108	2023
94131	2.4 mi	30	2023
94118	2.7 mi	154	2023
94117	2.8 mi	126	2023
94114	2.9 mi	140	2023
94112	2.9 mi	107	2023
94129	3.8 mi	9	2023
94115	3.9 mi	140	2023
94110	3.9 mi	330	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.