BMIE Market 94579

Alameda County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,017 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,349 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,628 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±451 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,571 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,019 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$99,040 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,179 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,139 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±436 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$850,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94579
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+14.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+39.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+95.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+225.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	47 (range 44–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	75 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94579. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.4	80	40%	+32.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.9	69	35%	+24.1
Market Momentum Score	75.4	75	25%	+18.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,017	81	40%	+32.6
Median household income (ACS)	99,040	80	40%	+32.2
Households (ACS)	6,628	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	39.3	77	35%	+26.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.5	39	25%	+9.6
Population (ACS)	20,017	81	20%	+16.3
Median household income (ACS)	99,040	80	20%	+16.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	14.7	73	50%	+36.4
10-year restaurant growth	39.3	77	30%	+23.0
20-year restaurant growth	95	80	20%	+15.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (65)

By cuisine

Chinese 14 · Asian 12 · American 6 · Tea / bubble tea 5 · Coffee 4 · Italian 4 · Noodles / ramen / pho 4 · Pizza 4 · Vietnamese 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Sushi 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Filipino 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Quick service 11 · Bar 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
991 Club	Bar		991 Manor Blvd	open
Aap Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		699 Lewelling Blvd	open
Allie Daddy's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	15032 Farnsworth St	open
Ameriasia Food Corportation Dba 88 Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15056 Farnsworth St	open
Asian Delight	Quick service		699 Lewelling Blvd	open
Boba Panda	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	15000 Farnsworth St	open
Bobo Drinks	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	699 Lewelling Blvd Ste 182	open
Chicken Pho Ga 88 Noodles Soup and Rice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Chinese · Chicken / wings	15040 Farnsworth St	open
Chinese Bakery & Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Chinese · Sandwiches · Bakery	981A Manor Blvd	open
Chinese Super 5 Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	555 Lewelling Blvd	open
Clancy's Ice Cream Parlour	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1234 Manor Blvd	open
Claws And Craws	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	967 Manor Blvd	open
Cornerstone Regional Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1972 Lewelling Blvd	open
Craw Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	15040 Farnsworth St	open
D T Dim Sum & Tea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1970 Lewelling Blvd	open
Dao Artisan Noodle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho	15032 Farnsworth St	open
El Portal Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2028 Lewelling Blvd	open
Fusion Delight	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	699 Lewelling Blvd Ste 212	open
Ga Hing	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	983 Manor Blvd	open
Gogo Sushi & Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	699 Lewelling Blvd Ste 112	open
Great Wall Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15048 Farnsworth St	open
Green House Market GNC Live Well	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	699 Lewelling Blvd	open
Happy Lemon Happy Lemon NYC	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	699 Lewelling Blvd Ste 35	open
Hawaiian Grill Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Hawaiian / Pacific	699 Lewelling Blvd #184	open
Home Made Italian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2025 Toronto Ave, san leandro, CA 94579	open
In and Out In-N-Out Merchandise	Quick service	Burgers	15575 Hesperian Blvd	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	15575 Hesperian Blvd.	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		699 Lewelling Blvd Ste 120	open
Johnny's	Bar		991 Manor Blvd	open
Kasper's Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	699 Lewelling Blvd #104	open
Licensed 2 Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar			open
Lit Lounge	Bar		15325 Washington Ave	open
Loard's Ice Cream at The Greenhouse	Quick service · Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	699 Lewelling Blvd	open
Mama Lupe's Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	15033 Farnsworth St	open
Manor Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	526 Manor Blvd	open
Manor Point Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · BBQ · American	15052 Farnsworth St	open
Marina Pizza Parlor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2004 Lewelling Blvd	open
Minami Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	699 Lewelling Blvd	open
Mon Cafe	Café	Coffee	971 Manor Blvd	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	699 Lewelling Blvd	open
Nothing Bundt Cakes Nothing Bundt Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	699 Lewelling Blvd #210	open
Palapa San Leandro	Casual dining · Bar			open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	699 Lewelling Blvd. #296	open
Pho T & T	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	2050 Lewelling Blvd	open
Pistahan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · Asian	967 Manor Blvd	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Porky's Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1221 Manor Blvd	open
Quickly	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	15000 Farnsworth St	open
Ramen101	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	699 Lewelling Blvd #178	open
Roast Pork	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian		open
Ryan's	Bar		15009 Farnsworth St	open
Saigon House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	15001 Farnsworth St	open
Sharetea San Leandro Sharetea Malaysia	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	699 Lewelling Blvd	open
Special Hainan Chicken 和记海南鸡饭	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Chicken / wings · Asian	699 Lewelling Blvd	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	699 Lewelling Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Sandwiches · Dessert	15555 Hesperian Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	699 Lewelling Blvd Ste 108a	open
Super Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	14988 Farnsworth St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	15501 Hesperian Blvd	open
Taishan BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1960 Lewelling Blvd	open
Urban Ka-re House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		699 Lewelling Blvd Ste 104	open
Victorian Pub	Bar		15325 Washington Ave	open
Viet Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	967 Manor Blvd	open
Yaoyao姚姚酸菜魚	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Chinese · American	699 Lewelling Blvd	open
海记Hometown Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	971 Manor Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	12	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	18	12	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	22	18	6	10	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	21	18	5	10	3	2	NAICS1997
2000	23	22	5	14	3	1	NAICS1997
2001	22	21	6	12	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	23	22	4	15	3	1	NAICS1997
2003	22	20	3	15	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	22	20	5	12	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	24	20	7	9	3	4	NAICS2002
2006	23	22	9	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	22	21	10	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	28	25	13	9	1	3	NAICS2007
2009	28	26	14	10	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	29	27	15	11	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	34	31	17	12	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	30	27	12	13	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	31	28	14	13	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	28	25	12	12	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	32	29	11	15	2	3	NAICS2012
2016	36	31	14	15	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	34	30	15	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	39	34	16	16	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	39	35	15	16	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	40	37	16	16	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	42	40	18	17	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	42	38	18	14	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	42	39	17	17	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 94579. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
94580	1.4 mi	35	2023
94577	2.2 mi	143	2023
94578	2.2 mi	57	2023
94603	3.8 mi	16	2023
94541	3.9 mi	109	2023
94545	4.3 mi	72	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.