BMIE Market 94580
Alameda County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 29,420 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,669 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,992 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±484 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 27,152 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,958 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $110,729 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,676 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±97 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $846,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,018 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 35 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94580 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +52.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 44 (range 41–47) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94580. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 86.9 | 87 | 40% | +34.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 80.9 | 81 | 35% | +28.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 72.4 | 72 | 25% | +18.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 29,420 | 88 | 40% | +35.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 110,729 | 87 | 40% | +34.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,992 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 52.2 | 85 | 35% | +29.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.9 | 65 | 25% | +16.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 29,420 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 110,729 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 16.7 | 75 | 50% | +37.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 52.2 | 85 | 30% | +25.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 25 | 49 | 20% | +9.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (69)
By cuisine
Asian 9 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 8 · Mexican 8 · Bakery 7 · Chinese 6 · Pizza 6 · American 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Japanese 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · BBQ 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Filipino 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Quick service 10 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Café 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Other 2
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amatlan De Cañas Nayarit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | open | |
| Avila's Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 16841 Meekland Ave | open |
| Bill Gates | Quick service | BBQ | 50 E Lewelling Blvd | open |
| Black Angus Steakhouse Black Angus Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 15800 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Boba Run | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café · Bakery | Tea / bubble tea · Dessert · Coffee | 15 E Lewelling Blvd | open |
| Boriqua Kitchen | Food truck | open | ||
| Burger King | Quick service | 15701 Lorenzo Ave | open | |
| Cafe Lorenzo | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1403 Bockman Rd | open |
| Cai You Kee B.B.Q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Chinese · Asian | 18002 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Cali Nutrition Healthy Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 16846 Meekland Ave | open |
| Chef Kwong | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 754 Bockman Rd | open |
| Classic Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 15927 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Conway Freight Lines Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15741 Railroad Ave | open | |
| D E Metal Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15900 Worthley Dr | open | |
| Dim Sum House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 754 Bockman Rd | open |
| Dulceria Chamoy | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Dessert · Juice / smoothies | 18060 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| FitFuel Meals | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 1124 Elgin St | open |
| Flavor Of India | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 15930 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Fresh Pizza Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 15829 Channel St | open |
| Frodo Joe's Coffee & Tea | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 17665 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Gala Bakery | Coffee shop · Bakery · Café | Coffee · Bakery | 1432 Via Laqua | open |
| Golden West Paper Converting | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2480 Grant Ave | open | |
| Hong Kong Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 17850 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Hong Kong Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 754 Bockman Rd | open | |
| Hunan Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 17383 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Ichi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 15828 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 17550 Hesperian Blvd | open | |
| Kabob Point | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern | 570 Paseo Grande | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 17630 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Kusinera | Café · Quick service | Filipino · Coffee | 15 E Lewelling Blvd | open |
| La Panda by Christopher | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 631 Grant Ave | open |
| Lee's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 35 E Lewelling Blvd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 17900 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Loard's Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 15844 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Manor Lounge | Bar | 18250 Hesperian Blvd | open | |
| Mariscos Pueblo Culichi 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Mexican | 520 Vía Mercado | open |
| Marita Pies | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 18070 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Mo's Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Hawaiian / Pacific | 550 Via Mercado | open |
| New York Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 39 E Lewelling Blvd | open |
| Niche's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 15922 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Oh Fish Sushi & Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 17852 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Paleteria El Plebe | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 18350 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Papa Pancho's Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 15939 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Peking Garden Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Chinese · American | 15950 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Pho Seven | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 18050 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Pinoy's Place Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian | 676 Bockman Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 15922 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 17555 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Pupusería El Girasol | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 18200 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Quickly | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 17940 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| R & D Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 15813 Channel St | open |
| Ros Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 15918 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 15960 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 15600 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 18030 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 15701 Lorenzo Ave | open |
| Sushi Valley | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 17852 Hesperian Blvd # 3037 | open |
| Taco Bell | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 18502 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Tacos Blu3 Diamond | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | E Lewelling Blvd | open |
| Tao's Fresh | Juice, smoothie, tea | Asian · Tea / bubble tea · BBQ | 15809 Channel St | open |
| Taqueria Camino Real | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 15568 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Taqueria El Mezcal | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 18502 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Teriyaki City Grill - San Lorenzo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Japanese · Asian | 488 Lewelling Blvd | open |
| TipTop Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 391 Lewelling Blvd | open |
| Too Good Gourmet | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2380 Grant Ave | open |
| Tyson Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 2411 Baumann Ave | open | |
| Ultimate Technology Solutions Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 676 Bockman Rd Ste B | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 17435 Hesperian Blvd | open |
| Wet lounge | Bar | 18250 Hesperian Blvd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 33 | 28 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 25 | 21 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 32 | 29 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 27 | 24 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 24 | 5 | 16 | 3 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 26 | 24 | 6 | 14 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 28 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 18 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 35 | 30 | 6 | 18 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 32 | 29 | 6 | 19 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 30 | 27 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 16 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 25 | 24 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 27 | 27 | 9 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 28 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 27 | 25 | 8 | 15 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 23 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 27 | 25 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 28 | 26 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 31 | 29 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 35 | 30 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 38 | 32 | 9 | 16 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 37 | 31 | 11 | 16 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 41 | 36 | 14 | 17 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 36 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 39 | 35 | 17 | 15 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2022 |