BMIE Market 94602
Alameda County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 31,759 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,496 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±472 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,329 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,498 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $122,263 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,413 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,996 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,129,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,393 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 46 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94602 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +4.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +84.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +64.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 48 (range 43–54) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94602. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 90.4 | 90 | 40% | +36.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67.2 | 67 | 35% | +23.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 62.3 | 62 | 25% | +15.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 31,759 | 90 | 40% | +36.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 122,263 | 91 | 40% | +36.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,496 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 4.6 | 49 | 35% | +17.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.5 | 55 | 25% | +13.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 31,759 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 122,263 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.0 | 64 | 50% | +31.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 4.6 | 49 | 30% | +14.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 84 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (75)
By cuisine
Coffee 10 · American 9 · Asian 8 · Mexican 7 · Chinese 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Italian 4 · Burgers 3 · Caribbean 3 · Dessert 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · Brazilian 1 · Filipino 1 · Korean 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Bar 8 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 3 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/4 Pound Giant Burgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2055 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| 2101 Club | Bar | 2101 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| 3 Seasons Thai Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1506 Leimert Blvd | open |
| Banana Blossom Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4228 Park Blvd | open | |
| Bellanico Restaurant and Wine Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 4238 Park Blvd | open |
| Blackberry Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 4240 Park Blvd | open |
| Bombera | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 3459 Champion St | open |
| Borinquen Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1531 E 31st St | open | |
| BorinquenSoul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 2020 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Boriqua Kitchen | Food truck | Caribbean | open | |
| Cafe Umami | Café | Coffee | 2224 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Caffe Diem | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2224 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4239 Park Blvd | open |
| China Gourmet Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3407 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Cybelle's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3465 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| D.Monaghans On The Hill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2820 Mountain Blvd | open |
| Diggery Inn | Casual dining · Bar | 4212 Park Blvd | open | |
| Dimond Cafe | Café | Coffee | 3430 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Dimond Slice Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Vegetarian | 2208 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Family Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2807 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Flavor Brigade | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3540 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Flower Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2033 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Fusion Kitchen Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3009 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| gins baked goods | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2542 Wilbur St | open |
| Grand Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3033 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Grand Lake Kitchen Grand Lake Kitchen | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Coffee | 2042 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Hive, the place to bee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2139 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Jade Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2531 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Kasper's Hot Dogs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2551 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| King Kong Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · BBQ | 3421 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| kitchenMac | Quick service | 2818 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| L'acajou Bakery & Cafe | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 5020 Woodminster Ln | open |
| La Farine | Bakery | Bakery | 3411 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| La Hacienda Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2045 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| La Perla Puerto Rican Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 3409 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2218 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Lounge 3411 | Bar | 3411 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Lucky Three Seven | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian · American | 2868 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Ly-Luck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3537 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Marzano | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 4214 Park Blvd | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 2208 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Mohka House | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2139 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Oaktoberfest in the Dimond | Bar | MacArthur Blvd &, Fruitvale Ave | open | |
| Ole Ole Burrito Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 2216 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Park Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 4218 Park Blvd | open |
| Pastino's Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4207 Park Blvd | open |
| Pattys & Buns Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 2852 Mountain Blvd | open |
| Paulista Brazilian Café, Kitchen and Taproom | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Brazilian · Latin American (other) · Breakfast | 4239 Park Blvd | open |
| Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3401 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Rayman's Nudough | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 2141 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Red Boy Pizza On Leimert | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1500 Leimert Blvd | open |
| Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2045 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Romano Pizza Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2028 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2854 Mountain Blvd | open |
| Rumbo al Sur | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 4239 Park Blvd, Oakland, CA 94602 | open |
| Shaan Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 3434 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Shanvi indian kitchen & grocery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 3658 Lincoln Ave | open |
| SmOakring BBQ&Catering | Catering | BBQ · American | 2020 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Soon's Cocktail Lounge | Bar | 3449 Fruitvale Ave | open | |
| Southern Cafe At 2000 Macarthur | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2000 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3550 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Sushi Park | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4209 Park Blvd | open |
| Taqueria El Cruzero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1309 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Taqueria Los Comales | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2105 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| The Bay Leaf | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2000 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| The Food Foundry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean | 2818 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| The Saint Sandwich Shop | Other | Sandwiches | 3016 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| The Veg Hub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2214 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Tomsa Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 3400 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Ultimate Grounds Et Al | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4225 Park Blvd | open |
| Wawa Thai Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 3009 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Weslo's | Specialty food shop · Dessert · Quick service | Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2825 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Willows & Pine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3525 Fruitvale Ave | open |
| Wing Wah | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Chinese | 3009 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Tongan Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2818 MacArthur Blvd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 33 | 28 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 31 | 28 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 37 | 32 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 39 | 34 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 32 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 32 | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 29 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 32 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 29 | 27 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 28 | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 32 | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 29 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 36 | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 41 | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 42 | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 49 | 44 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 51 | 44 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 43 | 39 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 44 | 39 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 48 | 42 | 19 | 15 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 49 | 43 | 22 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 50 | 44 | 23 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 53 | 45 | 21 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 48 | 43 | 20 | 17 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 55 | 50 | 25 | 18 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 46 | 22 | 20 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |