BMIE Market 94605
Alameda County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 44,103 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,014 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 16,594 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±659 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 39,016 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 16,360 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $106,068 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,457 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,902 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $849,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,791 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94605 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -4.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -11.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +9.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -28.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 29 (range 23–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 25 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94605. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.0 | 91 | 40% | +36.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.8 | 65 | 35% | +22.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 24.8 | 25 | 25% | +6.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 44,103 | 95 | 40% | +38.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 106,068 | 85 | 40% | +33.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 16,594 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -11.5 | 17 | 35% | +6.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 5.2 | 91 | 25% | +22.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 44,103 | 95 | 20% | +19.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 106,068 | 85 | 20% | +16.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 25 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -4.2 | 23 | 50% | +11.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -11.5 | 17 | 30% | +5.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 9.5 | 39 | 20% | +7.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (83)
By cuisine
American 16 · Dessert 9 · Mexican 9 · Coffee 7 · Chicken / wings 6 · Chinese 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · BBQ 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Halal / kosher 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Seafood 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Thai 2 · African 1 · Caribbean 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Quick service 17 · Dessert 9 · Café 6 · Bakery 5 · Bar 5 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 523 Southern Halal BBQ and Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher | 8012 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| 523moonlitesouthernhalalcafe Pull-up Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Cajun, Creole, Southern · Coffee | 5907 Foothill Blvd | open |
| 523Southerhernhalal The Drank Lady | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 8012 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| A Taste of Africa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 6638 Bancroft Ave | open |
| Ali Baba Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 10151½ Foothill Blvd | open |
| Aqua Fresh Seafoods | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 10823 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Balance Wellness | Dessert | Dessert | 10807 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Bbq Express | Quick service | 8929 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Bls Soup & Sandwich | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 10901 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Bojax Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 6018 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7200 Bancroft | open |
| Cafe La Fong's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | American · Coffee | 5885 Bancroft Ave | open |
| Califas Tacos | Food truck | 2226 82nd Ave | open | |
| Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr. | Quick service | Burgers · American | 10770 Macarthur Blvd. | open |
| Charlie's Las Palmas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 5941 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| China Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 7633 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Church's Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7301 Bancroft Avenue | open |
| Corners Cafe | Other | Sandwiches | 8711 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| East Oakland Burger | Quick service | 10920 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Egg Roll Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6650 Bancroft Ave | open |
| El Piso Rojo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Chinese · Middle Eastern | 5800 Bancroft Ave | open |
| Euphoria by Zara | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 7900 Surrey Ln | open |
| Fat Man Super'BBQ | Food truck | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 6851 Foothill Blvd | open |
| Fong’s Cafe | Café | Coffee · Chinese · American | 6807 Foothill Blvd | open |
| Genny's Fire Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 6637 Bancroft Ave | open |
| Get Tha Fork Outta Here! BBQ | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 7641 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Grandma's Hands | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 7633 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Happy Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 10807 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Happy Hot Dog | Quick service | Hot dogs · American | 10601 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Hemo's Spot | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 2566 Seminary Ave | open |
| Hillside Street | Bar | open | ||
| It's A Grind Coffee House | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2521 Seminary Ave # 3 | open |
| JJ Fish and Chicken JJ fish85th | Quick service | Seafood · Chicken / wings | 6001 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7000 Bancroft Ave | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2740 98th Avenue | open |
| La Barbacoa | Bar | Mexican · BBQ | 4033 Edwards Ave | open |
| La casa de Maria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mexican | 2706 98th Ave | open |
| La Esquina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9896 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Lanesplitter Pizza & Pub | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza | 4400 Keller Ave #300 | open |
| Lion King Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 5907 Foothill Blvd | open |
| Loard's Ice Cream and Candy | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5942 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Louisiana Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 10807 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Lucky Express Lucky Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian · American | 10700 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Mac Arthur Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5929 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7300 Bancroft Ave | open |
| Mi Zacatecas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6633 Bancroft Ave | open |
| Mi Zacatecas Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 9896 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Mill's Hoagie and Deli Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 5930 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Oakland Food to Go | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · Thai · Asian | 5907 Foothill Blvd | open |
| Oakland's Grind Coffee House | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 2521 Seminary Ave | open |
| Oaktown Kabobs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · American | 10151 Foothill Blvd | open |
| Old Weang Ping | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 6217 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| pineappleWHIPS | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5855 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Pizza Factory Pizza Factory, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2521 Seminary Ave #3 | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 10807 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Pupuseria Leiva | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | Church St | open |
| Quality Doughnuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Breakfast · Bakery | 6860 Sunkist Dr | open |
| Red Sea Coral | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5800 Bancroft Ave | open | |
| Rico Sabor Catracho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 6520 Foothill Blvd | open |
| Roderick's Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2708 98th Ave | open | |
| Rue Rue's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 6018 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Salted Holiday | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 6114 Majestic Ave | open |
| Skyline Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4400 Keller Ave | open |
| Souls Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6403 Foothill Blvd | open | |
| Sports Page | Bar | 10440 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Sugarsweet | Bakery | Bakery | 5855 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Sweet Fingers Jamaican Restaurant | Bar | Caribbean | 5859 Foothill Blvd Ste 1 | open |
| Sydewayz Cafe | Café | Coffee | 5849 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 6900 Bancroft Ave | open |
| Tamales La Pasadita | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 98 Bancroft Ave | open | |
| Taqueria El Cohete | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 7980 Mountain Blvd #B | open |
| Taqueria Los Altos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6638 Bancroft Ave | open |
| Tasty Pleasures | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6638 Bancroft Ave | open |
| Tasty Szechuan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2811 Havenscourt Blvd | open |
| The Castlemont freedge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8601 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| The Hibachi Lady | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | open | ||
| The Landing Café | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee · American | 9777 Golf Links Rd | open |
| The New Carter Community Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 7633 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| The Tree House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 6520 Foothill Blvd | open |
| Town Center Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7200 Bancroft Ave Ste 143 | open | |
| Uhuru Pies | Dessert | Dessert | 7911 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 10700 MacArthur Blvd Unit 2A | open |
| Play Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4400 Keller Ave # 410 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 34 | 32 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 32 | 30 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 34 | 32 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 31 | 28 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 29 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 25 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 24 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 25 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 24 | 8 | 15 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 33 | 29 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 31 | 26 | 9 | 16 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 22 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 21 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 22 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 23 | 7 | 16 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 30 | 26 | 8 | 18 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 11 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 28 | 23 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 22 | 11 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 27 | 24 | 12 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 31 | 10 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 33 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2022 |