BMIE Market 94619
Alameda County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,831 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,529 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,809 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±543 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 23,299 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,644 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $129,867 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,095 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,107 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,025,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,863 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94619 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -3.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +38.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +52.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +31.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 35 (range 31–40) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94619. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.8 | 89 | 40% | +35.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 79.9 | 80 | 35% | +28.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 48.6 | 49 | 25% | +12.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,831 | 87 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 129,867 | 93 | 40% | +37.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,809 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 38.1 | 76 | 35% | +26.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.8 | 69 | 25% | +17.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,831 | 87 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 129,867 | 93 | 20% | +18.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -3.3 | 24 | 50% | +12.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 38.1 | 76 | 30% | +22.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 52.6 | 68 | 20% | +13.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (57)
By cuisine
American 7 · Asian 7 · Coffee 7 · Pizza 6 · Chicken / wings 4 · Chinese 4 · Mexican 4 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Thai 3 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Vegetarian 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 8 · Café 7 · Bar 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Seafood & Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Chicken / wings | 4014 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Albaldealasil | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 3500 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Cafe of the Bay | Café | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 4011 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Cafe Santana Roasting Company | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4100 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| China Pack Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3118 35th Ave | open |
| Communitē Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4171 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Crumble & Whisk | Bakery | Bakery | 4104 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Degrees Plato | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4251 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Dick's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café | Dessert · Coffee | 3417 High St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 3639 Macarthur Blvd | open |
| donut savant | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 3000 38th Ave | open |
| Everett & Jones Barbeque Everett and Jones BBQ - Jack London Square | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 4245 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Everett And Jones Jack London Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4245 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Fist Of Flour Doughjo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4166 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Fountain Garden Seafood Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Chinese | 3836 MacArthur Blvd #1315 | open |
| Ghost Town Brewing - Laurel Biergarten & Kitchen | Brewery / taproom | 3506 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Giant Burgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4215 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Golondrinas Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4171 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Got Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 3843 Macarthur Blvd Unit B | open |
| Halal pizza in Oakland | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4166 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Happy Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian · Chinese · Asian | 4112 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Hunan Yuan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4100 Redwood Rd #11 | open |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4100 Redwood Rd Building C, Suite 18 | open |
| Jo's Modern Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 3725 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3734 Macarthur Boulevard | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3535 Pierson St | open |
| La hacienda taco truck | Food truck | Mexican | 3710 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Laurel Lounge | Bar | 3932 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Louisiana Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4008 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Lucky Donuts And Sandwiches | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 4010 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Miliki Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 3725 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Mudita Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Vegetarian · Asian | 4171 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4100 Redwood Rd | open |
| Peter's Kettle Corn | Dessert | 4139 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Phnom Penh | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southeast Asian (other) · Asian | 3912 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Popoca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | open | |
| Prospect 772 Wine Co. | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 15 Berneves Ct | open | |
| Pyramids Restaurant & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 3100 High St | open |
| Razzo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4312 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Red Boy Pizza Redwood Road Red Boy Pizza Redwood Rd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4100 Redwood Rd #15 | open |
| Roland Rosario Cellars | Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Café | Coffee | 3726 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Roma Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4166 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Sequoia Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 3719 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Sparky's Giant Burgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4120 Redwood Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4300 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3535 35th Avenue | open |
| Taqueria La Mejor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3411 High St | open |
| The Monterey Down Low | Bar | 3653 Monterey Blvd | open | |
| The Town Kitchen Cafe | Café | Coffee | 10000 Skyline Blvd | open |
| Vennari And Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3719 MacArthur Blvd | open | |
| Vientian Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Vietnamese · Thai | 3801 Allendale Ave | open |
| Voix De La Vigne | Winery / distillery / taproom | 3841 Macarthur Blvd # C | open | |
| Wawa Thai Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 40 Cathy Ln | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 4005 Macarthur Blvd | open |
| World Ground Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 3726 MacArthur Blvd | open |
| Cafe Galleria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4100 Redwood Rd Ste 16 | closed | |
| Soy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 4130 Redwood Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 25 | 22 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 22 | 19 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 25 | 23 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 24 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 24 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 27 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 26 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 30 | 26 | 11 | 13 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 28 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 31 | 25 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 35 | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 31 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |