BMIE Market 94803
Contra Costa County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 27,659 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,859 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,562 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±538 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 24,904 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,675 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $118,447 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,983 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,302 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $783,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,539 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 12.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94803 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +64.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +21.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +27.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 41 (range 32–51) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.2 per year, r² 0.45) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94803. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.45, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.7 | 88 | 40% | +35.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 83.8 | 84 | 35% | +29.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 41.5 | 41 | 25% | +10.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 27,659 | 87 | 40% | +34.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 118,447 | 90 | 40% | +35.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,562 | 85 | 20% | +16.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 64.7 | 87 | 35% | +30.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.1 | 72 | 25% | +17.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 27,659 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 118,447 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -22.2 | 12 | 50% | +6.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 64.7 | 87 | 30% | +26.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 21.7 | 47 | 20% | +9.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (67)
By cuisine
Mexican 9 · Asian 8 · Latin American (other) 8 · American 7 · Chinese 5 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Indian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Italian 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Thai 3 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Japanese 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Bar 13 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Buffet 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Baba Kabab House | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5337 Valley View Rd | open |
| Appian Food and Liquor | Casual dining · Bar | 4247 Appian Way | open | |
| Bottles Beerzaar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | Indian · Chicken / wings · American | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| California Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 3873 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Cantina do Anderson | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5435 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Capri Club | Bar | 4156 Appian Way | open | |
| Chef's Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3741 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| China Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 4247 Appian Way | open |
| Clancy's | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3742 San Pablo Dam Rd | open | |
| Dk Import Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open | |
| Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 448 Valley View Rd Ste A | open |
| Dragon Snow | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Ed's Place | Bar | BBQ | 5329 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| El Antojo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 13 Hacienda Ln | open |
| El Chalan Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) · Italian | 3748 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| El Sobrante San Pablo Dam Rd | Bar | Mexican | 3500 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| El Trompudo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3850 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| FasTrack Coffee Company | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4261 Hilltop Dr | open |
| Four Corners Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza · American | 4203 Valley View Rd | open |
| Hundal Sahib Fish & Chips | Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food · Seafood | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 4080 San Pablo Dam Rd | open | |
| Kaliente Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 3803 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Noodles / ramen / pho · Chinese · Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4955 Appian Way | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 5329A San Pablo Dam Rd | open | |
| La Guerita Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4261 Hilltop Dr | open |
| Lion's Den Cocktail Lounge | Bar | 4241 Valley View Rd | open | |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 454 Appian Way | open |
| Los Cerros Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 4241 Valley View Rd | open |
| Maria's Gourmet Pastries | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3800 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| May AFC Sushi at Raley's San Pablo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | open | |
| Maya Thai Laos Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Mississippi Catfish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 4203 Valley View Rd | open |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3340-L San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Neighbor's Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 3741 San Pablo Dam Rd A | open |
| paradise Indian restaurant & sweet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Pho #1 Express & Sandwiches | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Sandwiches · Asian | 5047 Appian Way | open |
| Pizza Twist | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3716 San Pablo Dam Rd Ste a | open |
| PJ's Restaurant and Cocktail | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 3721 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Rancho Sports Bar | Bar | 3912 San Pablo Dam Rd | open | |
| Restaurante hondureño | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 4801 Valley View Rd | open |
| Royal Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Sabai Tea | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Sam's Dog House | Quick service | Hot dogs · American | 3857 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Samraj Sweets N' Chathut | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Sandhu And Sons Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3716 San Pablo Dam Rd Ste A | open | |
| Second2none | Bar | 4156 Appian Way | open | |
| Silver Ocean Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian | 3340 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Somewhere Else Sports Bar & Grill | Bar | 5216 Sobrante Ave | open | |
| Spicy Bite - Indian Street Food Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3300 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 454 Appian Way (Appian & Valley View -, El Sobr) | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 454 Appian Way Ste B | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3340-M San Pablo Dam Road | open |
| Sue's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 448 Valley View Rd | open |
| TacoMiendo | Food truck | Mexican | El sobrante | open |
| Tacos Rodriguez | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican | 4352 Appian Way | open |
| TaquerÃa Doña MarÃa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Taste of Safari Kitchen & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | African | 454 Appian Way | open |
| The Good Table Cafe | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 5166 Sobrante Ave | open |
| The Noodle House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho | 452 Appian Way | open |
| The Original Red Onion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 4783 Appian Way | open |
| Tina's Place Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 4241 Valley View Rd | open |
| United Food Mart | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 521 Appian Way | open | |
| Xinia's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 3550 San Pablo Dam Rd | open |
| Yogurt Now | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 452 C Appian Village Dr | open |
| The Bamboo Chopstick | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 448 Valley View Rd Ste H | closed | |
| Up & Under 2nd Pitch | Casual dining · Bar | 5216 Sobrante Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 28 | 22 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 20 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 27 | 23 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 32 | 27 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 31 | 26 | 13 | 13 | — | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 15 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 14 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 12 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 13 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 26 | 22 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 25 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 27 | 22 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 24 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 22 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 11 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 31 | 14 | 14 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 38 | 32 | 11 | 15 | 6 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 41 | 36 | 13 | 18 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 39 | 33 | 11 | 18 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 39 | 34 | 12 | 18 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 40 | 37 | 14 | 18 | 5 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 16 | 6 | 6 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 32 | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2022 |