BMIE Market 94805
Contra Costa County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,670 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,351 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,493 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,648 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,446 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $111,152 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,637 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,298 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±131 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $791,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,163 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94805 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +14.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +71.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +41.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 29 (range 26–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94805. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.5 | 80 | 40% | +32.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75.5 | 76 | 35% | +26.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 74.5 | 74 | 25% | +18.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,670 | 76 | 40% | +30.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 111,152 | 87 | 40% | +34.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,493 | 76 | 20% | +15.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 71.4 | 88 | 35% | +30.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.4 | 48 | 25% | +12.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,670 | 76 | 20% | +15.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 111,152 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 14.3 | 72 | 50% | +36.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 71.4 | 88 | 30% | +26.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 41.2 | 59 | 20% | +11.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (59)
By cuisine
Mexican 13 · American 8 · Coffee 7 · Latin American (other) 7 · Pizza 7 · Asian 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Indian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Brazilian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Vietnamese 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 13 · Café 5 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Mexican | 12469 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Angelo's Gourmet Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 12025 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Apna foods/Delhi fashions | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Bakery · Indian | 13112 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Bay area business Tempero Goiano | Coffee shop | Brazilian · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 12221 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Brazuca Açaí | Café | Brazilian · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 4500 Barrett Ave B | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 12999 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Cafe McBryde | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 4925 McBryde Ave | open |
| Catahoula Coffee Co | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 12472 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Church's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3701 Macdonald Ave | open |
| Delhi Dhaba & Chaat | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 13112 San Pablo Ave Ste B | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 3431 Macdonald Ave | open |
| Dumpling House Mongolian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 12221 San Pablo Ave #6 | open |
| El Agave Azul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 12955 San Pablo Ave | open |
| El Pollo Loco El Pollo Loco | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Chicken / wings | 13139 San Pablo Ave | open |
| El Zarandeado Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 210 35th St | open |
| Five Star Chicken | Quick service | 12951 San Pablo Ave | open | |
| Genesis Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Mexican · Healthy / salads / bowls | 12545 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Gonzalez Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12955 San Pablo Ave | open | |
| Hacienda Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 12020 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Helados y paletas Perita | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4040 Macdonald Ave | open |
| Huong Tra Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 12221 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Jerry's Cocktail Lounge | Bar | 13021 San Pablo Ave | open | |
| JJ Fish and Chicken JJ fish85th | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 3600 Macdonald Ave | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 12319 San Pablo Avenue #147 | open |
| La Alma de Sol | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3625 Macdonald Ave | open |
| La Flor De Jalisco | Food truck | Mexican | 12955 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Linda's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3431 Macdonald Ave | open |
| Mi Casa Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 12056 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Mi Casita Mariscos Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 12860 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Mira Vista Donut and Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Sandwiches · Dessert · Bakery | 12221 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Mississippi Catfish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 12440 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Napa Valley | Bar | open | ||
| Natura Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 12545 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 4250 Macdonald Ave | open |
| Perfusion Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 6102 Park Ave | open | |
| Pho Thai Hung | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 12860 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 4500 Macdonald Ave | open |
| Pizza Time | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4536 MacDonald Ave | open |
| PraJam Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 12440 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Pup Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 12505 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Q's Halal Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Halal / kosher · Mediterranean | 12847 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Richmond Pizza House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 12343 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 13100 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Royal Indian Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | open | |
| San Pablo - 13100 San Pablo Ave Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 13100 San Pablo Avenue | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 4500 Macdonald Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 4250 MacDonald Ave. Suite B | open |
| Tacos el Manolo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4040 Macdonald Ave | open |
| Tacos El Tucan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 12505 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Taqueria La Bamba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 12345 San Pablo Ave | open |
| The Factory Bar | Bar | 12517 San Pablo Ave | open | |
| The Harmony Trade Incorporated | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 12951 San Pablo Ave | open | |
| Tres Hermanas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 12620 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Tsing Tao | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 12372 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Waffles & Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 12513 San Pablo Ave | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 12201 San Pablo Avenue | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 4210 Macdonald Ave | open |
| Yemen Cafe & Restaurant | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Coffee | 13112 San Pablo Ave Unit b | open |
| Sa Wad Dee Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 12200 San Pablo Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 19 | 16 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 19 | 16 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 22 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 19 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 28 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 19 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 18 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 21 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 21 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 20 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 22 | 21 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 19 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 21 | 7 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 22 | 8 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 23 | 22 | 10 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 26 | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |