BMIE Market 95841

Sacramento County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,600 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,232 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±536 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,448 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,804 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,054 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,163 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,669 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±56 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$424,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,658 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95841
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-2.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	44 (range 38–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95841. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	61.7	62	40%	+24.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	39.4	39	35%	+13.8
Market Momentum Score	46.5	47	25%	+11.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,500	82	40%	+32.7
Median household income (ACS)	61,054	31	40%	+12.6
Households (ACS)	8,232	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-2.3	22	35%	+7.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	20.5	36	25%	+9.0
Population (ACS)	20,500	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	61,054	31	20%	+6.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5	61	50%	+30.7
10-year restaurant growth	-2.3	22	30%	+6.7
20-year restaurant growth	20	46	20%	+9.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (109)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 12 · Sandwiches 12 · Mexican 11 · Bakery 7 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Asian 4 · BBQ 4 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Italian 4 · Breakfast 3 · European 3 · Hot dogs 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · German / Eastern European 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Seafood 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 67 · Quick service 22 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Bakery 7 · Bar 6 · Dessert 5 · Other 5 · Specialty food shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Casual dining 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Afisha Media Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4555 Auburn Blvd	open
Arbor Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5321 Date Ave	open
Arby's Arby's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	5845 Madison Ave	open
Baba’s BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	5800 Madison Ave S	open
Beanheads Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	5289 Auburn Blvd	open
Billiard Gallery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5739 Auburn Blvd	open
Boston Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4644 Madison Ave	open
Bundle of Cupcakes	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	6306 Garfield Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	4960 Auburn Blvd	open
Cali Botanicals Kratom & CBD Sacramento store	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	5800 Madison Ave Ste N	open
California Burrito California Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5119 Auburn Blvd	open
Careda Dba United Medical Institute	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5280 Auburn Blvd	open
Chasers Bar	Bar		5412 Madison Ave	open
Chef Ramaz Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5800 Madison Ave	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	4644 Madison Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5040 Auburn Blvd Ste A	open
Continental Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	4633 Auburn Blvd	open
Cricket Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	4745 Auburn Blvd	open
Darkheart Brewing	Brewery / taproom		4339 Auburn Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	5051 Auburn Blvd #B100	open
Donut Happy	Dessert	Dessert	5049 College Oak Dr	open
Dragonfly Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Sandwiches · Bakery	5049 College Oak Dr D Suite D	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5245 Auburn Blvd	open
El Balcon Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5800 Madison Ave Ste Q	open
El Pollo Loco El Pollo Loco	Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings	5055 Auburn Blvd	open
El Rey Carnicería Y Taquería \| Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5841 Manzanita Ave	open
Esmeralda's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	5825 Madison Ave #2	open
Family Traditions	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European	5800 Madison Ave	open
Flip.n.Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4708 Auburn Blvd	open
Galaxy Bean Coffeehouse	Coffee shop	Coffee	5825 Madison Ave	open
Garfield Corner Quiznos	Quick service	Sandwiches	6306 Garfield Ave	open
Good Neighbor European Deli Good Neighbor Farm Pleasant Hill	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · European	5111 College Oak Dr A-B	open
Granite's Sub Shop	Other	Sandwiches	4443 Auburn Blvd	open
Harry's BBQ - The Best in the World	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4557 Auburn Blvd	open
Harry's Lounge	Bar		4557 Auburn Blvd	open
Hernandez Pupuseria Tati	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	5241 Manzanita Ave	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	4821 Madison Ave	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	4600 Madison Ave.	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		4849 Madison Ave	open
Jalisco Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5207 Madison Ave Ste C	open
Jen's Kitchen	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	5825 Madison Ave	open
Jimboy's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4708 Auburn Blvd	open
JJ's Hawaiian BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	5133 Madison Ave	open
Kebab Grill – Halal Shawarma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern	5015 Madison Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	5835 Madison Avenue	open
Kiki's Chicken Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5120 Auburn Blvd	open
Kray-Z Munchies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	5800 Madison Ave S	open
L & L Hawaiian Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	5110 Auburn Blvd	open
La Bou Bakery and Cafe La Bou Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	5420 Madison Ave	open
La Dolce Vita BQT Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	5560 Palm Ave	open
Long John Silver's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5245 Auburn Blvd	open
Lucky Dumpling House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	5110 Auburn Blvd	open
Lumberjacks Restaurant Lumberjacks Restaurant - Yuba City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5820 Madison Ave	open
Mad Subs	Other	Sandwiches	5133 Madison Ave Ste 2	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	5008 Auburn Blvd	open
Mediterranean Sea Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Middle Eastern	5112 Madison Ave	open
MoonHalal	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Halal / kosher · American	5800 Madison Ave	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5640 Auburn Blvd	open
Noble Vegetarian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Asian	5049 College Oak Dr	open
Noodle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	5800 Madison Ave x	open
North Area Vacuum Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5853 Auburn Blvd	open
Nour's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	5800 Madison Ave A	open
One Milk Tea Sacramento	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	4443 Auburn Blvd	open
Ono Hawaiian BBQ Ono Hawaiian BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · BBQ	5040 Auburn Blvd	open
Original Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6300 Garfield Ave	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	4701 Madison Ave	open
Papa Murphy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5412 Madison Avenue	open
Pinkberry NorCal	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5777 Madison Ave	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5001 Madison Ave	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6233 Garfield Ave., Century 16 Greenback Lane #476	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	5301 Auburn Blvd	open
Prepped Eats Meal Prep & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	5800 Madison Ave	open
Quiznos Quiznos	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	6306 Garfield Ave #240	open
Rb Honey Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5500 Auburn Blvd	open
Sacramento Pizza Connection	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5429 Auburn Blvd	open
Sacramento, CA (Auburn A-Team) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	5245 Auburn Blvd	open
Sahara Grill & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5207 Madison Ave	open
Seafood Craze	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	5825 Madison Ave Ste 2	open
Shire Road Pub	Bar		5525 Auburn Blvd	open
Sizzler Sizzler Family Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	5815 Madison Ave	open
Sno White Burgers	Quick service		5110 Auburn Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	5001 Madison Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5480 Auburn Blvd	open
Stretchy Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	4443 Auburn Blvd Ste J	open
Strings Italian Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	4848 Madison Ave	open
Subway	Quick service		4700 College Oak Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4900 Madison Ave Ste B	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	5440 Auburn Blvd	open
Svetlana Izmaylov Dba Local Auto Insurance And Tax Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4501 Auburn Blvd Ste 103	open
Sweet Dozen	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	5207 Madison Ave Ste E	open
T4 Auburn	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	5120 Auburn Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	5210 Auburn Blvd	open
Taqueria El Balcon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5800 Madison Ave Ste Q	open
Taqueria Los Cantaritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5412 Madison Ave #170	open
Teremok - European Store, Bakery and Grill.	Bakery	Bakery · European	5519 Hemlock St	open
Thai Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	5800 Madison Ave k	open
The Cinders Bar	Bar		5340 Auburn Blvd	open
The German Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	5859 Auburn Blvd	open
The Munirs Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5777 Madison Ave Ste 790	open
The Oak Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	4700 College Oak Dr	open
The Oaks Lounge	Bar		4557 Auburn Blvd	open
Togo's Sandwiches	Other	Sandwiches	5825 Madison Ave #C	open
Tony Baloney's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	5059 College Oak Dr	open
Wiener Works	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	5207 Madison Ave Ste C	open
Wienerschnitzel Wienerschnitzel	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	5100 Auburn Blvd	open
Wynn Sushi Box & Catering	Catering	Japanese · Sushi	Commercial shared kitchen, 5800 Madison Ave S	open
Xochimilco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4904 Auburn Blvd	open
Bakers Delight	Bakery	Bakery	5111 College Oak Dr Ste D	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	45	36	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1995	41	35	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	43	36	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	46	38	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1998	51	41	16	22	3	9	NAICS1997
1999	49	40	17	21	2	8	NAICS1997
2000	48	40	14	24	2	7	NAICS1997
2001	49	40	16	22	2	7	NAICS1997
2002	39	34	11	20	3	5	NAICS1997
2003	40	35	10	20	5	5	NAICS2002
2004	47	39	13	22	4	6	NAICS2002
2005	44	36	10	22	4	5	NAICS2002
2006	42	34	8	22	4	6	NAICS2002
2007	43	38	10	23	5	3	NAICS2002
2008	46	40	10	25	5	3	NAICS2007
2009	45	42	11	27	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	47	43	12	27	4	3	NAICS2007
2011	47	44	12	28	4	2	NAICS2007
2012	47	42	9	26	7	4	NAICS2012
2013	46	43	14	23	6	2	NAICS2012
2014	47	44	13	24	7	1	NAICS2012
2015	46	42	14	22	6	2	NAICS2012
2016	48	42	11	26	5	4	NAICS2012
2017	44	39	10	24	5	4	NAICS2017
2018	44	40	10	24	6	3	NAICS2017
2019	49	45	12	26	7	3	NAICS2017
2020	52	48	14	28	6	3	NAICS2017
2021	49	45	12	27	6	3	NAICS2017
2022	47	42	11	25	6	4	NAICS2022
2023	47	42	11	24	7	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95841. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95842	1.8 mi	38	2023
95660	2.2 mi	38	2023
95608	2.5 mi	81	2023
95652	2.8 mi	3	2017
95821	3.1 mi	69	2023
95621	3.2 mi	34	2023
95843	3.9 mi	38	2023
95610	4.7 mi	109	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.