BMIE Market 95843
Sacramento County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 47,695 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,353 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 15,019 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±629 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 45,048 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 14,599 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $98,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,180 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±117 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $489,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,025 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 38 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95843 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +15.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +58.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +153.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +1,166.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 47 (range 44–51) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.7 per year, r² 0.91) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95843. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.91, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 89.2 | 89 | 40% | +35.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 85.4 | 85 | 35% | +29.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 80.2 | 80 | 25% | +20.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 47,695 | 96 | 40% | +38.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 98,274 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 15,019 | 93 | 20% | +18.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 58.3 | 86 | 35% | +30.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.0 | 80 | 25% | +20.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 47,695 | 96 | 20% | +19.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 98,274 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 15.2 | 73 | 50% | +36.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 58.3 | 86 | 30% | +25.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 153.3 | 89 | 20% | +17.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (54)
By cuisine
American 8 · Pizza 8 · Coffee 7 · Asian 6 · Chicken / wings 4 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Seafood 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mexican 3 · Chinese 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Indian 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Filipino 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 12 · Café 6 · Dessert 5 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A&w Restaurant KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 8101 Watt Ave | open |
| Antelope - Walerga Rd Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7909 Walerga Rd Suite #107 | open |
| Antelope Pizza House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3535 Elverta Rd | open |
| Branch&Brew | Café | Coffee | 7899 Walerga Rd | open |
| Buenos Aires Argentinian Grill | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 8301 Calleystone Way | open |
| Bunnbite Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches · American | 7920 Antelope North Rd | open |
| Burgerim | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7893 Walerga Rd Ste 102 | open |
| Cajun & Sushi House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Seafood · Asian | 2921 Elverta Rd | open |
| Carolina's Mexican Food Carolina's Mexican Food - Sacramento | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 4207 Elverta Rd | open |
| Dragon Tea Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 4400 Elverta Rd Ste 180 | open |
| Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4341 Antelope Dr. | open |
| Falafel Corner Falafel Corner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 7897 Walerga Rd | open |
| Fire Wings Antelope Fire Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 4400 Elverta Rd #100 | open |
| Honey Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 8151 Watt Ave | open |
| House of Chicken & Ribs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Seafood · American | 3535 Elverta Rd | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 7949 Watt Ave | open | |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 7903 Walerga Rd | open |
| Jr & Tk Enterprises Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7909 Walerga Rd Ste 112-1105 | open | |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4311 Antelope Road | open |
| Liberty Pizza Plus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7893 Walerga Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4400 Elverta Rd | open |
| Lumpia Ko - Eats and Boba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Asian | 7893 Walerga Rd #105 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 7899 Walerga Rd | open |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · American | 4207 Elverta Rd | open |
| Movies clips | Bar | 7730 Goldfinch Way | open | |
| Naan Twist | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 7893 Walerga Rd Ste 102 | open |
| Odessa European Deli Store | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 8008 Walerga Rd #300 | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 4141 Elverta Rd | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4320 Elverta Road | open |
| Papa Murphys Take n Bake | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8529 Brisenbourg Way | open |
| Peet's Coffee & Tea | Coffee shop | Coffee | 7901 Walerga Rd | open |
| Perkos Café | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 8075 Watt Ave | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Poke Town | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 4400 Elverta Rd | open |
| Primo Bar Primo Bar | Bar | 7909 Walerga Rd | open | |
| Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7909 Walerga Rd | open |
| Sanja Punjab Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 3535 Elverta Rd | open |
| Shalom Cafe & Restaurant | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 4400 Elverta Rd #180 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4241 Elverta Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 4320 Elverta Rd Ste 8 | open |
| Sweet Spot Bake Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5144 Fawn Hollow Way | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 8045 Watt Ave | open |
| Taqueria Guadalajara | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4141 Elverta Rd | open |
| Tasty Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7943 Watt Ave #300 | open |
| The Boom Boom Room | Dessert | 7740 Watt Ave | open | |
| The Chum Bucket | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Coffee | 1800 Starfish Ln | open |
| TOGO'S Sandwiches TOGO'S Sandwiches | Quick service · Dessert · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 4241 Elverta Rd | open |
| Tugboat Fish & Chips | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 7909 Walerga Rd #111 | open |
| VFW 4647 Events/Hall Rentals/RV Parking | Casual dining · Bar | 3300 U St | open | |
| Villa Biscotto | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7937 Diamond Rock Dr | open | |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 7901 Watt Ave | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 7909 Walerga Rd Ste 105 | open |
| Years Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 2921 Elverta Rd | open |
| Yogurt Time Cafe | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7897 Walerga Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 17 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 25 | 23 | 6 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 23 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 20 | 4 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 26 | 5 | 18 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 25 | 24 | 5 | 16 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 23 | 23 | 5 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 24 | 24 | 5 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 26 | 25 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 29 | 29 | 6 | 18 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 34 | 33 | 8 | 19 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 37 | 33 | 7 | 20 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 35 | 31 | 7 | 18 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 40 | 37 | 8 | 22 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 41 | 39 | 10 | 20 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 43 | 38 | 8 | 21 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |