BMIE Market 96795

Honolulu County, Hawaii · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,675 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,050 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,688 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±184 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,034 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,494 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$120,714 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,658 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,684 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±257 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$821,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±79,161 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	11.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 96795
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.11) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 96795. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.11, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Hawaii and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 78, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.0	78	40%	+31.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.5	59	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	46.3	46	25%	+11.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,675	72	40%	+28.7
Median household income (ACS)	120,714	91	40%	+36.2
Households (ACS)	2,688	65	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	35%	+6.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.4	79	25%	+19.7
Population (ACS)	10,675	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	120,714	91	20%	+18.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	30%	+5.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

Coffee 5 · Hawaiian / Pacific 5 · American 2 · BBQ 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Korean 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Quick service 8 · Café 4 · Food truck 3 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
'Ai Love Nalo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	41-1025 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Bellows AFB Snack Bar	Café · Quick service · Bar	Coffee	513 Tinker Rd	open
Braddah’s Brewhouse	Coffee shop	Coffee	220 Tinker Rd	open
Chief's Luau	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		41-202 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Chief's Luau	Restaurant (service type not stated)		41-202 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Dave's Ice Cream Dave's Ice Cream Pearl City	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	41-1537 Kalanianaʻole Hwy	open
Dominican Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Spanish / tapas	41-1029 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Hawaiian Island Cafe	Café	Hawaiian / Pacific · Coffee · Breakfast	41-1537 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		41-1537 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Kalapawai Cafe and Deli Kalapawai Hawaii	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	41-865 Kalanianaʻole Hwy	open
Keneke's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Hawaiian / Pacific	41-685 Kalanianaʻole Hwy	open
Koala Moa	Food truck	Hawaiian / Pacific · Chicken / wings	Tinker Rd	open
L&L Drive Inn L&L Hawaiian BBQ - Vancouver	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Hawaiian / Pacific	41-1610 Kalanianaʻole Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	41-1033 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Ohana Karaoke Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Korean	41-1537 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Ono Steaks and Shrimp Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Steakhouse · Seafood	41-037 Wailea St	open
Pink's Hot Dogs Pink's Hot Dogs	Quick service · Food truck	Hot dogs	41-202 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Pink's Hot Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	41-202 Kalanianaole Hwy Ste 7	open
Sea Lion Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		41-202 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Shave Ice Junkie	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	41-1029 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Smokey Ranch Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	41-095 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	41-1537 Kalanianaole Hwy Ste 8	open
The Steads LLC	Food truck · Catering			open
The Sundial Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	41-865 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Waimanalo Poke Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	41-1537 Kalanianaole Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	9	9	3	5	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	8	8	2	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	11	3	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	9	9	1	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	8	8	1	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	1	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	1	8	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	2	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	8	1	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	10	9	1	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	11	10	2	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	7	—	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	9	8	—	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	9	8	—	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	10	9	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	8	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	9	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	10	9	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 96795. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
96821	3.0 mi	17	2023
96825	3.2 mi	56	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.