BMIE Market 96825

Honolulu County, Hawaii · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,913 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,472 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,057 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±524 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	30,263 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,592 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$153,210 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,231 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,088,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,106 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	56 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 96825
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+1.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+24.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+19.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	55 (range 49–62) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 96825. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Hawaii and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 78, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	91.8	92	40%	+36.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.8	65	35%	+22.7
Market Momentum Score	53.4	53	25%	+13.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,913	89	40%	+35.8
Median household income (ACS)	153,210	96	40%	+38.6
Households (ACS)	11,057	87	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.7	49	35%	+17.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.1	42	25%	+10.6
Population (ACS)	30,913	89	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	153,210	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	1.8	58	50%	+29.1
10-year restaurant growth	3.7	49	30%	+14.6
20-year restaurant growth	24.4	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (85)

By cuisine

Coffee 11 · American 9 · Asian 8 · Hawaiian / Pacific 8 · Japanese 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Healthy / salads / bowls 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Pizza 4 · Seafood 4 · BBQ 3 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Sushi 3 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Thai 2 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 59 · Quick service 13 · Dessert 9 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Bar 7 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Karate Kai	Bar		665 Kumukahi Pl	open
Assaggio Hawaii Kai	Café · Quick service	Coffee · European	377 Keahole St	open
Assaggio Hawaii Kai - Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Assiago	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
AT&T Store AT&T	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	333A Keahole St	open
Ba-Le French Sandwich	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese	Keahole St.	open
Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	333 Keahole St	open
Bay Rock Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	100 Hanauma Bay Rd	open
Bits & Bites Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	333 Keahole St Ste 2B1	open
Bluwater Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		377 Keahole St	open
Boston's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	6640 Hawaii Kai Dr	open
Bubbies Homemade Ice Cream and Desserts - Koko Marina Center	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	Hawaii Kai	open
BYO Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	333 Keahole St Ste 2E10	open
Cha-cha-cha Salsaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		377 Keahole St	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's	Quick service		333 Keahole St Suite 2E7	open
Fbrg Koko Marina Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Gokoku Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Greek Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Hajime Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		333 Keahole St Ste 2b8	open
Hammond's Gourmet Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7192 Kalanianaʻole Hwy d103	open
Hana Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	377 Keahole St A-17	open
Harbor Village Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7192 Kalanianaʻole Hwy	open
Hawaii Seafood Promotion Committee	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	516 Kawaihae St	open
Hawaiian Parasail	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	1225 Kaeleku St	open
Heavenly Island Lifestyle Hawaii Kai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	7192 Kalanianaʻole Hwy	open
Hi Pho Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		377 Keahole St Ste C3	open
Island Brew Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	377 Keahole St	open
Island Distillers	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		577 Pakala St	open
Jamba Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	7192 Kalanianaʻole Hwy E-125	open
Jamba Juice	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	6700 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	333 Keahole St	open
Joja	Food truck		511 Lunalilo Home Rd	open
Kawaii Ice Wave	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	377 Keahole St	open
Kim's Restaurant Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7192 Kalanianaole Hwy Ste E109	open
King Crab	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	227 Miloiki Pl	open
Koa Pancake House Koa Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	Town Center, 333 Keahole Street #2e8	open
Koko I-naba Hawaii Kai	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7192 Kalanianaole Hwy Ste E112	open
Kokonuts Shave Ice & Snacks	Dessert	Dessert	7192 Kalanianaʻole Hwy	open
Kona Brewing Hawaii Kai	Brewery / taproom · Bar		7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
L&L Hawaiian Barbecue L&L Hawaiian BBQ - Vancouver	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · BBQ	377 Keahole St E102	open
La Liégeoise	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy Ste D100a	open
Lanikai Juice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	333 Keahole St	open
Leonard's Bakery Malasadamobile Leonard's Bakery	Food truck · Dessert · Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	7190 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Lighthouse Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	8902 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Liko's Tap & Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)		377 Keahole St Ste C2	open
Loco Moco Drive Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Lunch At McGarrett's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	7192 Kalanianaʻole Hwy A143A	open
Maile's Thai Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	333 Keahole St Ste 2B8	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	377 Keahole St	open
Moena Cafe Moena Cafe 夏威夷特色餐廳	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Coffee	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Moena Sweets	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy Ste D103	open
Ono Seafood and Poke Bowl Patrol	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Seafood · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls	501 Kealahou St #A53	open
Outback Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	6650 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	333 Keahole St. #2c1	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Pā‘ina Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Koko Marina Center	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	377 Keahole St	open
R&w Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		333 Keahole St Ste 2b1	open
Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	333 Keahole Street	open
Ramen-Ya Ramen Ya	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	333 Keahole St	open
Royal Hawaiian Brewing	Brewery / taproom	Hawaiian / Pacific	296 Kipukai Pl	open
Sand Bar at Kaneohe Bay	Bar			open
Sophie's Gourmet Hawaiian Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy Ste D100a	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	377 Keahole Street	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy #C-111, Building C	open
Sushiman	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	333 Keahole St	open
Sushiman, Pearl Highlands, Highlands Food Court	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1000 Kamehame Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Taco Del Mar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		333 Keahole St Ste 2b1	open
Teddy's Bigger Burgers Teddy's Bigger Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	7192 Kalaniana'ole Highway	open
TEX 808 BBQ and Brews Hawaii Kai	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	377 Keahole St Ste C1-A	open
Thai Valley Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	501 Kealahou Street	open
The Hana Ranch Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	798 Hahaione St	open
The Original Roy's in Hawaii Kai Roy's Ko Olina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Asian	6600 Kalanianaʻole Hwy	open
The Point Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	501 Kealahou St	open
The Shack	Bar		377 Keahole St Ste C2	open
Tokyo Noodle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	3412 377 Keahole St Ste E105	open
Tropics Restaurant & Craft House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Caribbean	377 Keahole St C2	open
Vons Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)		377 Keahole St	open
Wendy’s	Quick service		6700 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Yogurtland	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	333 Keahole St Ste 2B4	open
Yummy Korean Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · BBQ · Asian	7192 Kalanianaole Hwy	open
Zippys Koko Marina Zippy's	Quick service · Bakery · Dessert · Casual dining	Bakery · American · Dessert	7192 Kalanianaʻole Hwy	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	48	47	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	42	42	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	44	44	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	35	34	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	33	32	16	15	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	38	35	16	18	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	41	38	15	19	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	54	51	17	31	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	44	41	14	24	3	—	NAICS1997
2003	47	45	15	26	4	—	NAICS2002
2004	51	49	14	29	6	—	NAICS2002
2005	51	48	13	27	8	—	NAICS2002
2006	54	51	12	28	11	—	NAICS2002
2007	52	51	13	29	9	—	NAICS2002
2008	56	54	19	27	8	1	NAICS2007
2009	55	51	18	24	9	2	NAICS2007
2010	57	54	18	24	12	1	NAICS2007
2011	56	54	18	27	9	—	NAICS2007
2012	53	51	17	27	7	—	NAICS2012
2013	56	54	18	27	9	—	NAICS2012
2014	50	49	16	24	9	—	NAICS2012
2015	51	48	17	24	7	—	NAICS2012
2016	56	54	17	28	9	—	NAICS2012
2017	57	53	17	28	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	59	55	19	30	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	61	57	18	31	8	—	NAICS2017
2020	56	52	18	29	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	51	48	16	27	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	65	56	18	29	9	—	NAICS2022
2023	61	56	17	30	9	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 96825. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
96795	3.2 mi	9	2023
96821	3.9 mi	17	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.