BMIE Market 01527
Worcester County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,961 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,572 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,246 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,618 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $118,790 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,217 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,623 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±232 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $450,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,760 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 15.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01527 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -3.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +115.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +154.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 31 (range 28–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01527. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.4 | 81 | 40% | +32.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 49.9 | 50 | 35% | +17.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 34.3 | 34 | 25% | +8.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,961 | 75 | 40% | +30.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 118,790 | 90 | 40% | +36.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,572 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -3.5 | 22 | 35% | +7.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.1 | 37 | 25% | +9.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,961 | 75 | 20% | +15.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 118,790 | 90 | 20% | +18.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -6.7 | 21 | 50% | +10.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -3.5 | 22 | 30% | +6.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 115.4 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (63)
By cuisine
Bakery 9 · Coffee 9 · Dessert 9 · American 8 · Pizza 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Asian 4 · Chinese 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Italian 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Seafood 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Mexican 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Bar 13 · Dessert 13 · Bakery 10 · Casual dining 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Other 3 · Quick service 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 110 Grill - Millbury | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 70 Worcester Providence Tpke | open | |
| A and D Pizza and Pub | Bar · Casual dining | Pizza | 60 Elm St | open |
| American Pie of Millbury | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 56 Canal St | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 70 Worcester Providence Turnpike | open |
| B.GOOD | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Burgers · Healthy / salads / bowls | 70 Worcester-Providence TRPK., Ste 619 | open |
| Belfont Hotel | Bar | 11 S Main St | open | |
| Bimbo Bakeries Bimbo Bakeries USA | Bakery | Bakery | 10 Latti Farm Rd | open |
| Boss Fish Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 65 McCracken Rd | open |
| Cafe at The Mill | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 45 River St | open |
| Cake Shop Cafe | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 22 A West St | open |
| Calabria Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 7 S Main St | open |
| Center Bakery & Cafe | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | open | |
| Chatters Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 70 Worcester Providence Tpke | open | |
| Christopher's Homemade Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 22 West St | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 70 Worcester-Providence Tpke | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | 70 Worcester Providence Tpke, Ste 420 | open |
| Crumbl - Millbury | Dessert | Dessert | 70 Worcester Providence Tpke Ste 619 | open |
| Dar-bah | Bar | 29 Canal St | open | |
| Deano's Artisan | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Seafood · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 45 River St | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 1 Elm St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 100 Worcester Providence Tpk Xtramart | open |
| Feng Asian Bistro and Hibachi Feng Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 70 Worcester-Providence Turnpike | open |
| Foodworks FoodWorks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 110 Elm St | open |
| Gong cha Millbury Gong Cha | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 70 Worcester-Providence Turnpike | open |
| Kai Mook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 3 Howe Ave | open |
| Lindt Factory Outlet (inside Shoppes at Blackstone Valley) | Dessert | Dessert | 70 Worcester Providence Tpke Ste 507 | open |
| LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 70 Worcester-Providence Tpke | open |
| Marie's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 99 W Main St | open | |
| Millbury Old Time Inn | Bar · Casual dining | 29 Canal St | open | |
| Mykonos Cafe and Bakery | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Greek · Coffee | 49 Elm St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 70 Worcester-Providence Turnpike | open |
| Pearl Cafe Ii | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 92 Elm St | open |
| Penny Pinchers Brewing Co | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 75 Elm St | open | |
| Pizza Chef | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 32 N Main St | open |
| Pizza Hut Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 70 Worcester Providence Tpke #100, Target - T1835 | open |
| Pizza Stadium | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 198 Millbury Ave | open |
| Puffins Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 95 N Main St | open |
| Qdoba Mexican Grill Qdoba | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 70 Worcester Providence Tpk Millbury | open |
| Quiznos | Other | Sandwiches | 70 Worcester Providence Tpke | open |
| Ravioli’s Italian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 45 River St | open |
| Red Robin Gourmet Burgers And Brews | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 70 Worcester Providence Tpke | open | |
| Rocco's Doughnut Company Rocco's Doughnut Company | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 238 Millbury Ave | open |
| S.e.a Cuisine “thai Land & Sea” | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3 Howe Ave | open | |
| Santorini Pizza & Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 56 Canal St | open |
| Sixty Elm Inc Sixty Elm Inc A And D Pizza And Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 60 Elm St | open | |
| Spicy Water Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 108 Elm St | open | |
| St Charles Hotel Inc | Bar | 126 W Main St | open | |
| Star Dumplings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 56 Canal St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 70 Worcester-Providence Turnpike | open |
| Stay Ready Nutrition | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | open | ||
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 41 Canal St | open |
| Teresas Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 198 Millbury Ave | open |
| TGI Fridays TGI Fridays | Casual dining · Bar | American | 70 Worcester-Providence Tpke | open |
| The Candy Shoppe | Dessert | Dessert | 19 N Main St | open |
| The Coop Wings and BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Chicken / wings · BBQ | 110 Elm St #2641 | open |
| The Ice Cream Parlor | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 56 Canal St | open |
| Timothy Jay Sweets | Bakery | Bakery | 97 Elm St | open |
| Uno Pizzeria & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls · Chinese | 70 Worcester Providence Tpke Ste 441 | open |
| Village Knoll Deli and Spirit | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 107 W Main St | open |
| Wheelock inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 82 Wheelock Ave | open | |
| Who Cut the Cheesecake | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 26 N Main St | open |
| WineNation | Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 70 Worcester Providence Tpke | open | |
| Yard House Yard House | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 70 Worcester-Providence Turnpike Ste 650 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 11 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 10 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 18 | 12 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 19 | 13 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 25 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 25 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 23 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 29 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 29 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 7 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 14 | 4 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 35 | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 34 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 35 | 29 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 36 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 35 | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 35 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 32 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 34 | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 31 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |