BMIE Market 01607

Worcester County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,706 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,549 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±427 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,351 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,850 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,727 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,531 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,517 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$377,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01607
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+87.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01607. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	65.5	66	40%	+26.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	44.2	44	35%	+15.5
Market Momentum Score	56.2	56	25%	+14.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,706	69	40%	+27.5
Median household income (ACS)	78,727	60	40%	+24.2
Households (ACS)	3,549	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-6.3	20	35%	+7.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.2	45	25%	+11.3
Population (ACS)	8,706	69	20%	+13.7
Median household income (ACS)	78,727	60	20%	+12.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	25	81	50%	+40.4
10-year restaurant growth	-6.3	20	30%	+6.1
20-year restaurant growth	25	49	20%	+9.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

American 6 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 4 · Other 3 · Café 2 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Andrew Maglione	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	246 Greenwood St	open
Anokye Krom	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	African	687 Millbury St	open
China One	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	566 SW Cutoff	open
China Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	566 SW Cutoff	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	257 Providence St Xtra Mart Gas Station	open
Family Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	545 Southwest Cutoff	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	529 Southwest Cutoff	open
New England Sugars	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1120 Millbury St	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls	7 Tobias Boland Way	open
Papa Gino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	545 SW Cutoff	open
Quinsigamond Village Bakery and Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast	246 Greenwood St	open
Racha Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	545 SW Cutoff	open
Squire Whites	Restaurant (service type not stated)		347 Greenwood St	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	545 Sw Cutoff Ste 1	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	280 Providence St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	25 Tobias Boland Way	open
Sweet T Southern Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ · American	35 Blackstone River Rd	open
Ted's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	346 Greenwood St	open
The Original Village Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	50 Greenwood St	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	11 Tobias Boland Way	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	25 Tobias Boland Way	open
Wayback Burgers Wayback Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	11 Tobias Boland Way	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	560 Southwest Cutoff	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	12	10	4	5	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	13	11	4	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	4	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	13	11	4	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	15	13	6	5	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	14	12	5	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	12	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	15	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	15	12	4	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	14	13	3	9	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	12	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	3	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	12	11	2	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	12	3	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	17	16	3	12	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	16	15	3	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	13	3	9	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	13	2	10	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	13	—	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	12	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	3	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	12	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	5	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	15	6	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01607. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01610	1.8 mi	45	2023
01604	2.2 mi	100	2023
01527	2.4 mi	28	2023
01608	2.6 mi	31	2023
01603	3.1 mi	39	2023
01501	3.5 mi	41	2023
01602	4.3 mi	29	2023
01605	4.4 mi	40	2023
01609	4.6 mi	40	2023
01611	4.6 mi	3	2023
01536	4.9 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.