BMIE Market 01602
Worcester County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 27,092 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,543 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,303 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±581 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 22,819 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,451 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $91,764 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,590 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±111 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $417,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,088 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01602 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -9.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +3.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +61.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +107.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 26 (range 21–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01602. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.9 | 82 | 40% | +32.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66.7 | 67 | 35% | +23.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 38.4 | 38 | 25% | +9.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 27,092 | 87 | 40% | +34.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 91,764 | 75 | 40% | +29.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,303 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 3.6 | 49 | 35% | +17.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 10.7 | 70 | 25% | +17.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 27,092 | 87 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 91,764 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -9.4 | 19 | 50% | +9.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 3.6 | 49 | 30% | +14.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 61.1 | 71 | 20% | +14.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (64)
By cuisine
Coffee 11 · Pizza 10 · American 7 · Bakery 6 · Italian 6 · Asian 4 · Chinese 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Dessert 2 · Japanese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 39 · Café 9 · Bar 8 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Other 3 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfredo's Pasta Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 413 Chandler St | open |
| Antonio's Pizza Antonio's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 268 Chandler St | open |
| Atlas Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 1282 Pleasant St | open |
| Berry Fusion | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 807 Pleasant St | open |
| Birkbecks Waterfront | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 242 Mill St | open |
| Black Sheep Bah-bah Q & Kitchen | Food truck | 393 Chandler St Unit 3 | open | |
| Blarney Stone | Bar | 77 Maywood St. | open | |
| Boston Coffee & Breakfast Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 414 Chandler St | open | |
| Cafe Eidy | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 643 Chandler St | open |
| Caffe Espresso Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 395 Chandler St | open |
| Carribean Cafe | Café | Coffee · Caribbean | 534 Pleasant St | open |
| Chani's Kosher Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Halal / kosher · Sandwiches | 22 Newton Ave | open |
| Cordella's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 116B June St | open |
| Corner Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 806 Pleasant St | open | |
| Daphne's Tears Bakery Cafe | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1094 Pleasant St | open |
| Desi | Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Indian | 393 Chandler St | open |
| Donut Cafe II | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 414 Chandler St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 648 Chandler St | open |
| El Nuevo Amanecer | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 534 Pleasant St | open |
| Elsa's Bushel & Peck | Other | Sandwiches | 643 Chandler St | open |
| Espress Yourself Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2 Richmond Ave | open |
| Gyro & Souvlaki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Sandwiches · Mediterranean | 623 Chandler St | open |
| Jason's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 113 June St | open |
| Joey's Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 344 Chandler St | open | |
| Ken Chin's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 272 Mill St | open |
| Kids Kount Nursery School | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 519 Mill St | open | |
| Lancer Loft Cafe (Worcester State University) | Café | Coffee | 486 Chandler St | open |
| Leo's T-Bird Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 366 Chandler St | open |
| Longhorn in millbury | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 2 June St | open | |
| Loving Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian · Asian | 415 Chandler St | open |
| Lucky Gourmet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 117 June St | open |
| Matt's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1098 Pleasant St Ste A | open |
| Mirage Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 375 Airport Dr | open | |
| Moscow Nights | Bakery | Bakery | 808 Pleasant St | open |
| Mrs. Moriconi's | Dessert · Food truck | Ice cream / frozen desserts | open | |
| Muncheez Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1102 Pleasant St | open |
| Newton Square Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 712 A Pleasant St | open |
| Nu Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 335 Chandler St | open | |
| NU Kitchen Worcester NU Kitchen Worcester | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 335 Chandler St | open |
| Oconnor And Rivard Attorneys Pc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 668 Pleasant St | open | |
| On The Rise Baking | Bakery | Bakery | 1120 Pleasant St | open |
| Paint Nite | Bar | 335 Chandler St | open | |
| Papa George's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 351 June St | open |
| Papa Gino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 645 Chandler St | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 406 Chandler St | open |
| Peking Garden Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 618 Chandler St | open |
| Pepe's Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 645 Chandler St | open |
| Pyoor | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Casual dining | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 807 Pleasant St | open |
| Recalde's Sidewalk Cafe | Café | Coffee | 534 Pleasant St | open |
| Root and Press | Coffee shop | Coffee | 623 Chandler St | open |
| Scruffy Murphy's Worcester | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 638 Chandler St | open |
| Sol of Mexico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 538 Pleasant St | open |
| Stake's Pub | Bar | 1281 Pleasant St | open | |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 649 Chandler St | open |
| Suleh Ethnic Mart | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 1130 Pleasant St | open |
| Sushi Miyazawa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 372 Chandler St | open |
| Tang's Horizon Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 372 Chandler St | open |
| Tatnuck Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | Chandler St | open |
| Tatnuck Square Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 1098 Pleasant St | open |
| Thai Corner Worcester | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 120 June St | open |
| West Side Steak & BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · BBQ · American | 2 Richmond Ave | open |
| Worcester Sweets Cafe | Café · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert · Bakery | 649 Chandler St | open |
| Yolk and Crumb | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1130 Pleasant St | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 100 Mayfield St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 24 | 24 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 25 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 19 | 9 | 10 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 29 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 20 | 13 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 30 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 28 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 34 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 36 | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 38 | 30 | 13 | 15 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 36 | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 35 | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 38 | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 43 | 32 | 14 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 40 | 28 | 13 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 28 | 13 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 33 | 23 | 11 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 37 | 26 | 12 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 39 | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |