BMIE Market 01605
Worcester County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 30,579 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,891 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,722 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±715 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 26,221 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,140 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $54,642 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,180 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 32.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,421 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $392,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,425 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01605 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -2.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +37.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +29.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 41 (range 36–46) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.12) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01605. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.12, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 61.9 | 62 | 40% | +24.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 43.3 | 43 | 35% | +15.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 29.2 | 29 | 25% | +7.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 30,579 | 89 | 40% | +35.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 54,642 | 21 | 40% | +8.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,722 | 89 | 20% | +17.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -11.1 | 18 | 35% | +6.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.1 | 60 | 25% | +15.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 30,579 | 89 | 20% | +17.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 54,642 | 21 | 20% | +4.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -2.4 | 25 | 50% | +12.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -11.1 | 18 | 30% | +5.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 37.9 | 57 | 20% | +11.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (98)
By cuisine
American 19 · Coffee 16 · Dessert 11 · Bakery 9 · Asian 7 · Pizza 7 · Sandwiches 7 · Burgers 6 · Italian 6 · Brazilian 5 · Mexican 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Breakfast 3 · Caribbean 3 · Chinese 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Middle Eastern 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · European 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Sushi 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 60 · Quick service 19 · Bakery 17 · Bar 13 · Coffee shop 13 · Dessert 12 · Casual dining 11 · Café 8 · Specialty food shop 4 · Other 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 & Diner | Casual dining | American | 525 Lincoln St | open |
| 99 Restaurants | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11 E Central St Route 290 | open | |
| Belmont Vegetarian | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 157 Belmont St | open |
| Benny's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 610 Lincoln St | open |
| Best Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 627 Lincoln St | open |
| Boston Market - 3212 | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 14 Park Ave | open |
| Brisas | Bakery | Bakery · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 12 Boylston St | open |
| Bruno’s Restaurant & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 858 western av | open | |
| Buteco's Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American · Brazilian | 251 Lincoln St | open |
| CB Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Brazilian | 108 Belmont St | open |
| Che Empanada Che Empanada | Bakery | Latin American (other) · Bakery | 536 Lincoln St | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 49 Park Ave Ste 1 | open |
| Ciao Bella | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 402 Grove St | open |
| Crown Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 443 Lincoln St | open |
| Crust Bakeshop | Bakery · Coffee shop · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1 W Boylston St | open |
| D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches D'Angelo Grilled Sandwiches | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 537 Lincoln St | open |
| Dave's Hot Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 41 Park Ave | open |
| Denny's | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Coffee · American | 494 Lincoln St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 665 Plantation St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 543 Lincoln St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 490 Lincoln St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 366 Plantation St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 104 Belmont St Tedeschi | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 340 Grove St Shell Station | open |
| Dunkin' Donuts | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 747 Plantation St | open |
| El Punto Latino | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | Lowe’s Parking Lot, 535 Lincoln St | open |
| Express bakery&mannos pizzeria | Bakery | Italian · Bakery · American | 168 Lincoln St | open |
| Fatima's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | African · Coffee | 43 W Boylston St | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 525 Lincoln Street | open |
| Fuel America Grove Street | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 100 Grove St | open |
| Gn Singh Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 453 Lincoln St | open | |
| Golden Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Middle Eastern | 490 Lincoln St | open |
| Golden Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 453 Lincoln St | open |
| Golden Pizza on Lincoln | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 31 New Lincoln St | open |
| Gourmet Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 446 Lincoln St | open |
| Grill On the Hill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | European | 2 Green Hill Ave | open |
| Grill On The Hill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 1929 Officer Manny Familia Way | open |
| Habibi Deli & grocery inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 243 Lincoln St | open | |
| Harlequin Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 363 Plantation St | open | |
| Honey Dew Donuts | Other | Sandwiches | 747 Plantation St # 229 | open |
| Honey Dew Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 446 Lincoln St | open |
| Hot Table Hot Table | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 49 Park Ave | open |
| Hot Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 49 Park Ave | open | |
| Indian Food and Convenience Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 159 Belmont St | open |
| Indian Lake Watershed | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 5 N Pond Rd | open |
| Island Fin Poke Island Fin Poké Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian | 41 Park Ave | open |
| Island Fin Poké Company - Worcester | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls | 41 Park Ave Ste 3-4 | open |
| J M M And A, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 747 Plantation St | open | |
| Jamaica Thymes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 169 Lincoln St | open |
| Jim's Pizza and sub | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 98 Belmont St | open |
| Jordan Deli and Shawarma | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Middle Eastern | 158 Belmont St | open |
| Kyoto Japanese Restaurant Kyoto Japanese Restaurant - Worcester | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 535 Lincoln St | open |
| Lara lounge | Bar | 267 Lincoln St | open | |
| Leanbox - Abbvie Pharmacy | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 381 Plantation St | open | |
| Leo's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 11 Luther Ave | open |
| Lincoln House Of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 273 Lincoln St | open |
| Loyal Cut | Bar | Latin American (other) · Brazilian | 273 Lincoln St | open |
| Lucky's Cafe | Café | Coffee | 102 Grove St | open |
| MacDonald's Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 440 Grove St | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 548 Lincoln St | open |
| Mezcal Tequila Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 11 E Central St | open |
| New England Roast Beef | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 33 Park Ave | open |
| Northworks Bar & Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 106 Grove St | open |
| Nouria's Kitchen Featuring Amato's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 340 Grove St | open | |
| Pampas Brazilian Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Brazilian · Steakhouse · BBQ | 145 E Central St | open |
| Plaza Azteca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 539 Lincoln St | open |
| Pomodoro's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 168 Lincoln St | open |
| Popcorn Works | Other · Dessert | Dessert | 179 Belmont St | open |
| Press Box | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 536 Lincoln St | open |
| Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers Raising Cane's | Quick service | 494 Lincoln Street | open | |
| Ralph's Rock Diner | Bar · Casual dining | American | 148 Grove St | open |
| Restaurant Pizza Works | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 456 Grove St | open |
| Ronzio Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 490 Lincoln St | open |
| Rovezzi's Ristorante-Worcester | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 108 Grove St | open |
| Ruby Doo's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 160 Green St | open |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 537 Lincoln St | open |
| Salt & Pepper | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 268 Lincoln St | open |
| Skyline Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1 Officer Manny Familia Wy | open |
| SONOMA Restaurant | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American · European | 363 Plantation St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1 W Boylston St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Quick service · Café | Coffee | 11 E Central St | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 529 Lincoln St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 490 Lincoln St | open |
| Sundese Sundaes | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 301 Green Hill Pkwy | open |
| Table Talk Pies Inc | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 28 Bowditch Dr | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 463 Lincoln Street | open |
| Tandoori Kebab & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 560 Lincoln St | open |
| Tb Restaurant Management | Quick service | 463 Lincoln St | open | |
| Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Steakhouse | 535 Lincoln St | open |
| The Fix Burger Bar The Fix | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 108 Grove St | open |
| Thien Anh Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 535 Lincoln St | open | |
| Tiny C Snacks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Brazilian | 560 Lincoln St | open |
| Torito Mexican Restaurant Torito Worcester Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 537 Lincoln St | open |
| Tweed's Pub Restaurant | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers | 229 Grove St # 1707 | open |
| Wen Hing Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 106 Lincoln St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 492 Lincoln Street | open |
| Yan's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 20 Boylston St | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 14 W Boylston St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 35 | 31 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 40 | 36 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 39 | 35 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 37 | 33 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 38 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 38 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 37 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 37 | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 37 | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 36 | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 39 | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 36 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 42 | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 41 | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 42 | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 41 | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 49 | 44 | 14 | 24 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 51 | 45 | 16 | 23 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 51 | 43 | 14 | 23 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 52 | 44 | 14 | 23 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 45 | 38 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 47 | 41 | 15 | 18 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 47 | 41 | 14 | 19 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 52 | 46 | 14 | 22 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 48 | 43 | 14 | 18 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 46 | 41 | 14 | 16 | 10 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 46 | 41 | 12 | 20 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 45 | 40 | 12 | 19 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |