BMIE Market 01606
Worcester County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 22,844 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,351 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,192 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±595 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,077 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,449 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $92,105 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,019 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,584 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±136 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $370,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,722 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01606 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 15.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -8.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +14.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +29.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +55.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 35 (range 30–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.32) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01606. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.32, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.3 | 80 | 40% | +32.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 66.8 | 67 | 35% | +23.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 37.6 | 38 | 25% | +9.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 22,844 | 84 | 40% | +33.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 92,105 | 75 | 40% | +30.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,192 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 14.8 | 58 | 35% | +20.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.6 | 58 | 25% | +14.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 22,844 | 84 | 20% | +16.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 92,105 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -8.8 | 20 | 50% | +9.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 14.8 | 58 | 30% | +17.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 29.2 | 52 | 20% | +10.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (78)
By cuisine
Pizza 16 · American 10 · Dessert 10 · Sandwiches 9 · Coffee 7 · Italian 7 · Bakery 6 · Asian 5 · Chinese 4 · Breakfast 3 · British / Irish pub food 3 · African 2 · Burgers 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Korean 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Seafood 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 41 · Dessert 12 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 11 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 7 · Café 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Other 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Chefs Italian Restaurant and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · American | 317 W Boylston St | open |
| 99 Restaurants | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food | 900 W Boylston St | open |
| All purpose bakery | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Dessert | 25 Francis St | open |
| Apple Spice Cafe & Juice Bar | Other | Sandwiches | 25 Francis St | open |
| Baystate Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 54 Rockdale St | open |
| Beijing Palace | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 321 W Boylston St | open |
| Ben & Jerry's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 135 Brooks St | open |
| Bennie's Bar & Grille | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 13 Mountain St E | open |
| Big Belly Barbecue Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Quinsigamond Community College, 670 W Boylston St | open | |
| Blake Enterprises Ltd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3 E Mountain St Ste 203 | open | |
| Bonchon Chicken Bonchon Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 81 Gold Star Boulevard | open | |
| Brattle Stop Market | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches | 1 Brattle St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 711 W Boylston St | open |
| Burncoat Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 370 Burncoat St | open |
| Burrito Bombs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 27 W Mountain St Ste 4 | open | |
| Bushel and Peck Summit Bushel 'N Peck - Grafton | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 17 Mountain St E | open |
| Checkers Checkers | Quick service | 99 Gold Star Blvd | open | |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 80 Gold Star Blvd | open |
| CHOOSE AND MIX KOREAN HIBACHI RAMEN | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Japanese · Asian | 5 Mountain St E | open |
| Crown Meat Market Deli Bakery | Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery | Sandwiches · Bakery | 131 Gold Star Blvd | open |
| Dacosta's Pizza Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 40 Millbrook St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 947 West Boylston St | open |
| Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 540 W Boylston St | open |
| Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 667 W Boylston St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 765 W Boylston St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 67 W Boylston St Yankee Gas Station | open |
| Eddys Pub Pizza and Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 317 W Boylston St | open |
| Eggroll Lady and Fish Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Seafood | 609 W Boylston St | open |
| Fastway Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 84 W Boylston St | open |
| Foodbeat Mediterranean Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · German / Eastern European | 667 W Boylston St | open |
| Francos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1105 W Boylston St | open |
| Gallaghers | Bar · Casual dining | 97 W Boylston St | open | |
| Girl Scout Cookies | Dessert | Dessert | 81 Gold Star Blvd | open |
| Gold Star Restaurant | Casual dining | American | 68 W Boylston St | open |
| Golden Pita Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 667 W Boylston St | open | |
| Greater Good Imperial Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 55 Millbrook St #2804 | open | |
| Greendale Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 414 W Boylston St | open |
| Greendale's Pub | Bar | 404 W Boylston St | open | |
| Harp & Eagle Restaurant Co., Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food | 1160 W Boylston St | open |
| Harvest Moon 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 75 W Boylston St | open |
| Honey Dew Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 947 W Boylston St | open |
| Honey Dew Donuts Honey Dew Kempton | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 1181 W Boylston St | open |
| Honey Farms | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 99 Gold Star Blvd | open |
| Hong Kong Island Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 880 W Boylston St | open |
| Jan's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 580 W Boylston St | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 70 Gold Star Boulevard | open |
| Jimmy's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9 E Mountain St | open |
| Jollof Masters - Worcester | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 25 Francis St | open |
| Kelly's Roast Beef Kelly's Roast Beef | Other | Sandwiches · Seafood · American | 70 Gold Star Blvd | open |
| Lizard Mill Sauce Co | Bar | 25 Francis St | open | |
| Lou Roc's Diner | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 1074 W Boylston St | open |
| MC Strength and Conditioning | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7 Neponset St | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 766 W Boylston St | open |
| Min's Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 582 W Boylston St | open |
| Olo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 40 Millbrook St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 120 Gold Star Boulevard | open |
| Papa Gino's Papa Gino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 681 W Boylston St | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 292 W Boylston St | open |
| Ps40 Hospitality Group, Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 80 Gold Star Blvd | open | |
| Quinn’s Irish Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 715 W Boylston St | open |
| Ready Set Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 292 W Boylston St | open |
| Road Runner Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 852 W Boylston St | open |
| Rocco's Doughnut Company Rocco's Doughnut Company | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 947 W Boylston St | open |
| Route 12 Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 580 W Boylston St | open |
| Smitty's Tavern | Bar | 611 W Boylston St | open | |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 7 Neponset St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 576 W Boylston St | open |
| Tacos Mexico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7 Neponset St | open |
| Tembo Grill - A Kenyan Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | African · American | 1105 W Boylston St | open |
| The Dogfather | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 84 Holden St | open |
| The Garage Bar | Bar | 34 Aroostook St | open | |
| Trackside Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 541 W Boylston St | open | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 81 Goldstar Boulevard | open |
| Tutti Frutti | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Tea / bubble tea · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Korean | 121 Gold Star Blvd | open |
| Wayne's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 93 W Boylston St | open |
| Wicked Wing Co | Bar · Casual dining | 321 W Boylston St | open | |
| Worcester Glass Company-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 376 W Boylston St | open | |
| Wraps 'N' Bowls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 667 W Boylston St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 24 | 20 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 20 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 18 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 27 | 22 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 27 | 21 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 30 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 28 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 12 | — | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 16 | — | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 15 | — | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 15 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 14 | — | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 32 | 26 | 8 | 16 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 33 | 28 | 7 | 18 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 35 | 30 | 7 | 20 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 32 | 26 | 8 | 15 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 32 | 26 | 7 | 14 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 34 | 27 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 25 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 45 | 35 | 12 | 18 | 5 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 44 | 34 | 8 | 23 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 34 | 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 18 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 38 | 30 | 9 | 18 | — | 6 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 40 | 33 | 12 | 18 | — | 6 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 36 | 31 | 10 | 19 | — | 5 | NAICS2022 |