BMIE Market 01583

Worcester County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,606 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,924 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±144 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,591 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,721 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$106,094 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,237 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±143 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$441,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,760 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	12.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 01583
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+23.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+133.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 17–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 01583. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.9	74	40%	+29.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.1	59	35%	+20.7
Market Momentum Score	66.6	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,606	67	40%	+26.7
Median household income (ACS)	106,094	85	40%	+33.9
Households (ACS)	2,924	67	20%	+13.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	35%	+23.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.6	23	25%	+5.7
Population (ACS)	7,606	67	20%	+13.3
Median household income (ACS)	106,094	85	20%	+16.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	23.5	66	30%	+19.8
20-year restaurant growth	23.5	48	20%	+9.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (44)

By cuisine

Dessert 6 · American 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 4 · Coffee 4 · Italian 4 · Bakery 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chinese 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 8 · Dessert 7 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Glow Dance and Fitness	Restaurant (service type not stated)		235 W Boylston St Ste D	open
AJ's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	67 W Boylston St	open
Brown Rice Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	184 W Boylston St	open
Captain Rons Catering	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		Beaman and Fletcher Sts /Wauchusett Truangle	open
Cheoy Lee's 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian · Sushi · Japanese	45 Sterling St	open
China Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Chinese · Asian	184 W Boylston St	open
Country Kettle	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	27 Sterling St	open
Custom Beverage Services	Restaurant (service type not stated)		193 W Boylston St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	328 W Boylston St	open
Dam Good Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)		76 Central St	open
Darby's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	76 Central St D	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	244 W Boylston St	open
Froze Zone	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	184 W Boylston St	open
Gerardo's Italian Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Italian · Dessert	339 W Boylston St	open
Gourmet Donuts Gourmet Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	231 W Boylston St	open
Grumpy's Dogs	Quick service · Food truck	Hot dogs	216 W Boylston St	open
Jake's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	235 W Boylston St	open
Joys Rocking Horse Pub and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		128 W Boylston St	open
Keepers Pub	Bar		175 W Boylston St	open
M & T Hospitality Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		185 W Boylston St	open
Maken Zi Ramen & Rice Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	26 W Boylston St	open
Mamacitas West Boylston	Restaurant (service type not stated)		184 W Boylston St #10	open
McDonald's	Quick service		65 W Boylston St	open
Meola's Wayside Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	165 W Boylston St	open
Mortar and Pestle FT	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 Beaman St.	open
NOLA Cajun Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	340 W Boylston St	open
Oli's Italian Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	339 W Boylston St	open
Pinecroft Dairy and Restaurant	Casual dining	Seafood · American	539 Prospect St	open
Pizza Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	184 W Boylston St	open
S and S Farms and Deli Marketplace	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	307 W Boylston St	open
School Yahd	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		216 W Boylston St Ste 400	open
Shake Up	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	179 W Boylston St	open
Shannon's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	76 Central St B	open
Steve's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	341 MA-12	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	197 W Boylston St # 2	open
Table Twelve Kitchen & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	175 W Boylston St	open
Tee's Deli & Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	26 W Boylston St Unit 5	open
The Children Of Tomorrow, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		42 W Boylston St	open
The Do, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		67 W Boylston St	open
The Manor	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		42 W Boylston St	open
The Mill 185	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		185 W Boylston St	open
West Boylston Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	69 Sterling St	open
West Boylston Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	321 W Boylston St	open
Finders Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		171 W Boylston St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	9	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	14	7	5	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	11	6	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS1997
2001	14	13	6	4	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	17	16	7	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	17	6	6	5	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	17	6	5	6	1	NAICS2002
2005	15	14	6	4	4	—	NAICS2002
2006	17	14	5	5	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	12	6	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	15	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	18	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	18	17	7	7	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	21	20	9	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	19	19	8	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	17	7	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	16	9	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	19	10	5	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	21	9	4	7	—	NAICS2012
2017	20	20	8	6	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	18	7	6	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	16	6	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	16	6	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	18	8	5	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	24	12	5	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	21	9	6	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 01583. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
01522	4.0 mi	1	2016
01505	4.0 mi	6	2023
01606	4.3 mi	31	2023
01520	4.4 mi	21	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.