BMIE Market 02125

Suffolk County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	33,662 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,715 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,246 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±614 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	33,295 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,263 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,953 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,485 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,949 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±127 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$657,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,398 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02125
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+15.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+25.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	46 (range 41–51) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02125. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.1	81	40%	+32.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.1	67	35%	+23.5
Market Momentum Score	58.3	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	33,662	91	40%	+36.4
Median household income (ACS)	82,953	66	40%	+26.2
Households (ACS)	14,246	93	20%	+18.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	15.8	59	35%	+20.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.1	60	25%	+15.0
Population (ACS)	33,662	91	20%	+18.2
Median household income (ACS)	82,953	66	20%	+13.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.8	61	50%	+30.6
10-year restaurant growth	15.8	59	30%	+17.8
20-year restaurant growth	25.7	50	20%	+9.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (97)

By cuisine

Asian 14 · American 13 · Coffee 11 · Bakery 9 · Pizza 9 · Caribbean 7 · Dessert 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Mexican 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Italian 4 · Japanese 4 · Noodles / ramen / pho 4 · Seafood 4 · Vietnamese 4 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Chinese 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · African 2 · Breakfast 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Indian 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Sushi 2 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 65 · Bar 18 · Casual dining 15 · Bakery 12 · Quick service 12 · Coffee shop 9 · Dessert 7 · Café 6 · Fast casual 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
110 Grill 110 Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1 District Ave	open
224 Boston Street	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	224 Boston St	open
809 Smoke Shop	Bar		727 Dudley St	open
Anna's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1035 Dorchester Ave	open
Applebee's Applebee's Brasil	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11A Allstate Road South Bay Shopping Center	open
Avenue Grille and Pizzeria	Casual dining · Bar	Italian · Pizza	856 Dorchester Ave	open
Ba Le Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Sandwiches · Asian	1052 Dorchester Ave	open
Ban Toi Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1035 Dorchester Ave	open
Bibim Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	196 Quincy St	open
Borinquen Bakery & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Caribbean · Latin American (other) · Bakery	112 Stoughton St	open
Boston Pizza Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	535 Columbia Rd	open
Broma Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	111 Broma Drive	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1208 Dorchester Ave	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	100 William T Morrissey Blvd	open
Canton House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6 Hancock St	open
Carson Place	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	180 Mt Vernon St	open
Casa Real	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	860 Dorchester Ave	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	27 District Ave	open
Comfort Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · African	611 Columbia Rd	open
Crumbl - Dorchester	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	21 District Ave	open
Dave's Hot Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10 District Ave	open
Dawn's Baked Goods	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	120 Boston St	open
dbar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		1236 Dorchester Ave	open
Delicias Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · Caribbean · American	149 Stoughton St	open
Dora Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	112 Stoughton St	open
Dorchester Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		1250 Massachusetts Ave	open
Dot Tavern	Bar		840 Dorchester Ave	open
Dublin House	Bar	British / Irish pub food	7 Stoughton St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1236 Dorchester Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Quick service		100 Morrissey Blvd	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	100 Morrissey Blvd, University of Massachusetts Boston	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	847 Dorchester Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	1100 Mass Ave Stop & Shop	open
Fiskie's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	27 Harbor Point Blvd	open
Foley M F	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	24 W Howell St	open
Gạo Vietnamese Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	1035 Dorchester Ave	open
Ghost Pepper Taco + Tequila Bar	Bar	Spanish / tapas · Mexican · Latin American (other)	120 Savin Hill Ave	open
Great Wok Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1284 Massachusetts Ave #1608	open
Gyu-Kaku Gyu-Kaku Singapore - Japanese BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · BBQ	23 District Ave	open
Handy's Café	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	554 Columbia Rd	open
Harp and Bard	Casual dining · Bar	American	1099 Dorchester Ave	open
Home Run Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Latin American (other) · Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegetarian	1269 Massachusetts Ave	open
Honeycomb Cafe Honeycomb Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	107-109 Savin Hill Ave	open
Hong Kong Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)		889 Dorchester Ave Ste A	open
Ina's Lady Garten	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	43 Sumner St	open
J's International Cuisine	Food truck	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern		open
JJ's Irish Pub & Grille	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	1130 Dorchester Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	695 Columbia Rd	open
KingDo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Asian	1154-1156 Dorchester Ave	open
Kura Revolving Sushi Bar Kura Revolving Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	39A District Ave	open
La Parrilla Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	299 Hancock St	open
Laura's restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African	688 Columbia Rd	open
Lucky Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · BBQ · Asian	1107 Dorchester Ave	open
M&M BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1250 Massachusetts Ave	open
McKenna's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	109 Savin Hill Ave	open
MJ Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	889 Dorchester Ave #2	open
Mofongo Factory Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	299 Hancock St	open
Navarrete Restaurant Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Pizza · Latin American (other)	445 Columbia Rd	open
New Ho Toy	Restaurant (service type not stated)		746 Dudley St	open
New York Fried Chicken halal	Quick service	Pizza · Chicken / wings	531 Columbia Rd	open
Nhu Lan Restaurant	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1157 Dorchester Ave	open
Noodle Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	100 William T Morrissey Blvd	open
Oasis Caribbean Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	33 Hancock St	open
Oasis Enterprize Group I	Restaurant (service type not stated)		33 Hancock St	open
Olive Garden Italian Restaurant Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Italian · Healthy / salads / bowls	11B Allstate Rd	open
Open Sea Fish Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	6 Hancock St	open
Panda Express Panda Express	Quick service		5 District Ave	open
Panera Bread Panera Bread	Bakery · Fast casual	Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	8 Allstate Road	open
Pantry Pizza & Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	931 Dorchester Ave	open
Picalonga Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	744 Dudley St	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7 Allstate Rd	open
Pleasant View Market	Dessert		1 Savin Hill Ave	open
Raymundo Bakery and Taqueria	Bakery	Mexican · Bakery	1224 Dorchester Ave	open
Rice Post	Bar		33 Romsey St	open
Sabor Dominicano	Restaurant (service type not stated)		112 Stoughton St	open
Sally's Apizza Sally's Apizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	South Bay Shopping Center, 9 District Ave	open
Savin Bar and Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar	American	116 Savin Hill Ave	open
Shanti Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	1111 Dorchester Ave	open
Side Chick	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Halal / kosher · American	726 Dorchester Ave	open
Singh's Roti Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Caribbean	554 Columbia Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	45 Morrissey Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7 Allstate Rd	open
Sugar Bowl	Coffee shop	Coffee	857 Dorchester Ave	open
Sweet Teez Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1211 Dorchester Ave	open
The Banshee	Bar · Casual dining		934 Dorchester Ave	open
The Chester Tavern	Casual dining · Bar	American	1121 Dorchester Ave	open
The Halal Guys The Halal Guys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern	10 District Ave Unit C-15	open
The Munchie Station	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	996 Dorchester Ave	open
The Pearl	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	20B District Ave	open
Tom English's	Bar		946-952 Dorchester Ave	open
Totto Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	20A District Ave	open
Upham's House Of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	566 Columbia Rd	open
Van's Shabu & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1156 Dorchester Avenue	open
Venice Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	39 Savin Hill Ave	open
Wahlburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9 District Ave	open
Xing Rong Inc Dba Hong Kong Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)		889A Dorchester Ave	open
Iv Adelphia, Inc. D B A Uphams House Of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		566 Columbia Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	30	22	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	28	21	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	29	20	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1997	40	31	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1998	40	27	12	12	3	11	NAICS1997
1999	45	32	14	12	5	11	NAICS1997
2000	44	30	11	13	5	12	NAICS1997
2001	41	28	9	12	6	11	NAICS1997
2002	42	31	12	14	4	10	NAICS1997
2003	44	35	15	17	3	8	NAICS2002
2004	45	37	17	17	3	7	NAICS2002
2005	44	36	14	19	3	7	NAICS2002
2006	49	39	15	20	4	8	NAICS2002
2007	48	38	14	20	4	6	NAICS2002
2008	57	38	16	18	4	6	NAICS2007
2009	56	37	15	18	4	7	NAICS2007
2010	54	38	17	17	4	4	NAICS2007
2011	56	40	17	18	5	4	NAICS2007
2012	63	46	18	24	4	4	NAICS2012
2013	53	38	16	18	4	4	NAICS2012
2014	55	41	16	21	4	3	NAICS2012
2015	58	44	17	23	4	4	NAICS2012
2016	59	46	18	25	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	68	46	17	26	3	5	NAICS2017
2018	62	42	15	24	3	5	NAICS2017
2019	60	41	15	23	3	4	NAICS2017
2020	60	42	18	21	3	3	NAICS2017
2021	63	44	19	22	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	65	46	20	24	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	63	44	18	24	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02125. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02122	1.4 mi	47	2023
02127	1.6 mi	72	2023
02119	1.6 mi	34	2023
02118	1.7 mi	97	2023
02121	1.8 mi	28	2023
02171	2.3 mi	55	2023
02124	2.3 mi	40	2023
02205	2.3 mi	1	2010
02210	2.4 mi	84	2023
02120	2.4 mi	18	2023
02111	2.4 mi	124	2023
02115	2.6 mi	95	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.