BMIE Market 02121
Suffolk County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 29,040 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,291 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,760 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±731 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 25,978 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,589 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $43,136 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,773 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,325 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±118 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $590,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±101,924 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02121 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +133.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +300.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 34 (range 31–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02121. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 56.0 | 56 | 40% | +22.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.9 | 70 | 35% | +24.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 87.7 | 88 | 25% | +21.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 29,040 | 88 | 40% | +35.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 43,136 | 8 | 40% | +3.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,760 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 100 | 92 | 35% | +32.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.6 | 74 | 25% | +18.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 29,040 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 43,136 | 8 | 20% | +1.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 85 | 50% | +42.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 100 | 92 | 30% | +27.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 133.3 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (63)
By cuisine
Caribbean 9 · American 8 · Latin American (other) 8 · Bakery 6 · Pizza 6 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · Asian 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Vegan 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Bar 5 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Café 2 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3Jhookah | Bar | 646 Blue Hill Ave #4 | open | |
| Across The Border Food Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 196 Quincy St | open |
| Biff's Lounge | Bar | 24 Washington St | open | |
| Birria Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 224 Columbia Rd | open |
| Bluehill CAFE | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · Coffee | 491 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Brew At The Zoo | Bar | 1 Franklin Park Rd | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 100 Washington St | open |
| Burritos Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 224 Columbia Rd | open |
| Caked | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 196 Quincy St | open |
| Caramelo Bakery & Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 375 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Clarke's Cakes & Cookies | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 196 Quincy St | open |
| Cool Shade | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 388 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Country Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 105 Crawford St | open |
| Don Tequeño y Doña Arepa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 491B Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Dorchester Fast Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 446 Blue Hill Ave # A | open | |
| Dublin House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · Pizza | 197 Humboldt Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 456 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Eagle Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 661 Warren St | open |
| El Dugout Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 122 Seaver St | open |
| Flames Restaurant Flames Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 469 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Food For The Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 651 Warren St | open |
| Fresh Food Generation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 196 Quincy St | open | |
| Giddy-Up Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | Franklin Park, 1 Franklin Park Rd | open |
| Gilbert ice cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | Boston | open |
| Grove Hall Creamery | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies | 444 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Island Style | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 183 Washington St | open |
| Josephine's Baking Co | Bakery | Bakery | 196 Quincy St | open |
| Keith's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 469 Blue Hill Ave | open | |
| Ki'javi Juice | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 143 Washington St | open |
| Kingston Construction | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 202 Washington St | open | |
| La Cuchara Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 381 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| La Esquina Sandwiches | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 624 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Levi's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Seafood | 323 Washington St | open |
| Little G Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 196 Quincy St | open |
| Magic Empanadas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 196 Quincy St | open |
| Mico Hookah Smoke Shop | Bar | 208 Washington St Ste B | open | |
| Momentos dulces café and bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 208 Columbia Rd | open |
| Murl's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 143 Washington St | open |
| New York Fried Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 446 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Oasis Vegan Veggie Parlor | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 340 Washington St | open |
| Prieto Empanadas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 202 Humboldt Ave | open |
| Rino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 730 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Santo Domingo Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · Caribbean | 179 Washington St #3604 | open |
| Slide By Food Truck | Food truck | 196 Quincy St | open | |
| Smith and Wollensky | Bar | American | 45 Quincy St | open |
| Star Island | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 375 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Stash's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 612 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Stone & Skillet | Bakery | Bakery | 196 Quincy St | open |
| Sun Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 46 Washington St | open |
| Teri-Yummy | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Japanese | 196 Quincy St | open |
| The Rotisserie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 651 Warren St | open |
| The Wake Up Boston | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 143 Washington St | open | |
| Tony's Chimi. | Quick service · Food truck | Sandwiches | 301 Columbia Rd | open |
| Vaughan Fish & Chips | Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food · Seafood | 1 Erie St | open |
| Walaikums | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 491 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Wingz and Tingz | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 388 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Yamacu | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 196 Quincy St | open |
| Yang's Dumplings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 196 Quincy St | open | |
| Yaz house of pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · American | 661 Warren St | open |
| Yelus | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 116 Washington St | open |
| YoMomma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 98 Harvard Ave | open | |
| Your Bread n’ Butter Food Service | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 10 Washington St | open |
| Your-Bread n' Butter | Catering | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 103 Homestead St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 6 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 19 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 28 | 22 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 21 | 8 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 28 | 23 | 8 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 23 | 8 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 34 | 27 | 9 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 35 | 28 | 12 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2022 |