BMIE Market 02124
Suffolk County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 56,216 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,806 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 20,287 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±819 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 47,783 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 19,053 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $81,923 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,617 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,684 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $650,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,714 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02124 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -13.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +33.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +48.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 39 (range 34–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02124. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.6 | 85 | 40% | +33.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59.7 | 60 | 35% | +20.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 24.5 | 24 | 25% | +6.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 56,216 | 98 | 40% | +39.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,923 | 65 | 40% | +25.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 20,287 | 98 | 20% | +19.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -11.1 | 18 | 35% | +6.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.1 | 84 | 25% | +21.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 56,216 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,923 | 65 | 20% | +12.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -13.0 | 17 | 50% | +8.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -11.1 | 18 | 30% | +5.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 33.3 | 54 | 20% | +10.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (84)
By cuisine
Caribbean 16 · Coffee 15 · American 13 · Pizza 10 · Dessert 8 · Italian 7 · Bakery 5 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Mexican 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · African 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 58 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 7 · Bar 5 · Specialty food shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams Corner Cafe | Café · Specialty food shop | Coffee | 782 Adams St | open |
| African Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1736 Dorchester Ave | open | |
| American Provisions | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 1971 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Anthony's at Adams Village | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 789 Adams St | open |
| Artizan Bakery Bistro Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 38 Norfolk St | open | |
| Billy's Texas BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 530 Washington St | open |
| Blue Smoke | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1132 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Bon Appetit Restaurant Bon Appetit Restaurant & Marina Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1132 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| BRED - Lower Mills | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 2255 Dorchester Ave | open |
| cake pops boston, inc | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 2267 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Cape Verde Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · African | 481 Geneva Ave | open |
| Charlie's House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1740 Dorchester Ave | open |
| China Sky Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 784 Adams St | open |
| China Station | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 532 Washington St | open |
| Cool Hand Luke Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2261 Dorchester Ave | open | |
| Country Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 758 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Dimitrios House Of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1750 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Dorset Restaurant Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 772 Adams St | open | |
| Dot2Dot Cafe | Café | Coffee | 1739 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Down Home Delivery & Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · BBQ · American | 2 Bowdoin St | open |
| Dulce Bakery & Cafe | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 1151 Blue Hill Ave Unit B | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 2290 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 2100 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 1931 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Eire Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 795 Adams St | open |
| El Barrio Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 1782 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Flames | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1 Peabody Sq | open |
| Flat Black Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1170 Washington St | open |
| Fresh Food Generation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · American | 185 Talbot Ave | open |
| Greek Pizza Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1132 Blue Hill Ave | open | |
| Greenhills Irish Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 780 Adams St | open |
| Herb N Juice Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 501 Washington St | open |
| Johnny's Pizza and Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 1917 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Jp Roti Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 482 Washington St | open |
| Juice & Jazz Cafe | Café | Coffee | 501B Washington St | open |
| Jv Kitchen Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1782 Dorchester Ave | open | |
| Kafé Bistro | Coffee shop | Coffee | 64 Kingsdale St | open |
| Kapow Thai Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 2257 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Kat's Exquisite Cakes | Bakery | Bakery | 228 Park St | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 465 Washington St | open |
| Lala Caribbean Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 792 Washington St | open |
| Legal Seafoods | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 558 Washington St | open |
| Los Nietos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 962 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Lower Mills Donuts, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2290 Dorchester Ave | open | |
| Lower Mills Restaurant Group, Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 2254 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Lower Mills Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American · Vegetarian | 2269 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Lucy's American Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 13 Granite Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 605 Washington St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 515 Gallivan Blvd | open |
| Mervin Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 487 Washington St | open |
| Molinari's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 789 Adams St | open |
| Mr. Kool Ice Cream Truck and Party Rentals | Dessert · Food truck | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 13 Nixon St | open |
| Mum Mich restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5 Bowdoin St | open |
| Next Step Soul Food Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 657 Washington St | open |
| Nick's Pizza & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Seafood | 1143 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Nu Flav Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1100 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Only One Jamaican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 160 Norfolk St | open |
| Oriental House Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 560 Washington St | open |
| Poppa B's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1100 Blue Hill Ave # AVE-3108 | open |
| R & S Jamaican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Indian | 770 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Raphael's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Caribbean · American | 487 Washington St | open |
| Ripple Cafe | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Sandwiches | 1906 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Ruth's Chris Steak House Ruth's Chris Steak House Hawaii | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 45 School St | open |
| Spukies N Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1159 Washington St | open |
| Stalex Restaurant & Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 140 Norfolk St | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 861 Washington St | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4 River St | open |
| Stefano's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 863 Washington St | open |
| Sweet Life Bakery and Cafe | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 2243 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Sweet Sugar Js LLC | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | Harvard St | open |
| Taste Of Eden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 38 Norfolk St | open |
| Tavolo Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1918 Dorchester Ave | open |
| The Bowery Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | American | 2261 Dorchester Ave | open |
| The Ice Creamsmith | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2295 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Top Griyo Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Mexican | 994 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Top Shelf Cookies | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 516 Gallivan Blvd | open |
| Via Cannuccia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1739 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Wings & Tingz Caters | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · American · BBQ | 23 Johnston Rd | open |
| Yellow Door Taqueria Yellow Door South End | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2297 Dorchester Ave | open |
| Yelys Restaurant Dorchester | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Latin American (other) | 830 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Yong Hon Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 772 Blue Hill Ave | open | |
| Ashmont Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 555 Talbot Ave | closed |
| Ripple House Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1906 Dorchester Ave | closed | |
| Sam Maverick Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13 Granite Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 32 | 27 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 28 | 23 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 34 | 28 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 38 | 34 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 44 | 36 | 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 40 | 33 | 10 | 19 | 4 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 37 | 30 | 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 4 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 41 | 30 | 6 | 19 | 5 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 41 | 30 | 5 | 19 | 6 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 45 | 38 | 8 | 24 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 39 | 32 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 47 | 41 | 13 | 24 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 48 | 41 | 10 | 25 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 46 | 40 | 12 | 23 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 46 | 42 | 13 | 23 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 44 | 40 | 12 | 21 | 7 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 51 | 49 | 18 | 25 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 47 | 45 | 16 | 22 | 7 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 48 | 47 | 17 | 23 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 45 | 43 | 15 | 23 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 47 | 45 | 19 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 52 | 49 | 19 | 24 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 50 | 46 | 18 | 22 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 46 | 42 | 14 | 22 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 44 | 40 | 12 | 21 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 48 | 44 | 13 | 24 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 44 | 14 | 24 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 48 | 40 | 14 | 22 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2022 |