BMIE Market 02170

Norfolk County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	18,809 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,477 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,665 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±571 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,505 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,041 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$103,627 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,955 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$668,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,174 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02170
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-6.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+63.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+158.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	45 (range 36–54) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	46 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02170. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.6	82	40%	+32.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.0	64	35%	+22.4
Market Momentum Score	45.6	46	25%	+11.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	18,809	80	40%	+32.1
Median household income (ACS)	103,627	83	40%	+33.3
Households (ACS)	7,665	81	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25.7	68	35%	+23.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	23.4	30	25%	+7.4
Population (ACS)	18,809	80	20%	+16.1
Median household income (ACS)	103,627	83	20%	+16.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-6.4	22	50%	+10.8
10-year restaurant growth	25.7	68	30%	+20.5
20-year restaurant growth	63.0	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (61)

By cuisine

Asian 18 · Chinese 13 · Coffee 8 · American 6 · Dessert 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Thai 4 · Japanese 3 · Mexican 3 · Noodles / ramen / pho 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Indian 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Italian 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 44 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Café 6 · Quick service 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Bar 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Casual dining 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1 Beale St Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Beale St	open
Alumni Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		708 Hancock St	open
Amorepas Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		163 Beale St	open
Babycakes	Bakery	Bakery	163 Beale St	open
Banh Mi Boston	Quick service	Vietnamese · Sandwiches	716 Hancock St	open
Big Fun Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	18 Brook St	open
Brigham's	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	13 Beale St	open
Cafe Maddie	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Vegetarian · Coffee · American	895 Quincy Shore Dr	open
Chaji Creamery	Dessert	Dessert	293 Newport Ave	open
Chili Square	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	666 Hancock St	open
China Jade	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	195 Newport Ave	open
Coffee Break Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12 Old Colony Ave	open
Coffee Break Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	12 Old Colony Ave	open
Confectionately Yours Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	764 Hancock St	open
Crown Royal Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Asian	11 Brook St	open
Dagu Rice Noodle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho · Chinese · Asian	663 Hancock St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	687 Hancock St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	195 Newport Ave	open
Fairy Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	16 Brook St	open
Friendly's	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	699 Hancock St	open
Fuji Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	698 Hancock St	open
Fuzhou Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	10 Brook St	open
Gong Cha Gong Cha	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · Asian	7 Beale St	open
Great Chow	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	15 Beale St	open
Hakata Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	673 Hancock St	open
Hancock Tavern	Bar	American	668 Hancock St	open
Jet Eight Group, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		681 Hancock St	open
Jinye Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	694A Hancock St	open
Koi Hot Pot	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese	21 Beale St	open
La Paloma	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	195 Newport Ave	open
Larb Zaab Thai Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	671 Hancock St	open
Mango Mango Dessert	Dessert	Dessert	13 Beale St	open
Mei Mei Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	22 Brook St	open
Ming Restaurant	Café	Chinese · Coffee	1 Brook St	open
Mosse And Whale Design	Restaurant (service type not stated)		46 Saint Anns Rd	open
Natapong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian		open
New Winsor Dim Sum House and Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	706 Hancock St	open
Oh Ye Coconut Desserts	Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee	667 Hancock St	open
Pad Thai Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		671 Hancock St	open
Papa Gino's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1 Beale St	open
Pizza Connection	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	41 Safford St	open
Rotenga	Restaurant (service type not stated)		180 Old Colony Ave Ste 300	open
Seuy Mack Tenn Ii	Bakery	Bakery	11 Brook St	open
Sher-A-Punjab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	195 Newport Ave	open
Shi Miao Dao	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	5 Brook St	open
Snack Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1 Beale St	open
Summer Blossom Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		21 Beale St	open
Super Chef Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	195 Newport Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings	707 Hancock St	open
Thai Saap Rice & Noodles Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	3 Brook St	open
The Baja Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	793 Quincy Shore Dr	open
The China	Bar	Chinese · Asian	681 Hancock St	open
The Clam Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	789 Quincy Shore Dr	open
Tiranga(by P&D)	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	17 Beale St	open
TKK Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Chicken / wings · Asian	1 Beale St	open
Tony's Clam Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	861 Quincy Shore Dr	open
Tony's House of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	662 Hancock St	open
Wealth Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 Brook St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	191 Newport Ave	open
Windy City Pizza - Quincy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	195 Newport Ave	open
Yaowarat Thai Street Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	6 Beale St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	22	17	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	24	18	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	25	19	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	32	27	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	34	28	13	12	3	5	NAICS1997
1999	34	29	15	11	3	4	NAICS1997
2000	36	29	13	10	6	4	NAICS1997
2001	33	27	10	12	5	4	NAICS1997
2002	30	24	10	11	3	4	NAICS1997
2003	34	27	10	13	4	3	NAICS2002
2004	39	29	11	14	4	6	NAICS2002
2005	39	30	12	13	5	5	NAICS2002
2006	35	27	11	12	4	4	NAICS2002
2007	31	25	7	14	4	4	NAICS2002
2008	32	25	8	13	4	4	NAICS2007
2009	36	30	10	16	4	3	NAICS2007
2010	37	31	9	17	5	3	NAICS2007
2011	36	29	10	14	5	4	NAICS2007
2012	39	34	12	18	4	3	NAICS2012
2013	40	35	8	23	4	3	NAICS2012
2014	42	37	10	23	4	3	NAICS2012
2015	46	40	11	25	4	3	NAICS2012
2016	41	37	8	25	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	46	43	13	26	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	51	47	16	24	7	—	NAICS2017
2019	52	49	17	26	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	43	40	12	24	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	39	35	13	19	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	45	41	16	21	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	48	44	18	22	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 02170. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
02171	1.8 mi	55	2023
02169	1.8 mi	132	2023
02122	2.7 mi	47	2023
02124	3.3 mi	40	2023
02186	3.8 mi	17	2023
02191	3.8 mi	13	2023
02126	3.9 mi	39	2023
02125	4.0 mi	44	2023
02184	4.2 mi	109	2023
02121	4.5 mi	28	2023
02127	4.9 mi	72	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.