BMIE Market 02126
Suffolk County, Massachusetts · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,583 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,959 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,284 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±510 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 25,562 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,151 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $65,709 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,637 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±173 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $542,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,380 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 39 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 02126 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +30.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +56.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +69.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 45 (range 42–48) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.88) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 02126. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.88, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Massachusetts and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 491, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 67.3 | 67 | 40% | +26.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68.6 | 69 | 35% | +24.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 82.1 | 82 | 25% | +20.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,583 | 86 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 65,709 | 40 | 40% | +16.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,284 | 84 | 20% | +16.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 56 | 85 | 35% | +29.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.7 | 54 | 25% | +13.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,583 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 65,709 | 40 | 20% | +8.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 30 | 83 | 50% | +41.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 56 | 85 | 30% | +25.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 69.6 | 74 | 20% | +14.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (59)
By cuisine
Caribbean 17 · Pizza 11 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · African 3 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 46 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 5 · Bar 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Café 1 · Delivery-focused 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali's Roti Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1188 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Best Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 1198 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Bitez | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 914 Morton St | open |
| Blue Mountain Jamaican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 884 Morton St | open |
| Brothers Deli & Restaurant | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1638 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 885 Cummins Hwy | open |
| Cafe JuiceUp | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 1290 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Caribbean Flavors (Boston) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1210 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| China Sea Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1202 Blue Hill Ave # 1819 | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 1514 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Dumpling Kitchen (Mattapan) Dumpling Kitchen (石头记） | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 79 River St | open |
| Dunkin Donuts Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 841 Morton St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 895 Morton St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1621 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Finns Fusion Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1191 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Flames Flames Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 663 Morton St | open |
| Fritay Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 532 River St | open |
| Golden Krust Caribbean Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1614 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Invi restaurant | Bar | Spanish / tapas | 765 Morton St | open |
| Jamaica's Best Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1614 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Joseph's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1200 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| King's Pizza & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1210 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Kuizinn Lakay Plus | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1672 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| L&C Spanish Restaurant | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 1330 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| La Baguette Prime Bakery La Baguette Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 637 River St | open |
| La Belle Capoise | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 884 Morton St | open |
| La Belle Capoise | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 765 Morton St | open | |
| La Belle Creole | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 473 River St | open |
| Lani's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1286 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Las Vegas Express Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1592 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Le Foyer Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Caribbean | 132 Babson St | open |
| Lelene's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1296 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Lenny's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1195 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Lwa Atraksyon | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Boston | open | |
| Magee's Fish House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1336 Blue Hill Ave # A | open |
| Marabou Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1592 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Mattapan House of Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1631 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 1614 Blue Hill Ave | open | |
| Mello Vibez Restaurant llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 473 River St | open |
| Morton's Pizza | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches | 898 Morton St | open |
| Offersushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 52 W Main St | open |
| P & R Ice Cream | Dessert | Caribbean · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1284 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 522 River St | open |
| Pelloma Nigerian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 924 Morton St | open |
| Pit Stop Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 888A Morton St | open | |
| Prestige Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African · Caribbean | 924 Morton St | open |
| Regal Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 686 Morton St | open |
| Right Taste Jamaican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 522 River St | open |
| River Street Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza | 73 River St | open |
| Safari African Restaurant | Casual dining | African · American | 1336 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Simco's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 1509 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Sunny's Cigar Store | Bar | 1635 Blue Hill Ave | open | |
| The BBQ Joint Boston | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 888 Morton St | open | |
| The Halal Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Asian | 686 Morton St | open |
| Top of the Hill Seafood & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Sandwiches | 1357 Blue Hill Ave | open |
| Toutwèl Restaurant | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 643 River St | open |
| Viko's Pizza & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Pizza | 855 River St | open |
| Viko's Pizza & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Pizza | 855 River St | open |
| Red Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1592 Blue Hill Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 27 | 26 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 25 | 24 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 21 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 26 | 24 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 28 | 24 | 2 | 19 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 26 | 22 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 28 | 23 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 24 | 3 | 17 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 28 | 23 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 30 | 26 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 18 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 28 | 25 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 22 | 3 | 14 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 29 | 26 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 26 | 5 | 17 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 25 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 29 | 24 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 18 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 30 | 27 | 5 | 19 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 24 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 24 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 34 | 30 | 5 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 37 | 7 | 27 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 38 | 34 | 8 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 35 | 8 | 24 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 37 | 35 | 9 | 23 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 43 | 39 | 11 | 24 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |