BMIE Market 06475
Middlesex County, Connecticut · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,575 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,672 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 10,242 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,602 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $114,333 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,577 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 57.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,846 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±325 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $538,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49,223 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 15.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 53 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 06475 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 49.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +6.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +17.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +15.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +32.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 56 (range 52–60) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.57) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 06475. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.57, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Connecticut and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 258, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.7 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.8 | 56 | 35% | +19.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 58.2 | 58 | 25% | +14.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,575 | 72 | 40% | +28.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 114,333 | 88 | 40% | +35.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,672 | 73 | 20% | +14.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.8 | 61 | 35% | +21.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 50.1 | 10 | 25% | +2.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,575 | 72 | 20% | +14.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 114,333 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 6 | 63 | 50% | +31.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 17.8 | 61 | 30% | +18.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 15.2 | 43 | 20% | +8.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (108)
By cuisine
American 20 · Coffee 14 · Italian 13 · Pizza 10 · Seafood 10 · Dessert 9 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Asian 6 · Bakery 6 · Japanese 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 4 · Greek 3 · Indian 3 · Sushi 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 71 · Casual dining 17 · Bar 14 · Quick service 14 · Café 12 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 8 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3rd Generation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1057 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| 745 Osteria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 745 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Advanced Colon Care Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 929 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Advanced Endodontic Associates Llc-sba Small 7a Term | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 26 Elm St | open | |
| AJ Noodle Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Noodles / ramen / pho · Japanese | 210 Main St | open |
| Alforno Trattoria • Bar • Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1654 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Ashlawn Farm Coffee | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 455 Boston Post Rd #1 | open |
| Aspen Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2 Main St | open |
| Atlantic Seafood Atlantic Seafood Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1400 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Dunkin' | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1635 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Ben & Jerry's Ben & Jerry's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 19 Main St | open |
| Bongo Ron's Cigar and Lounge | Bar | 65 Main St | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 607 Boston Post Road | open |
| Cafe Toscana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 25 Main St | open | |
| Cantina @ Chalker Beach Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café | Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 104 Chalker Beach Rd | open |
| Cantina beach | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1596 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Capibara LLC | Bakery | Bakery | 352 Middlesex Tpke | open |
| Comfort Café LLC | Café · Bar | Coffee · American | 90 Essex Rd | open |
| Courtyard Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 105 Elm St #1 | open |
| Cuckoo's Nest Cuckoo's Nest | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 1712 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dagmar's Desserts | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 75 Main St | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | Dairy Queen Store 1370 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Deacon Timothy Pratt Bed & Breakfast | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 325 Main St | open |
| Dock & Dine Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 145 College St | open |
| Duby's Bagels and Bakery | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 785 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 923 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Emilio Italian Restaurant & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 45 Mill Rock Rd E | open | |
| Fenwick Ice Cream Co. | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 855 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Fiore Pizzeria & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 210 Main St | open |
| Fiores of Old Saybrook | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 210 Main St Ste 3 | open |
| Fire And Ice Restaurant Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 99 Essex Rd | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 28 Spencer Plain Road | open |
| Five Guys | Quick service | 28 Spencer Plain Rd | open | |
| Fresh Salt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2 Bridge St | open |
| Gateway Hyundai Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 235 Middlesex Tpke | open | |
| Gold Tortilla Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1712 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Golden Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 210 Main St | open |
| Hrtk-southern Connecticut,llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 29A Essex Rd | open | |
| Jack Rabbit's Burgers, Wings and Things | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 254 Main St | open |
| Jack's American Bistro and Wine Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 286 Main St | open |
| Jamms | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 787 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Johnny Ad's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 910 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Kenny's Pizzeria And Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Pizza · Sandwiches | 350 Middlesex Turnpike | open |
| Kim's Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Harvey's Beach Great Hammock Road | open | |
| La Marea Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Italian | 9 Indianola Dr | open |
| La Marea Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 732 Middlesex Turnpike | open |
| Little Pub Old Saybrook Little Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 1231 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Liv's Oyster Bar & Restaurant | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 166 Main St | open |
| Liv's Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 26 Bridge St | open |
| Luigi's Restaurant Luigi's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1295 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Mad Coffee Roasters | Café | Coffee | 744 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Main Street Tavern | Bar | 256 Main St | open | |
| Maison En Vie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 875 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Marco's Market | Bakery | Bakery | 104 Ferry Rd | open |
| Market Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 70 Mill Rock Rd E | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1061 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Mi Gente Express Old Saybrook | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | 1271 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Mill Rock Gathering | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 45 Mill Rock Rd E | open |
| Mindy K's Deli And Catering | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Thai | 1610 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Mirsina's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · American | 162 Main St | open |
| Monkey Farm | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 571 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Mr. Jalapeño Mexican Restaurant and Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1231 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Myrcene Ale Co. | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 39 Ragged Rock Rd | open | |
| Mystic Market South Mystic Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 70 Mill Rock Rd E | open |
| Nori | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 286 Main St | open |
| Old Saybrook Pizza Palace & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Seafood · Italian | 1283 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Otter Cove Restaurant & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 99 Essex Rd | open |
| Paperback Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 210 Main St | open |
| Parthenon Diner | Casual dining | American · Greek | 809 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Pasta Vita | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 225 Elm St | open |
| Penny Lane Pub Penny Lane Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 150 Main St | open | |
| People's Cafe Lounge & Sports Bar | Café · Bar | Coffee · Latin American (other) | 1231 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 688 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Pizza Works | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 455 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Pursuit of Pastry | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 719 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Rosemary & Sage | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | 1080 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Saigon City Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 1315 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Sal's Pizza & Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 29 Spencer Plain Rd | open |
| Samurai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 1596 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Saybrook Pizza and Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1550 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Saybrook Soup & Sandwich Co. | Other | Sandwiches | 745 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Sea-Doo Sea-Doo | Quick service | 400 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Shakahari - Vegetarian Indian Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian · Indian | 1458 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Sip Wine Bar | Bar | 85 Main St | open | |
| Skippers Seafood Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Seafood · Mediterranean · Greek | 688 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Som Siam East | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 45 Mill Rock Rd E | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 15 Main St | open |
| Stella D'Oro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1231 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 535 Boston Post Rd. | open |
| Sweet Frog | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 105 Elm St | open |
| Sweet Luna's | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Tea / bubble tea · Dessert | 139 Main St | open |
| Swell | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 188 Main St | open |
| Tequila's Authentic Mexican | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert · Mexican | 1333 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Terra Mar Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2 Bridge St | open |
| The Back Porch | Bar | 142 Ferry Rd | open | |
| The Blue Crab | Bar | 1745 Boston Post Rd | open | |
| The Curry Queen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 93 Elm St | open |
| The Essex The Essex | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 247 Main St | open |
| The Herbery | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Coffee | 1001 Middlesex Turnpike | open |
| The Tea Kettle Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Café | Breakfast · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 1395 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Thehimalayacafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Indian | 1456 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Tissa's Country Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2 Pennywise Ln | open |
| TJ's Restaurant and Pizza &pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 735 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Wayback Burgers Wayback Burgers | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1657 Boston Post Rd | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 28 Spencer Plain Rd | open |
| Zhang's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Japanese · Chinese | 455 Boston Post Rd | open |
| Big Y Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 28 Spencer Plain Rd | closed |
| Touro Brazilian Grill And Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1333 Boston Post Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 42 | 40 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 36 | 34 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 33 | 31 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 39 | 36 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 48 | 42 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 47 | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 42 | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 42 | 38 | 17 | 16 | 5 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 50 | 47 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 51 | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 53 | 50 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 49 | 45 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 48 | 44 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 51 | 47 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 53 | 51 | 31 | 15 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 54 | 51 | 32 | 14 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 54 | 51 | 34 | 12 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 48 | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 51 | 48 | 32 | 11 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 48 | 45 | 29 | 10 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 49 | 45 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 50 | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 53 | 49 | 31 | 13 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 53 | 49 | 31 | 11 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 54 | 50 | 31 | 13 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 55 | 51 | 33 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 51 | 47 | 29 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 51 | 47 | 26 | 15 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 56 | 53 | 33 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 56 | 53 | 32 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |