BMIE Market 07874

Sussex County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,752 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±569 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,272 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±254 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,905 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,347 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$132,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,557 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,763 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±309 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$364,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,374 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 07874
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-5.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+54.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 19–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.43) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 07874. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.43, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.5	79	40%	+31.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.1	62	35%	+21.7
Market Momentum Score	41.6	42	25%	+10.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,752	69	40%	+27.5
Median household income (ACS)	132,500	93	40%	+37.4
Households (ACS)	3,272	68	20%	+13.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	35%	+20.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.4	39	25%	+9.7
Population (ACS)	8,752	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	132,500	93	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	13.3	57	30%	+17.1
20-year restaurant growth	-5.6	18	20%	+3.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 7 · Sandwiches 5 · Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 9 · Quick service 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Buffet 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Brilliant Solution Llc-sba Small 7a Term	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7 Netcong Ave	open
Adam Todd Caterers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		263 US Highway 206	open
Barone's Italian Continental	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	77 US Highway 206	open
Bbg Restaurant Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		172 Lackawanna Dr	open
Bell's Mansion	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	11 Main St	open
Bento Sushi Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	90-80 US-206	open
Big Al’s Tavern in a Basement	Bar		42 River Rd	open
Black Forest Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · European	249 US-206	open
Blessed Pizza and Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	21 US-206	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	129 Route 183,	open
Byram Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	17 US Highway 206	open
Cos Lounge Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
Deli Delicious	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	44 Main St	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	90 US Hwy 206 Shoprite	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	25 US-206	open
East Brookwood Property Owners Association	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2 Brookwood Rd	open
East Tokyo Hibachi & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	90 US Highway 206	open
Empire Buffet	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)		90 Us-206	open
Erik Angry Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		35 Richmond Rd	open
Frank's Trattoria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza · Italian	90 US-206	open
Freddy's Lake House Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	172 Lackawanna Dr	open
Halulu	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	90 US-206	open
Leggo My Bagel - Stanhope	Bakery · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies	13 US-206	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	102 Us Highway 206	open
New Hunan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	17, 3274 US-206	open
NJ Bar and Grill West	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	172 Lackawanna Dr	open
Nutrition Zone Byram	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	17 Route 206	open
Orchard Beer Garden	Bar		172 Lackawanna Dr	open
PrimoHoagies PrimoHoagies	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	90 US-206	open
R D Shoprite Donuts Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9080 US Highway 206	open
Sal's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	81 State Route 183	open
Salt Gastropub	Casual dining · Bar		109 US Highway 206	open
Shakey Jakes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Healthy / salads / bowls · American · Vegan	134 State Route 183	open
Speedy Mart Food Stores	Restaurant (service type not stated)		129 State Route 183	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	90 US Highway 206	open
The Alibi Beach Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	172 Lackawanna Dr	open
The Reuben Performance Garage and BBQ Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	Partridge Rd	open
Tony & Rosemary's Tavern (Stanhope, NJ) 1978-2008	Bar	American	11 US-206	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	11	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	15	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	24	19	8	7	4	2	NAICS1997
2000	27	21	9	10	2	3	NAICS1997
2001	20	16	8	5	3	2	NAICS1997
2002	21	18	8	8	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	9	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	22	19	9	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	23	19	8	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	23	19	9	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	22	18	9	8	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	19	16	9	5	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	12	9	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	8	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	10	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2012	20	18	10	3	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	7	3	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	16	7	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	17	16	7	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	18	17	8	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	18	17	8	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	17	8	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	19	9	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	22	12	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	18	9	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	20	9	7	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	17	17	8	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 07874. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
07857	2.3 mi	10	2023
07843	2.7 mi	11	2023
07850	3.0 mi	5	2023
07821	3.5 mi	9	2023
07852	3.8 mi	19	2023
07828	3.9 mi	22	2023
07856	4.4 mi	8	2023
07820	4.7 mi	4	2018

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.