BMIE Market 08620

Mercer County, New Jersey · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,621 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,705 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,187 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±429 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,693 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,556 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$105,368 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,706 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,640 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$373,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 08620
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-15.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.06) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 08620. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.06, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New Jersey and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 567, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	77.2	77	40%	+30.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.5	55	35%	+19.4
Market Momentum Score	52.1	52	25%	+13.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,621	73	40%	+29.2
Median household income (ACS)	105,368	84	40%	+33.7
Households (ACS)	4,187	72	20%	+14.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	35%	+5.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.5	74	25%	+18.6
Population (ACS)	11,621	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	105,368	84	20%	+16.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.2	79	50%	+39.5
10-year restaurant growth	-15.4	16	30%	+4.7
20-year restaurant growth	10	40	20%	+7.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

Italian 8 · American 7 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Bakery 3 · Dessert 3 · Asian 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Bar 8 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 6 · Specialty food shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 3 · Catering 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alex Trebeck's Basement Bar	Bar		Claude Rd, Yardville, New Jersey	open
Angie’s Luncheonette 2	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	23 Sunnybrae Blvd	open
Bagel House	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	4324 S Broad St	open
Bella Italian Eatery Pizza & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	240 Main St	open
Bent Iron Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		70 Extonville Rd	open
Bordentown Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	5 Mission Rd	open
Camila's Kitchen Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4351 S Broad St	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	19 Sunnybrae Blvd	open
Chuck's Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	4592 S Broad St	open
Chucks B&B Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4592 S Broad St	open
Coltello	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	69 Route 156 # 71	open
Delbert's Tree House	Bar		77 Grand Ave	open
Diamond's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Steakhouse · Seafood	69 RT-156	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	75 Merrick Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4363 S Broad St	open
foodhing restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	114 Yardville Allentown Rd	open
Hogback Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	1 US-130	open
Iccara	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	104 Yardville Allentown Rd	open
Italian Peoples Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	7 Sunnybrae Blvd	open
Komiskey Island	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		133 Cornflower Rd	open
La Forchetta Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	15 Sunnybrae Blvd	open
Lucky 7 Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	5 Mission Rd	open
Mama Dude's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11 Sunnybrae Blvd	open
Mannino's 4 Pizza & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	124 Main St	open
New Flame Lounge	Bar		429 Route 156	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5 Mission Rd Ste 6	open
Pc And N # 14, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4363 S Broad St	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	New Jersey Turnpike, Mile Post 57.8 N	open
Russert's Deli & Food Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	35 Yardville Allentown Rd	open
Scotto & Crimani	Catering	Pizza · Italian	15 Sunnybrae Blvd	open
Settebello Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		104 Yardville Allentown Rd	open
Sun Lok Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5 Sunnybrae Blvd	open
TGI Friday's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	319 US-130	open
The Cellar Lounge	Bar		30 Route 156	open
Villa Mannino	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	73 US Highway 130	open
Wildflowers Too	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	255 NJ-156	open
Yardville Inn Restaurant and Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		200 Yardville Allentown Rd	open
Yogi’s Bagel & Cafe	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	23 Sunnybrae Blvd	open
Diamonds Of Hamilton Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		69 Route 156	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	12	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	13	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	16	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	12	5	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	13	6	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	17	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	13	5	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	13	5	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	17	13	4	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	15	11	3	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	13	4	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	16	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	9	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	12	4	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	13	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	4	3	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 08620. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
08515	3.6 mi	6	2023
08691	3.7 mi	40	2023
08610	3.8 mi	45	2023
08505	3.8 mi	38	2023
08690	3.9 mi	40	2023
08611	4.8 mi	49	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.