BMIE Market 10588

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,783 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±750 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,045 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±274 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,282 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	867 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$178,977 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77,191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±565 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$526,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±103,829 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10588
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	39.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+700.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10588. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.7	70	40%	+27.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.4	47	35%	+16.6
Market Momentum Score	27.8	28	25%	+7.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,783	51	40%	+20.3
Median household income (ACS)	178,977	98	40%	+39.3
Households (ACS)	1,045	50	20%	+10.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	28.8	21	25%	+5.4
Population (ACS)	2,783	51	20%	+10.2
Median household income (ACS)	178,977	98	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	50%	+8.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	14.3	42	20%	+8.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

Italian 4 · Pizza 4 · American 3 · Bakery 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
6 Degrees Or Less Brewery	Brewery / taproom		691 E Main St	open
901 Wood Burning Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	1410 E Main St	open
A Tavola Ristorante Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1410 E Main St	open
Abbotts Frozen Custard	Dessert	Dessert	1143 E Main St	open
Bangkok Spice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1161 E Main St	open
Bellas Pizza & Pasta II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1356 E MAIN St	open
Bob-B-Q's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	958 E Main St	open
Calabria Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	3681 Old Yorktown Rd	open
China Star Ii	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	980 E Main St	open
Francesca Pizza And Pasta Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1356 E Main St	open
Jv Bagels Shrub Oak	Bakery	Bakery	1426 E Main St	open
Lakeland Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1143 E Main St	open
MeMe's Treats Bake Shop	Bakery	Bakery	1402 E Main St	open
No. 1 Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3665 Lee Blvd	open
Romano Restaurant Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		966 E Main St	open
Rubén's Café Restaurante Peekskill	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee		open
Sfk Trust Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1350 E Main St Unit 777	open
The Corner Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1143 E Main St	open
Village Pizza 10588	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1356 E Main St	open
Woori Market Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		950 E Main St	open
Yorktown Fuel	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1137 E Main St Ste F	open
Peppino Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1410 E Main St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	7	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	7	6	6	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	4	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	4	2	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	10	9	3	5	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	2	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	7	7	2	3	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	8	8	2	4	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	2	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	3	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	12	11	4	5	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	10	4	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	9	3	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	9	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10588. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10547	1.6 mi	33	2023
10535	1.8 mi	11	2023
10517	2.8 mi	1	1997
10537	2.9 mi	1	2015
10527	3.1 mi	2	2016
10598	3.8 mi	53	2023
10505	4.2 mi	11	2023
10542	4.3 mi	1	2016
10501	4.4 mi	1	2013
10579	4.4 mi	4	2023
10567	4.6 mi	30	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.