BMIE Market 10709

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,352 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±785 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,628 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±269 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,292 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,781 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$170,417 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,998 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,093 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±230 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$847,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,336 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10709
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+13.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-10.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-10.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+240.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.03) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10709. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.03, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.6	82	40%	+32.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.1	52	35%	+18.2
Market Momentum Score	44.5	44	25%	+11.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,352	71	40%	+28.5
Median household income (ACS)	170,417	98	40%	+39.1
Households (ACS)	3,628	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-10.5	18	35%	+6.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.4	48	25%	+12.0
Population (ACS)	10,352	71	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	170,417	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	13.3	71	50%	+35.7
10-year restaurant growth	-10.5	18	30%	+5.4
20-year restaurant growth	-10.5	17	20%	+3.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (41)

By cuisine

American 9 · Italian 7 · Bakery 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Coffee 3 · Pizza 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · European 2 · Greek 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bagel Park	Bakery	Bakery	24 Mill Rd	open
Burrata Burrata	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Italian	425 White Plains Rd	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	32 Mill Rd	open
Ciao	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	11 John R Albanese Pl	open
Cold Cut City Inc Dba Giovanni's Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		146 Lincoln Ave	open
Cosimo & Johnny's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	330 White Plains Rd	open
Crema CaffÈ	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Italian	9 Sunnyside Terrace	open
D & K Bakery, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		24 Mill Rd	open
D'Gabby Fine French Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	434 White Plains Rd	open
East Bamboo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	17 Mill Rd	open
Eastchester Events, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		660 White Plains Rd	open
Eastchester Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	220 Main St	open
Eastchester Odyssey Diner	Casual dining	American	465 White Plains Rd	open
Eastchester Super Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	230 Main St	open
Gigante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	660 White Plains Rd	open
Giovanni's Delicatessen & Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches · Italian	146 Lincoln Ave	open
Jack's Bar & Restaurant	Bar	British / Irish pub food	219 Main St	open
Jw Bagel	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	24 Mill Rd	open
Marigold	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	434 White Plains Rd	open
Martinis & Chocolates	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	425 White Plains Rd	open
Mason Sandwich Co.	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	33 Mill Rd	open
Meat The Greek Nick The Greek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	8 Mill Rd	open
Mickey Spillane's	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	431 White Plains Rd	open
Pane & Gelato	Café	Coffee	290 White Plains Rd	open
Paradise Bakery & Café (formerly Chester Heights Pastry)	Bakery	Bakery	23 Mill Rd	open
Pat's Oakridge Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		431 White Plains Rd	open
Peter's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Seafood · American	1 Mill Rd	open
Piper's Kilt	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	433 White Plains Rd	open
Pizza Mia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9 Mill Rd	open
Polpettina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	102 Fisher Ave	open
Soup Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)		777 White Plains Rd	open
Sushi Castle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	36 Mill Rd	open
Tapas & Cucina	Bar	Spanish / tapas	434 White Plains Rd	open
Teresa's Bakery & Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	23 Mill Rd	open
The Pizza Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	9 Mill Rd	open
The Snack Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)		660 White Plains Rd	open
Westchester Meat Market	Other	Sandwiches	1 Mill Rd	open
X2o: Xaviars on Hudson	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	71 Water St	open
Yefsi Estiatorio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	219 Main St	open
Pinocchio Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)		309 White Plains Rd	closed
Tellone Deli Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	23 Mill Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	20	17	7	4	6	2	NAICS1997
1999	22	19	9	5	5	2	NAICS1997
2000	21	17	9	4	4	2	NAICS1997
2001	23	22	11	5	6	—	NAICS1997
2002	15	15	12	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	19	11	2	6	1	NAICS2002
2004	22	19	12	1	6	2	NAICS2002
2005	17	16	10	1	5	—	NAICS2002
2006	20	19	13	1	5	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	16	11	1	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	22	17	11	2	4	2	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	9	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	20	17	8	5	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	25	20	9	4	7	2	NAICS2007
2012	23	18	9	4	5	2	NAICS2012
2013	24	19	11	3	5	2	NAICS2012
2014	19	16	7	3	6	2	NAICS2012
2015	19	14	7	3	4	3	NAICS2012
2016	19	14	7	4	3	2	NAICS2012
2017	22	17	10	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	15	8	4	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	15	7	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	15	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	18	7	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	18	7	8	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	23	17	7	7	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10709. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10707	0.8 mi	28	2023
10804	1.2 mi	19	2023
10708	1.6 mi	45	2023
10710	2.2 mi	89	2023
10552	2.3 mi	15	2023
10583	2.6 mi	85	2023
10801	2.8 mi	126	2023
10538	2.9 mi	51	2023
10553	3.3 mi	8	2023
10550	3.7 mi	64	2023
10704	3.7 mi	85	2023
10543	3.8 mi	69	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.