BMIE Market 10804

Westchester County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,108 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,374 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,506 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±402 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,146 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,183 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$250,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,210 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±963 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$927,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,651 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 10804
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+5.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+58.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+72.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 17–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.45) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 10804. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.45, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	86.2	86	40%	+34.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.5	74	35%	+25.7
Market Momentum Score	63.6	64	25%	+15.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,108	78	40%	+31.1
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	40%	+39.9
Households (ACS)	5,506	76	20%	+15.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	35%	+21.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.8	65	25%	+16.3
Population (ACS)	16,108	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	250,001	100	20%	+20.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	5.6	62	50%	+31.0
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	30%	+18.6
20-year restaurant growth	58.3	70	20%	+14.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

Coffee 8 · American 5 · Italian 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Pizza 2 · Sushi 2 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Bar 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
16 Handles 16 Handles	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	77 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Bagels and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Coffee shop · Bakery	Sandwiches · Coffee · Bakery	41 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Bento Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	23 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Biggie Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	60 Ward Dr	open
Broadway Sam's Pizza Place Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1329 North Ave	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	77 Quaker Ridge Rd, 113	open
Cosi	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	77 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Da Giorgio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	77 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Deanna's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1284 North Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	1333 North Ave	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert		open
Eden Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Halal / kosher	1327 North Ave	open
Gourmet Noodles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	77 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
H & R Bialy	Bakery	Bakery	41 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Italian Meateria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	33 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Karuta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	77 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
La Herradura Inc II	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1323 North Ave	open
Maestro's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	1329 North Ave	open
North End Tavern	Bar	American	1301 North Ave	open
Prime Time Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	1319 North Ave	open
Quaker Ridge Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies	41 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Rochelle Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	8 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Sakana Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1287 North Ave	open
Sal's Pizza II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	43 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
SoBol New Rochelle	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	93 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Soup Man	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	1278 North Ave	open
Tasti D-Lite	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1282 North Ave	open
The Fountainhead	Restaurant (service type not stated)		55 Quaker Ridge Rd	open
The Wooden Spoon	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	1282 North Ave	open
The Wooden Spoon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1282 north Ave	open
Traditional Bagel Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	1279 North Ave	open
Continental Hosts Ltd	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1329 North Ave Ste 101	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	13	9	3	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	19	17	8	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	17	15	6	5	4	—	NAICS1997
2002	13	11	6	3	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	14	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	17	14	9	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	17	14	9	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	19	16	9	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	15	13	8	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	20	18	10	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	20	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	19	17	8	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	19	17	7	6	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	16	7	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	16	9	3	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	16	7	4	5	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	15	6	3	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	20	16	7	3	6	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	14	7	3	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	21	18	7	5	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	16	6	4	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	17	7	4	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	18	8	4	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	17	7	4	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	19	7	6	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 10804. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
10709	1.2 mi	17	2023
10538	1.8 mi	51	2023
10707	2.0 mi	28	2023
10801	2.0 mi	126	2023
10708	2.3 mi	45	2023
10552	2.5 mi	15	2023
10543	2.7 mi	69	2023
10583	2.9 mi	85	2023
10553	3.2 mi	8	2023
10710	3.4 mi	89	2023
10803	3.4 mi	37	2023
10550	3.8 mi	64	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.