BMIE Market 11740

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,127 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±834 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,572 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±301 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,454 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,517 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$152,386 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,382 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$684 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±238 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$693,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,953 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11740
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-21.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+28.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.55) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11740. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.55, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.8	81	40%	+32.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.4	49	35%	+17.3
Market Momentum Score	16.0	16	25%	+4.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,127	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	152,386	96	40%	+38.5
Households (ACS)	3,572	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	35%	+5.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.8	43	25%	+10.8
Population (ACS)	10,127	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	152,386	96	20%	+19.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 16 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-21.7	12	50%	+6.1
10-year restaurant growth	-18.2	14	30%	+4.3
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 6 · Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Asian 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 6 · Quick service 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Casual dining 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
51 Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	51 Broadway	open
Alice's Serenity Cafe Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 Broadway	open
Azuma Sushi Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	199 Broadway	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	51 Broadway	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	112 Broadway	open
Ella's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	81 Broadway	open
Grecian Corner Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	88 Broadway	open
Green-jade Chinese Kitchen Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	93 Broadway	open
Greenlawn Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	753 Pulaski Rd	open
Greenway Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	110 Broadway	open
Greenway Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	110 Broadway	open
Grey Meers Pub	Bar		86 Broadway	open
Healy's Inn	Casual dining · Bar		54 Broadway	open
Juici	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	97 Broadway	open
Lisa's Buffalo Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	65 Broadway	open
Mo's Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	75 Broadway Greenlawn	open
Off Broadway Sports	Bar		3 Boulevard Ave	open
Old Fields Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	81 Broadway	open
Panda Chinese Food Delicious	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	757 Pulaski Rd	open
Ruvo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	63 Broadway	open
Spinellis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	763 Pulaski Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	739 Pulaski Rd	open
Starfish Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	29 Northgate Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	97 Broadway	open
Sugar Rush Bake Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	71 Broadway	open
Swallow Kitchen and Cocktails	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	91 Broadway	open
Tres Amigos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	99 Broadway	open
Urban Coffee Urban Coffee - Breakfast All Day Long and Speciality Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	101 Broadway	open
Yogurt Factory	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	97 Broadway	open
Jimmy's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	91 Broadway	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	18	14	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	15	11	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	19	14	6	6	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	16	12	5	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	15	11	5	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	14	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	21	16	7	7	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	8	7	3	3	NAICS2002
2004	22	19	10	7	2	3	NAICS2002
2005	22	17	8	8	1	4	NAICS2002
2006	22	17	10	6	1	4	NAICS2002
2007	21	16	9	4	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	23	18	10	5	3	4	NAICS2007
2009	20	14	8	5	1	4	NAICS2007
2010	23	17	9	6	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	22	16	8	5	3	4	NAICS2007
2012	24	20	9	6	5	3	NAICS2012
2013	26	22	9	7	6	3	NAICS2012
2014	27	23	10	8	5	3	NAICS2012
2015	28	24	9	10	5	3	NAICS2012
2016	28	24	7	12	5	3	NAICS2012
2017	26	22	7	10	5	3	NAICS2017
2018	28	23	8	9	6	3	NAICS2017
2019	29	24	7	10	7	3	NAICS2017
2020	24	20	6	9	5	3	NAICS2017
2021	23	19	6	9	4	3	NAICS2017
2022	24	20	7	8	5	3	NAICS2022
2023	22	18	8	6	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11740. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11731	2.3 mi	67	2023
11721	2.6 mi	9	2023
11743	3.5 mi	168	2023
11746	3.5 mi	101	2023
11768	4.2 mi	60	2023
11725	4.5 mi	93	2023
11724	5.0 mi	6	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.