BMIE Market 11768

Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,030 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,182 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,193 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	21,902 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,325 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$172,570 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,750 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,379 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$801,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,393 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	15.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	60 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11768
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	20.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-3.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+5.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+76.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	66 (range 59–72) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.21) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11768. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.21, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.7	89	40%	+35.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59.5	60	35%	+20.8
Market Momentum Score	39.1	39	25%	+9.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,030	83	40%	+33.2
Median household income (ACS)	172,570	98	40%	+39.2
Households (ACS)	8,193	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	5.3	50	35%	+17.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	27.2	23	25%	+5.8
Population (ACS)	22,030	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	172,570	98	20%	+19.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-3.2	24	50%	+12.1
10-year restaurant growth	5.3	50	30%	+15.0
20-year restaurant growth	42.9	60	20%	+12.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (121)

By cuisine

American 20 · Italian 16 · Coffee 10 · Dessert 10 · Sandwiches 10 · Bakery 8 · Seafood 8 · Pizza 7 · Chinese 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Asian 4 · Breakfast 3 · Mexican 3 · Steakhouse 3 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Greek 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sushi 2 · Burgers 1 · European 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Indian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 75 · Bar 19 · Dessert 13 · Casual dining 11 · Quick service 11 · Bakery 10 · Café 9 · Specialty food shop 9 · Coffee shop 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Catering 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
"crab Meadow Golf Course ""the View Restaurant & Catering"	Bar		220 Waterside Rd	open
54 New Street Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		24 Woodbine Ave	open
Arlo Kitchen and Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1036 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Aunt Chiladas Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	729 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Bagel Bliss	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	1014 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	834c Fort Salonga Rd	open
Batata Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · Coffee	847 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Benkei Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	16 Woodbine Ave	open
Big House Bar & Grill Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1031 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Birdie Bar	Casual dining · Bar		688 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Bistro 44 Bistro 44	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	44 Main St	open
Blackfish Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1031 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Bradford S. Goldner Dba B S G Service	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12 Bayview Ave	open
Branzinos Northport	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood	240 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Brh Management Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		24 Woodbine Ave Ste 301	open
Caffe Portofino	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Italian	249 Main St	open
Campari	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	225 Main St	open
Carl's Candies	Dessert		50 Main St	open
Carvel Carvel Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	525 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Casey Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	256 Main St	open
Charlie’s Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	Charlie’s Bakery, 10 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Cilantro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	40 Woodbine Ave	open
Clipper Ship Tea Company	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	Main St.	open
Copenhagen Bakery Copenhagen Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	75 Woodbine Ave A	open
Corktree Fine Wines & Liquors	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		83 Main St	open
Country Hot Bagels	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	361 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Crab Meadow Restaurant & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	220 Waterside Rd	open
Crestwood Restaurant & Caterer	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1036 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Del Vino Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		29 Norwood Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	838 Fort Salonga Rd(ReloFSConv	open
Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	650 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Elijah Churchill's Public House	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1031 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Fattusco's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	1019 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Feed and Grain	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse · Seafood	73 Main St	open
Garden of Gordon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	529 Main St	open
Gino's of Northport	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	832 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Golden China Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	231 Main St	open
Ground Round Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	747 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Gunther's Tap Room	Bar		84 Main St	open
Halkis Pizza Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 Fort Salonga Rd # 12	open
Happy Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)		780 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Harbor Head Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		81 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Harbor House Northport	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	78 Main St	open
Henry Afrika's	Bar	American	231 Main St	open
Honey Bees Store	Bakery	Bakery	180 Main St	open
Intermezzo Trattoria & Wine Bar	Bar	Italian	10 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Ipbox, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		24 Woodbine Ave	open
j michaels	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	688 Fort Salonga Road	open
Jay Heun	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	395 Fort Salonga Rd # K	open
Kardas Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	359 Asharoken Ave	open
La Capannina Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		688 Fort Salonga Rd	open
La Casa Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	445 Waterside Rd	open
LA PORTA	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	61 Main St	open
Lics Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	74 Main St	open
Macadoo's Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	847 Fort Salonga Road	open
Main Street Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar	Coffee	47 Main St	open
Mama Chan’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	1014 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Maroni Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	18 Woodbine Ave	open
Martoni Gourmet	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	245 Main St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	834 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Ming Kwong, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		395 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Mo's Bagel and Deli Of Northport	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	707 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Moksha Café	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	249 Main St	open
Molmo Food Co Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		78 Main St	open
Napper Tandy's Irish Pub Napper Tandy's Smithtown NY	Bar	British / Irish pub food	229 Laurel Ave	open
New Jade Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	780 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Nicnap17, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		847 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Nina's Pizzeria and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	487 Main St	open
NinasofNorthport	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	487 Main St	open
Nocello's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	843 Fort Salonga Rd	open
North Shore Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	828 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Northport Deli & Caterers	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	437 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Northport Shipwreck Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	46 Main St	open
Northport Sweet Shop	Dessert	Dessert	55 Main St	open
Northport Village Gourmet Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	40 Main St	open
Northport Village NY	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Northside Delicatessen & Gourmet Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Catering	Sandwiches	693 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Panda Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Penny & Cooper	Restaurant (service type not stated)		154 Main St	open
PieZano's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	395 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Pt Of Huntington, Llc Dba 221 Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)		167 Main St	open
Pumpernickel's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European · American	640 Main St	open
Quintessential Cookies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		256 Main St	open
Ralph's Famous Italian Ices Ralph's Italian Ices- Lanoka Harbor, NJ	Dessert	Dessert · Italian	407 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Regalo Trattoria & Pizza Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1014 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Rob's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	Main Street	open
Robke's Northport	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	427 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Rockin Fish	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood	155 Main St	open
rocking horse ice cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	112 Main St	open
Salted. On The Harbor	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	14 Woodbine Ave	open
Salty Dave’s at the VA Golf Course	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	79 Middleville Rd	open
Sand City Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		60 Main St	open
Seven Quarts Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	688 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Ship's Inn	Casual dining	American	78 Main St	open
Show Win Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	325 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Shrimpy's Burrito Bar - Northport	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	650 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Skippers	Bar · Casual dining		34 Main St	open
SoBoL Northport SoBol Beverly	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	832 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Southdown Coffee Southdown Coffee - Huntington	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	72 Main St	open
Sparks and Son Fun Food trailer rentals	Food truck		31 Harrison Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	687 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Sweet Arts	Dessert	Dessert	105 Main St	open
Sweet Mama's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	9 Alsace Pl	open
Symi Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Seafood · Mediterranean	843 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Tap and Tapas	Bar	Spanish / tapas	487 Main St	open
Taste Of China & Tokyo Restaurant Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		780 Fort Salonga Rd	open
The Purple Elephant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Latin American (other) · Healthy / salads / bowls	81b W Fort Salonga Rd	open
The Ritz Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	42 Woodbine Ave	open
The View Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	American	220 Waterside Rd	open
The Wine Cellar on Main	Bar		70 Main St	open
Three Amigos Mexican Grill Ii Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		729 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Venus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	828 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Vespa Italian Chop House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	843 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Village Deli & Bakery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	10 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Vitos Pizzeria & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1014 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Walsh's Irish Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food		open
Whales Tale	Restaurant (service type not stated)		81 Fort Salonga Rd Ste A	open
Yogurt Fancy	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	737 Fort Salonga Rd	open
Gin 45	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1014 Fort Salonga Rd # 81a	closed
Keep Healthy Inc	Quick service		1019 Fort Salonga Rd Ste 112	closed
Roadhouse Empanadas	Restaurant (service type not stated)		79 Middleville Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	36	34	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	36	34	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	40	39	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	45	41	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	41	36	20	12	4	3	NAICS1997
1999	39	36	20	11	5	2	NAICS1997
2000	40	36	20	11	5	2	NAICS1997
2001	41	35	20	11	4	4	NAICS1997
2002	43	41	25	11	5	2	NAICS1997
2003	47	42	26	11	5	4	NAICS2002
2004	44	39	23	9	7	4	NAICS2002
2005	45	39	23	8	8	4	NAICS2002
2006	44	39	24	7	8	4	NAICS2002
2007	44	39	23	9	7	5	NAICS2002
2008	47	44	26	10	8	3	NAICS2007
2009	47	41	23	11	7	4	NAICS2007
2010	49	44	22	13	9	3	NAICS2007
2011	53	47	25	12	10	3	NAICS2007
2012	60	57	27	18	12	2	NAICS2012
2013	60	57	27	19	11	2	NAICS2012
2014	63	60	29	19	12	2	NAICS2012
2015	61	58	26	20	12	2	NAICS2012
2016	64	60	29	18	13	3	NAICS2012
2017	62	58	29	18	11	—	NAICS2017
2018	64	62	30	18	14	—	NAICS2017
2019	64	62	31	17	14	—	NAICS2017
2020	63	61	31	17	13	—	NAICS2017
2021	71	70	33	23	14	—	NAICS2017
2022	60	59	29	16	14	—	NAICS2022
2023	62	60	30	18	12	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 11768. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
11721	2.2 mi	9	2023
11740	4.2 mi	18	2023
11731	4.4 mi	67	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.