BMIE Market 11731
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 29,999 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,808 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,811 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±654 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 30,184 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,454 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $161,132 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,834 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 46.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,412 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±377 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $646,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 8.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 67 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11731 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 19.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +17.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +6.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +36.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +52.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 65 (range 59–71) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.16) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11731. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.16, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.8 | 92 | 40% | +36.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.9 | 63 | 35% | +22.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 64.3 | 64 | 25% | +16.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 29,999 | 89 | 40% | +35.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 161,132 | 97 | 40% | +38.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,811 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 6.4 | 51 | 35% | +17.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 22.3 | 32 | 25% | +7.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 29,999 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 161,132 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 17.5 | 75 | 50% | +37.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 6.4 | 51 | 30% | +15.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 36.7 | 57 | 20% | +11.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (112)
By cuisine
Coffee 20 · Bakery 17 · Sandwiches 17 · Dessert 14 · Asian 13 · Mexican 12 · Pizza 12 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 9 · Italian 8 · American 7 · Burgers 5 · Chinese 5 · Healthy / salads / bowls 5 · Japanese 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Mediterranean 3 · Sushi 3 · Breakfast 2 · European 2 · Greek 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Korean 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 67 · Bakery 19 · Dessert 19 · Quick service 19 · Café 16 · Specialty food shop 10 · Coffee shop 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Little Bit Of Italy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 277A Larkfield Rd | open | |
| Aegean Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 354 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Aki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 2074 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Aki Japanese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 277 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Allen OHara | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery | 75 Circle Dr | open |
| Alma Cocina Mexican | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 354 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Aloha Poké Crêpe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls · Breakfast · Asian | 3030 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Amma Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 398 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Amore Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2 Hewitt Sq | open |
| Anita’s Deli & Restaurant | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Latin American (other) · Sandwiches | 36 Laurel Rd | open |
| Anna's Pizza Of E Northport | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 216 Laurel Rd | open |
| Athenian Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6 Lido Ct | open |
| Athens Square Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 517 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Bagel Boss Bagel Boss | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1941 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Bagelport E.Northport NY | Bakery · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies | 290 Larkfield Rd #2444 | open |
| Baja Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1920 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 314 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Biltmore Kitchens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 295 Larkfield Rd | open | |
| Brownstones Coffee Brownstones Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 361 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Brunello's of East Northport | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 398 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Caracara Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 564 Larkfield Rd | open | |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery | 508A Larkfield Rd | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 346 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1918 Jericho Tpke | open |
| CAVA CAVA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 4097 Jericho Turnpike | open |
| Changing Times Ale House | Bar · Casual dining | 526 Larkfield Rd | open | |
| Chefs of New York | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 508 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4000 Jericho Tpke | open | |
| Chip City Chip City | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 1948 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4000 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Chocolate With A Twist | Dessert | 2032 Jericho Tpke | open | |
| Composano Pizza Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2 Hewitt Sq | open | |
| Cookies by Design Cookies by Design | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 1969 Jericho Turnpike, East Northport, NY, 11731, United States | open |
| Cookies by Design | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1969 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Cream Me Bakery | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 3010B Jericho Tpke | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4005 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Del Fuego Del Fuego | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 17-18 Hewitt Square | open |
| Deli Button | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 12 Laurel Rd | open |
| Deli La Union | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Mexican · Sandwiches · Latin American (other) | 246 Larkfield Rd # B | open |
| Delightful Dinners Ltd. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 530 Larkfield Rd Ste B | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 517 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Dublin Jack | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 426 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 1946 Jericho Tpke Elwood Shopping Center Unit #7 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 1903 Jericho Tpke | open |
| El Ranchito Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 66 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Emilia's Bakehouse | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee | 396 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Energy Fuel | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 4000 Jericho Tpke | open |
| ENP Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 11 Hewitt Sq | open |
| Fat Boy's Burrito Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 4097 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Filetto's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 297 Clay Pitts Rd | open |
| First Class Bagels | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1922 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Friendly's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 361 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Great Wall Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 574 A Larkfield Rd # A | open |
| Hummel-Hummel Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 572 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Il Posti Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 400 Larkfield Rd | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4000 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Jamba Juice Stop & Shop / East Northport | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 3126 Jericho Turnpike | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 15 Hewitt Square | open |
| Jjssandwichshopcafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 192 Laurel Rd | open |
| Korean Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · BBQ · Asian | 2074 Jericho Tpke | open |
| La Morena Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Burgers | 380A Larkfield Rd | open |
| La Nonna’s Day Pizza and Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 400 Larkfield Rd | open |
| La Villini | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 286 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Lark Pub and Grub | Casual dining · Bar | American | 93 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Larkfield Plaza Delicatessen | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 570 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Las Palmas Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · Latin American (other) | 326 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Laurel Road Cafe & Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 220 Laurel Rd | open |
| Laurel Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 8 Laurel Rd | open | |
| Lota Veco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegetarian · Mexican | 192 Laurel Rd | open |
| Mario's Pizzeria Mario's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 311 Larkfield Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1999 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Mezzaluna Pizza Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 566 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Miko Japanese | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 1932 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Mozzarella's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1937 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4097 Jericho Turnpike | open |
| Po Lee Chinese Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3028 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Precious Chinese Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 504 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Ralphs Famous Italian Ices | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 346 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Red Ginger Asian Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 353 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Riley's East | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 200 Larkfield Rd | open |
| S&c Cookies Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1969 Jericho Tpke | open | |
| Sawadee Thai Fusion | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 291 Clay Pitts Rd | open |
| Smashburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4097 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Snowball Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 353 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3011 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4000 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 506 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Stuff A Bagel | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 682 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 220 Laurel Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 402 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3048 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Taste of China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 246 Larkfield Rd | open |
| TCBY TCBY | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1955 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Thai Green Leaf | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1969 Jericho Tpke | open |
| The Barn Long Island | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 430 Larkfield Rd | open |
| The Crossroads Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Coffee | 26 Laurel Rd | open |
| The Taco Spot The Taco Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1920 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Three Amigos Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | Larkfield Road | open |
| Toasted Bagel East Northport Long Island Bagel Cafe | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 355 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Tokyo Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 192 Laurel Rd | open |
| Torcello's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1932 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches · Coffee | 532 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Tsaôcaa | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 1964 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Twisted Cow Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 13 Hewitt Sq | open | |
| Wayback Burgers Wayback Burgers | Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Burgers · Coffee · American | 1964 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Wendy's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches | 280 Larkfield Rd | open |
| Wild Ginger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 3018 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Wine, Vine, & Dine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Winery / distillery / taproom | open | ||
| Yokohama | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 3082 Jericho Tpke | open |
| Yummy Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 192 Laurel Rd | open |
| Zaza Japan Asian Bistro and Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4000 Jericho Tpke #9 | open |
| Finnians Pub | Casual dining · Bar | 1972 Jericho Tpke | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 53 | 44 | — | — | — | 9 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 41 | 33 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 52 | 44 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 56 | 49 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 53 | 43 | 13 | 24 | 6 | 8 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 51 | 42 | 12 | 23 | 7 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 49 | 41 | 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 53 | 44 | 15 | 22 | 7 | 7 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 48 | 41 | 13 | 22 | 6 | 6 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 56 | 49 | 17 | 25 | 7 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 55 | 47 | 16 | 24 | 7 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 54 | 47 | 16 | 23 | 8 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 49 | 44 | 16 | 20 | 8 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 58 | 50 | 21 | 19 | 10 | 6 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 58 | 52 | 20 | 21 | 11 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 59 | 53 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 65 | 60 | 22 | 27 | 11 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 66 | 60 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 67 | 61 | 25 | 23 | 13 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 70 | 63 | 25 | 25 | 13 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 65 | 58 | 19 | 25 | 14 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 66 | 59 | 23 | 25 | 11 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 69 | 61 | 21 | 28 | 12 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 65 | 60 | 21 | 28 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 62 | 57 | 17 | 27 | 13 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 65 | 60 | 21 | 27 | 12 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 63 | 58 | 21 | 25 | 12 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 64 | 59 | 21 | 27 | 11 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 70 | 65 | 23 | 27 | 14 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 71 | 67 | 25 | 28 | 13 | — | NAICS2022 |