BMIE Market 11934
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 9,418 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,139 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,795 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±294 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 7,263 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,599 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $170,801 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,337 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±703 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $589,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,595 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11934 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 26.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +19.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +47.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +212.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 22 (range 18–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11934. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.3 | 80 | 40% | +32.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61.4 | 61 | 35% | +21.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 51.9 | 52 | 25% | +13.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 9,418 | 70 | 40% | +28.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 170,801 | 98 | 40% | +39.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,795 | 66 | 20% | +13.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 19.1 | 62 | 35% | +21.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 26.5 | 24 | 25% | +6.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 9,418 | 70 | 20% | +14.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 170,801 | 98 | 20% | +19.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 19.1 | 62 | 30% | +18.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 47.1 | 62 | 20% | +12.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (51)
By cuisine
Coffee 6 · American 5 · Dessert 5 · Italian 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Seafood 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Dessert 6 · Quick service 6 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Cinco De Mayo Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 122 Railroad Ave | open |
| Alitalia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 532 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Atlantic Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 117 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Blue Ribbon Beverages Inc | Bar | 162 Main St | open | |
| Brothers Four Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 310 Main St | open |
| Buckley's Irish Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 386 Main St | open |
| Cafe Rosa Ii Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 794 Main St | open | |
| Carvel Carvel Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 536 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Country Cottage Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 334 Main St | open |
| D.c. Donovan Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 117 Main St | open | |
| Daily Grind Cafe | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 333 Main St | open |
| Deep Roots Roasting | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 45 Bank St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 790 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Ecua Giros & Bazaar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 342 Main St | open |
| El Sabor Del Pueblo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 430 Main St | open |
| Good Bickle | Juice, smoothie, tea | Caribbean · Juice / smoothies | 617 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Gourmet Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 802 Main St | open |
| Hagfood Service Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 361 Main St | open | |
| Hampton Coffee Company | Coffee shop | Coffee | 235 Main St | open |
| Hj Ice Cream Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 536 Main St | open | |
| La Volpe Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 611 Main St | open |
| Lucharitos Lucharitos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 177 Main St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 626 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Michelangelo-Center Moriches | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 794 Main St | open |
| Mikado Sushi & Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 510 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Mister Softee | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 252 Main St | open |
| Mohr Mac Of Center Moriches Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 626 Main St | open | |
| Moriches Bagel Deli Inc | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 329 Main St | open |
| Moriches Field Brewing Co. | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1 Wilcox Ave | open | |
| Moriches Vineyards Corporation | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 1 Toni Ct | open | |
| Mustard Seed Farm | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 176 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| Nettie's Country Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 366 Railroad Ave | open |
| Old Dock Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 52 Old Neck Rd S | open |
| Red Rocket Roasters | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 390 Main St | open |
| Rooted Hospitality Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 376 Main St | open | |
| Sea Cove Italian american Bar and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 361 Main St | open |
| Sea Cove Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 361 Main St | open |
| Seasons of China Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 391 Main St | open |
| Senix Creek Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 50 Senix Ave | open |
| Slider King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 56 Railroad Ave | open | |
| Smoke Shack BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 792 Montauk Hwy | open |
| SoBol Center Moriches SoBol Beverly | Juice, smoothie, tea | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies | 760 Main St | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 615 Main St | open |
| Sunsets At Senix | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 50 Senix Ave | open | |
| Taco Grill INC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 617 Montauk Hwy | open |
| The Rainbow Rolls | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 333 Main St | open |
| Tony's Sushi & Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 466 E Main St | open |
| Ultimate Cafe | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 252 Main St | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 774 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Wendy's | Quick service | 292 Old Neck Rd | open | |
| Your Bagel Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 508 Montauk Hwy | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 10 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 21 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 22 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 20 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 25 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 26 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 27 | 25 | 10 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 22 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 22 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 23 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 26 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |