BMIE Market 11950
Suffolk County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,599 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,523 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,871 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,268 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,098 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $97,661 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,913 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 31.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,989 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±249 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $433,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,339 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 3.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 11950 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +140.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 13 (range 10–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 11950. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.2 | 78 | 40% | +31.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 59.8 | 60 | 35% | +20.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 44.7 | 45 | 25% | +11.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,599 | 79 | 40% | +31.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 97,661 | 79 | 40% | +31.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,871 | 74 | 20% | +14.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -7.7 | 20 | 35% | +6.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 6.8 | 85 | 25% | +21.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,599 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 97,661 | 79 | 20% | +15.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 9.1 | 66 | 50% | +33.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -7.7 | 20 | 30% | +5.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (30)
By cuisine
Coffee 7 · American 4 · Dessert 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Caribbean 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Quick service 6 · Café 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bali Thyme- Island Inspired Cusine | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 198 Poospatuck Ln | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 1495 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Castaway Cafe | Café | Burgers · Coffee · American | 1708 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1145 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Deniz International Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1171 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 1265 Montauk Hwy # D | open |
| El Campo Deli Grocery Inc | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1133 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Foo Sing Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Korean · Asian | 1495 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Forge River Boat Club | Bar | Riviera Dr | open | |
| Frank & Son Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1575 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Happy King Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1692 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Hispano American Food Market & Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1088 Mastic Rd | open |
| Home Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | open | |
| Ice Cream Cottage | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 1590 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Jimmy's Diner | Casual dining | American | 1535 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Mama Lisa Pizza & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · Italian · American | 1495 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Mastic Manor Foods Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1443 Montauk Hwy | open | |
| MASTIC NUTRITION SPOT | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 1182 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Mastic Sandwich Club | Other | Sandwiches | 1586 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Mateo's Pizzeria Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1495 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Mediterranean Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 1171 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Mikes Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Burgers · American | 1086 Mastic Rd | open |
| Native Coffee Traders | Coffee shop | Coffee | 207 Poospatuck Ln | open |
| Our Place Cafe | Bar · Café | Coffee | 1355 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Peace Love & Cupcakes | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 128 Abbott Ave | open |
| Poospatuck Indian Reservation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | open | |
| Priscos Gourmet | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café | Sandwiches · Coffee | 1355 Montauk Hwy | open |
| Spring Roll St. LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 126 Hawthorne St | open | |
| Tipi Cafe | Café | Coffee | 144 Squaw Ln | open |
| Wampum Magic | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 207 Poospatuck Ln | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 15 | 14 | 6 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2022 |