BMIE Market 12305

Schenectady County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,356 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±739 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,636 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,716 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,100 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$53,326 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,142 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$217,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±80,481 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12305
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	68.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+104.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+59.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	36 (range 30–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.5 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	42 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	31 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12305. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 42 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.1	48	40%	+19.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	31.3	31	35%	+11.0
Market Momentum Score	48.3	48	25%	+12.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,356	66	40%	+26.5
Median household income (ACS)	53,326	19	40%	+7.7
Households (ACS)	3,636	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	58.5	8	25%	+2.0
Population (ACS)	7,356	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	53,326	19	20%	+3.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	104.8	85	20%	+17.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (125)

By cuisine

American 22 · Coffee 18 · Italian 12 · Dessert 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Asian 4 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Breakfast 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · European 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Vegetarian 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · French 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 67 · Bar 32 · Casual dining 19 · Café 15 · Coffee shop 12 · Dessert 8 · Quick service 8 · Brewery / taproom 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Bakery 5 · Other 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
151 Bar and Restaurant	Bar · Casual dining		151 Lafayette St	open
20 North Broadway Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		20 N Broadway	open
518 Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	604 Union St	open
Ambition Coffee and Eatery	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	154 Jay St	open
Aperitivo Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	426 State St	open
Apostrophe Cafe and Lounge	Café · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	432 State St	open
Armory Lounge NY	Bar		125 Washington Ave	open
Arthur's 1795	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	35 N Ferry St	open
Backstage Pub	Casual dining · Bar	American	501 Smith St	open
Bel Cibo Bistro	Casual dining		96 Jay St	open
Bittersweet Candy	Dessert	Dessert	173 Jay St	open
BL's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		208 Front St	open
Boba Soul	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	510 State St	open
Bombers Burrito Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	447 State St	open
Bountiful Bread	Restaurant (service type not stated)		108 State St	open
Broadway Center	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	354 Broadway #200	open
Buds On Jay	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	185 Jay St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	901 Erie Blvd	open
Cafe Coffee Deli And Convenience Store	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	237 State St	open
Cafe NOLA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	617 Union St	open
Capoccia Wine Lounge	Bar		508 State St	open
Cappiello Foods, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	510 Broadway	open
Centre Street Pub	Bar · Casual dining		308 Union St	open
Chengdu Impression 518	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	13 Broadway	open
Chez Nous	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	French	707 Union St	open
Ciao Bella	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	431 Liberty St	open
Civitello's	Dessert · Bakery	Italian · Dessert · Bakery	42 N Jay St	open
Clinton Street Pub	Bar		159 Clinton St	open
Clintons Ditch	Restaurant (service type not stated)		112 S College St	open
Cornell's In Little Italy Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	39 N Jay St	open
Craftpoint Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		108 State St	open
Dave's Gourmet Burgers and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Greek · Asian	16 Edison Ave	open
Dos Compadres	Restaurant (service type not stated)		617 Union St	open
Dough'D Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	downtown	open
Drumming Crabs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	13 N Broadway	open
Druthers Brewing Company Druthers Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		221 Harborside Dr	open
Duke's Chophouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1 Rush St	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	2 Rush St	open
El Punto	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	236 State St	open
Electric City Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	108 Jay St	open
Electric Grinch	Bar		116 Jay St	open
Fast Pizza And Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		245 STATE St	open
First Prize Mike's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Hot dogs · American	1135 Erie Blvd	open
Forte Coffee Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 N Church St	open
Frog Alley Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		108 State St	open
Golden &amp Seaberry, Inc. Dba Nico&#39 S Pizzaria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		441 State St	open
grano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	426 State St	open
Great Flats Brewery	Brewery / taproom		151 Lafayette St	open
Grog Shoppe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	277 State St	open
Herbie’s Burgers	Quick service			open
Hunter's on Jay	Bar · Casual dining		50 N Jay St	open
Insomnia Cookies	Dessert	Dessert	118 Jay St	open
Isopo's Downtown Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	176 Erie Blvd	open
Iszasmoothies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		602 State St	open
Jay St. Pub	Bar · Casual dining		118 Jay St	open
Jay Street Subs	Other · Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	435 State St	open
Jimbos Burrito Bar Schenectady, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		447 State St	open
Johnny's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	433 State St	open
Johnny's To Go	Dessert · Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Dessert · Coffee · Burgers · Asian · Sandwiches · American	1 Rush St Marketplace #4	open
Katie O'Byrne's	Bar	British / Irish pub food	121 Wall St	open
Katz Kafe	Café	Coffee	160 Jay St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	109 State Street	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1120 Erie Blvd	open
Lenny's Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		375 Broadway	open
Lifestyle juice bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	96 Jay St	open
Lils Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Jay St	open
Lyle's Hoagies	Other	Sandwiches	140 Erie Blvd	open
Malcolm's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		617 Union St	open
Manhattan Exchange	Casual dining · Bar	American	607 Union St	open
Maria's Cafe & Catering	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Coffee	412 Union St	open
Marottas Bar + Risto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Italian	611 Union St	open
Metro Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	160 Jay St	open
Mexican Radio Schenectady	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	325 State St	open
Milas Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mediterranean	500 State St	open
Mill Lane Distilling Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		10 Mill Ln	open
Moon and River Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Vegetarian · Coffee	115 S Ferry St	open
Morrettes King Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	1126 Erie Blvd	open
Nhu-yllc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		469 State St Ste 1	open
Nicholsfoodservices	Restaurant (service type not stated)		707 Union St	open
Nick & John Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1135 Erie Blvd	open
Nico's Rooftop Tavern	Bar	Pizza · Italian	441 State St	open
Nyce Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	135 Broadway	open
Old School Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		142 Clinton St	open
Perreca's Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Casual dining	Italian · Bakery · American	33 N Jay St	open
Persian Bite	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	703 Union St	open
Pho Queen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	96 Jay St	open
Pinhead Susan's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	38-40 N Broadway	open
Pizza King Schenectady	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	124 Jay St	open
Puzzles Bakery & Café	Café	Coffee	515 State St	open
Raw Juice And Smoothie Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	175 Jay St	open
Sabor Borincano Restaurant and Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Spanish / tapas	140 Clinton St	open
Schenectady Hokkaido All You Can Eat Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	469 State St	open
Seven Points Brewery	Brewery / taproom	Italian	237 Union St	open
Simone's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · European	121 Jay St	open
Slick's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	127 S Ferry St	open
Slidin Dirty - Schenectady	Bar		512 State St	open
Smash Heart Box	Dessert	Dessert	435 Liberty St	open
Solana Bagel & Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	1 N Church St	open
Spicy Safari	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	African · American	600 Franklin St Suite 102	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	438 State St	open
Take Two Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Vegetarian	433 State St	open
Tara Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · European	431 Liberty St	open
Tbec Properties, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		151 Lafayette St	open
The Bier Abbey	Bar		613 Union St	open
The Eighth Step	Coffee shop	Coffee	432 State St	open
The Food Truck 518	Food truck	Mexican · Sandwiches	503 South Ave	open
The Happy Cappuccino	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	185 Jay St	open
The Irish Kids Restaurant Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		121 Wall St	open
The Nest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	512 State St	open
The Saw Mill Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		501 South Ave	open
The Shaker and Vine	Bar		221 Harborside Dr	open
The Van Dyck Restaurant & Lounge	Bar · Brewery / taproom	American	237 Union St	open
The Whistling Kettle Whistling Kettle	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Sandwiches	138 Jay St	open
Tropical Fever Executive Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		108 Jay St	open
True Juice Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café · Bar	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	251 State St Ste 102	open
Uncle Ben's	Bar		213 Front St	open
Union Inn	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	517 Union St	open
Van Slyck's	Bar		1 Rush St	open
Vice & Virtue	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	40 N Broadway	open
Villa Italia Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Italian · Dessert	226 Broadway	open
VIP Lounge	Bar		1 Rush St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	132 Erie Blvd.	open
Wolff's Biergarten Wolff's Biergarten	Bar	German / Eastern European	165 Erie Blvd	open
Ya Ya's House Southern Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	135 Broadway	open
Zen Asian Fusion Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Sushi · Japanese	469 State St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	38	27	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1995	37	27	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1996	37	26	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1997	40	29	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1998	30	18	10	7	1	11	NAICS1997
1999	33	22	12	9	1	10	NAICS1997
2000	30	19	8	8	3	10	NAICS1997
2001	36	24	12	8	4	10	NAICS1997
2002	32	22	14	8	—	9	NAICS1997
2003	30	21	11	9	1	8	NAICS2002
2004	31	22	14	8	—	8	NAICS2002
2005	34	28	19	9	—	5	NAICS2002
2006	38	32	23	9	—	5	NAICS2002
2007	40	34	22	11	1	5	NAICS2002
2008	40	34	18	15	1	5	NAICS2007
2009	45	39	22	16	1	5	NAICS2007
2010	48	39	25	14	—	6	NAICS2007
2011	50	41	24	16	1	6	NAICS2007
2012	53	41	27	12	2	9	NAICS2012
2013	53	43	28	12	3	7	NAICS2012
2014	51	41	28	12	1	7	NAICS2012
2015	54	43	29	12	2	8	NAICS2012
2016	60	48	35	10	3	9	NAICS2012
2017	56	44	29	10	5	8	NAICS2017
2018	55	43	27	10	6	9	NAICS2017
2019	55	41	26	10	5	10	NAICS2017
2020	48	36	23	9	4	8	NAICS2017
2021	47	36	24	8	4	8	NAICS2017
2022	52	40	24	11	5	9	NAICS2022
2023	58	43	24	13	6	11	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12305. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12307	1.0 mi	9	2023
12308	1.6 mi	18	2023
12008	3.6 mi	1	1997
12304	3.7 mi	41	2023
12309	4.4 mi	28	2023
12303	4.5 mi	37	2023
12306	4.8 mi	47	2023
12302	4.9 mi	52	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.