BMIE Market 12308

Schenectady County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,511 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,046 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,253 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±572 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,335 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,588 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$63,434 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,035 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,193 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±65 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$211,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,844 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12308
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+5.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 18–22) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	59 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12308. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.8	61	40%	+24.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.9	59	35%	+20.6
Market Momentum Score	38.3	38	25%	+9.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,511	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	63,434	36	40%	+14.4
Households (ACS)	6,253	78	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.6	66	25%	+16.5
Population (ACS)	15,511	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	63,434	36	20%	+7.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.3	22	50%	+11.2
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	28.6	51	20%	+10.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (32)

By cuisine

Italian 6 · American 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Chinese 2 · Indian 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 4 · Bar 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adeeb's Deli & Grocery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	766 Eastern Ave	open
Castelo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	183 Nott Ter	open
Cousins Deli Grocery Inc	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1819 Van Vranken Ave.	open
Elegance Hookah Lounge	Bar		1810 Van Vranken Ave # 3	open
Given to Fry	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		1650 Foster Ave	open
Gloria's Sports Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1733 Van Vranken Ave	open
Italianos New York Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1338 Gerling St	open
John Riccitello's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1687 Foster Ave	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		575 Nott St	open
La Gioias' Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Italian	2003 Van Vranken Ave.	open
Luca's Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza · Burgers	547 Nott St	open
Lucky Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1810 Van Vranken Ave.	open
Mari's Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	2049 Van Vranken Ave.	open
New China Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1334 Gerling St	open
Nocturnal Cookies	Dessert	Dessert	1835 Van Vranken Ave	open
PAULIE'S PIZZA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	409 Rosa Rd	open
Peter Pause Restaurant	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	535 Nott St	open
Phoenix FLAME WINGS	Quick service		764 Eastern Ave	open
Reis and Irvy's Froyobotics	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1101 Nott St	open
Renaissance Restaurant And Hall	Restaurant (service type not stated)		820 Eastern Ave	open
Rookies Sports Bar & Grill	Bar · Casual dining		1526 Van Vranken Ave	open
Sammy's Burger & Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	100 Nott Terrace	open
Sandye's Cafe & Cakes	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1316 Nott St	open
Sicilian Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1505 Van Vranken Ave.	open
Stoney's Irish Grill	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	1859 Van Vranken Ave.	open
Taj Mahal Restaurant, Schenectady	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	820 Eastern Ave	open
Tandoori House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Halal / kosher	1338 Gerling St	open
The Appian Way	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	1839 Van Vranken Ave.	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Mexican · Burgers	60 Nott Terrace	open
The Memphis King BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1902 Van Vranken Ave.	open
Union Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1311 Nott St	open
Zaffron Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	183 Nott Terr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	17	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	23	18	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	21	17	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	21	14	7	7	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	22	13	7	6	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	19	12	8	4	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	19	11	7	4	—	4	NAICS1997
2002	22	12	8	4	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	23	14	7	6	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	21	14	8	5	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	22	15	8	5	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	26	19	10	7	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	21	15	7	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	20	13	7	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	19	12	5	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	18	11	4	6	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	23	15	6	8	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	27	18	7	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	24	16	7	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	24	17	10	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	24	18	10	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	23	17	9	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	25	19	10	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	19	10	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	18	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	18	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	18	10	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	19	9	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	22	18	9	7	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12308. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12307	1.3 mi	9	2023
12305	1.6 mi	43	2023
12008	2.3 mi	1	1997
12309	3.2 mi	28	2023
12304	3.4 mi	41	2023
12148	3.7 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.