BMIE Market 12307

Schenectady County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,050 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±930 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,166 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±353 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,692 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,387 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$24,758 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,053 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	27.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,106 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$104,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±36,778 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	9 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12307
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+12.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 9–11) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	40 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	69 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12307. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	40.2	40	40%	+16.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	53.2	53	35%	+18.6
Market Momentum Score	69.3	69	25%	+17.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 40 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,050	66	40%	+26.2
Median household income (ACS)	24,758	1	40%	+0.5
Households (ACS)	3,166	68	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	35%	+24.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.8	61	25%	+15.3
Population (ACS)	7,050	66	20%	+13.1
Median household income (ACS)	24,758	1	20%	+0.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	12.5	71	50%	+35.3
10-year restaurant growth	28.6	70	30%	+21.0
20-year restaurant growth	50	65	20%	+13.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 6 · Caribbean 5 · Halal / kosher 3 · Pizza 3 · African 1 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aunt Ronnie's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	216 S Brandywine Ave	open
Brandywine Gyro House Pizza & fried chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Halal / kosher · Chicken / wings	881 Albany St	open
Diamond Palace Restaurant & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		783 State St	open
F & S Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	502 Schenectady St	open
Grill Mediterranean Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	1016 State St	open
I Love NY Pizza & Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	780 State St	open
Island Flavors Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Caribbean · American	910 State St	open
Jamrock Caribbean Bar And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	769 State St	open
Mangoes Restaurant & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	201 S Brandywine Ave	open
Newest Lunch	Casual dining	American	715 Albany St	open
Petta's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	134 Duane Ave	open
S and D Halal Foodhouse and Roti Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	Halal / kosher · American	785 State St	open
San Francisco Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Caribbean	872 Albany St	open
Soul Food Hall	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	970 Emmett St	open
Soulicious II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African · American	905 Albany St	open
Star Halal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	1016 State St	open
State Street Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	735 State St	open
Taste of China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	715 State St	open
Triple T Restaurant & Roti Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Caribbean	787 State St	open
Tropics Restaurant & Bar	Bar		201 S Brandywine Ave	open
Duane Lounge	Bar		353 Duane Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	11	7	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	9	7	4	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	7	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	8	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	6	5	3	2	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	6	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	7	1	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	9	7	2	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	7	2	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	10	9	2	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	8	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	10	9	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 12307. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
12305	1.0 mi	43	2023
12308	1.3 mi	18	2023
12304	2.7 mi	41	2023
12309	3.5 mi	28	2023
12008	3.6 mi	1	1997
12303	3.9 mi	37	2023
12148	4.6 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.