BMIE Market 12309
Schenectady County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 33,246 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 12,767 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±557 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 29,343 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,449 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $125,274 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,519 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,499 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $330,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,900 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 17.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 12309 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 7.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -9.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +21.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +27.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 25 (range 22–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.7 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 23 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 12309. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 91.1 | 91 | 40% | +36.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.7 | 61 | 35% | +21.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 22.7 | 23 | 25% | +5.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 33,246 | 91 | 40% | +36.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 125,274 | 92 | 40% | +36.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 12,767 | 90 | 20% | +18.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -22.2 | 13 | 35% | +4.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.4 | 79 | 25% | +19.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 33,246 | 91 | 20% | +18.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 125,274 | 92 | 20% | +18.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 23 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -9.7 | 19 | 50% | +9.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -22.2 | 13 | 30% | +3.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 21.7 | 47 | 20% | +9.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
American 11 · Pizza 11 · Bakery 9 · Italian 8 · Coffee 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 5 · BBQ 4 · Mexican 4 · Chinese 3 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Indian 2 · Japanese 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Dessert 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 43 · Bakery 10 · Quick service 9 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 3 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bread From Brooklyn | Bakery | Bakery | 1625 Union St | open |
| Bruegger's Bagels Bruegger's Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1634 Union St | open |
| Burrito Azteca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 214 Lisha Kill Rd | open |
| Capoccia Vineyards & Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 2820 Balltown Rd | open | |
| Catrinas Mexican Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · BBQ | 2305 Nott St E | open |
| Celadon Thai Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 2015 Rosa Rd | open |
| Cella Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2015 Rosa Rd | open |
| Chapli and Platters | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 1628 Union St | open |
| Chicken Feastin | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1625 Union St | open |
| Cuff's Cakes | Bakery | Bakery | 1613 Union St | open |
| Dave's Hot Chicken Dave's Hot Chicken | Quick service | 412 Balltown Rd. | open | |
| Divinitea | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 1708 Union St | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 151 Valley Road | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1700 Union Street | open |
| Dunkin' | Coffee shop | Coffee | 151 Valley Rd | open |
| Field Notes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 204 Lishakill Rd | open |
| Gershon's Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1600 Union St | open | |
| Golden House Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1709 Union St | open |
| Home Style Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1720 Union St | open |
| Hot Harry's Fresh Burritos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1625 Union St | open |
| Hunan Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1617 Union St | open |
| I Love NY Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1705 Union St | open |
| Inferno Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 198 Lisha Kill Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1625 Union St Ste. 2 | open |
| Kazami Boba Tea Ramen Noodle Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 1729 Union St | open |
| L's Simplygoodness | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert | Bakery | 1702 Eastern Pkwy | open |
| La Cucina Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Indian | 1599 Union St | open |
| LT's Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2305 Nott St E | open |
| Mario's Restaurant and Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2850 River Rd | open |
| Martini's Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 145 Vly Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1673 Union St | open |
| Meat & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 2321 Nott St E | open |
| Motor Oil Coffee Schenectady | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1671 Union St | open |
| Mr & Mrs Wing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Asian | 1715 Union St | open |
| Off The Hook Fish Fry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | British / Irish pub food | 1599 Union St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 412 Balltown Rd | open |
| Pastry Pantry | Bakery | Bakery | 1610 Union St | open |
| Pizza Buono | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1007 Van Antwerp Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1638 Union Street | open |
| Ricciardi's Deli & Italian Imports | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1599 Union St | open |
| Rosario's Trattoria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1599 Union St | open |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 416 Balltown Rd | open |
| Scotti's Restaurant & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 1730 Union St | open |
| Somethin'sweet | Bakery | Bakery | 1610 Union St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 2303 Nott St E | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1701 Union St | open |
| Sunnys Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1611 Union St | open |
| Tacos&Margaritas Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 1671 Union St | open |
| Tequilas Mexican Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2305 Nott St E | open |
| Tesoros Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1712 Union St | open |
| Thai Thai Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2309 Nott St E Ste 307 | open | |
| The Broken Inn | Casual dining · Bar | American | 2209 Nott St | open |
| The City Squire | Bar · Casual dining | 1018 Keyes Ave | open | |
| The Halal Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Halal / kosher | 214 Lishakill Rd | open |
| The Horses Lounge | Casual dining · Bar | 912 McClellan St | open | |
| The Ritz on Union | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1720 Union St | open |
| Twy Restaurant Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1671 Union St | open | |
| Uncle Rico's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2309 Nott St E | open |
| Union Beverage Center | Other | 1701 Union St | open | |
| Union Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Coffee · American | 1725 Union St | open |
| Union Cajun Seafood and Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1638 Union St | open |
| Volcano Asian BBQ and Hot Pot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · BBQ · Asian | 2309 Nott St E | open |
| Wandering Dago Gourmet Food Truck & Catering | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | 1075 Keyes Ave | open | |
| Wasabi Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 1729 Union St | open |
| Whisky Business Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1671 Union St | open |
| Wing Street | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1638 Union St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 24 | 22 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 22 | 20 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 19 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 20 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 22 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 22 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 25 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 27 | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 29 | 24 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 26 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 33 | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 33 | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 37 | 29 | 13 | 12 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 44 | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 44 | 36 | 13 | 17 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 41 | 34 | 11 | 17 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 39 | 32 | 12 | 15 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 42 | 35 | 11 | 18 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 40 | 34 | 12 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 38 | 31 | 12 | 14 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 43 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 35 | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 39 | 31 | 9 | 16 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |