BMIE Market 14617

Monroe County, New York · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,788 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,086 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,362 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±489 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,789 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,897 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,192 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,379 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,212 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$194,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,336 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	18 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 14617
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+5.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.39) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 14617. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.39, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. New York and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,510, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.3	79	40%	+31.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	57.5	57	35%	+20.1
Market Momentum Score	20.4	20	25%	+5.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,788	83	40%	+33.1
Median household income (ACS)	90,192	73	40%	+29.3
Households (ACS)	9,362	84	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	35%	+6.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.3	79	25%	+19.8
Population (ACS)	21,788	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	90,192	73	20%	+14.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-10	19	50%	+9.3
10-year restaurant growth	-10	18	30%	+5.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

Pizza 8 · Bakery 6 · American 5 · Coffee 5 · Italian 5 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 12 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 5 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Casual dining 3 · Quick service 3 · Brewery / taproom 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
2 Ton Tony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	545 Titus Ave	open
Atlas Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery · Breakfast	2185 Clinton Ave N	open
Bagels Etc	Bakery	Bakery	525 Titus Ave	open
Cam's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	717 Titus Ave	open
Capone's Bar & Italian Eatery	Bar	Italian · Pizza	12 Cooper Rd	open
Chili's private bar	Bar		1235 winasdl bld	open
Cordello's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	117 Pattonwood Dr	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	2255 Hudson Ave	open
Encore Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	147 Pattonwood Dr	open
Fish Face	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	400 Bakers Park	open
Gourmet House 525 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		525 Titus Ave Ste A133	open
Irondequoit Beer Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	American	765 Titus Ave	open
J & D Di Vincenzo Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1716 Portland Ave	open
Jack's Place Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1200 Kings Hwy N	open
Jaime's Dreams Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	17 Wisteria Ln	open
KJ's Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	691 Titus Ave	open
Lakeside Deli &amp More Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4888 Saint Paul Blvd	open
Lauren K Hollesen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		149 Pattonwood Dr	open
Little Bits Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	696 Titus Ave	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	525 Titus Ave	open
Mark's Pizzeria Mark's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	563 Titus Ave	open
Murph's Irondequoit Pub	Bar		705 Titus Ave	open
Murph's Irondequoit Pub	Bar · Casual dining		155 Pattonwood Dr	open
New East Star	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	115 Pattonwood Dr #1409	open
New Ethic Pizzeria and Cafe	Café	Pizza · Vegetarian · Coffee	545 Titus Ave	open
New Gourmet House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	525 Titus Ave	open
Norton Street Pizza Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		563 Titus Ave	open
Original Bay Goodman Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	667 Titus Ave	open
Pasta Cucina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	400 Baker Pk	open
Schooners Riverside Pub	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		40 Marina Dr	open
Schooners Riverside Pub	Casual dining · Bar		40 Marina Dr	open
Shelly's Sweet Shoppe	Bakery	Bakery	624 Titus Ave	open
Silk O'Loughlin's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5980 St Paul Blvd	open
Sips Coffee & Cafe	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	149 Pattonwood Dr	open
Sjs Bagel Cafe Of Irondequoit Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		525 Titus Ave	open
Summerville Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5370 Saint Paul Blvd	open
Taj alyemen restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1657 Hudson Ave	open
The Irish Embassy	Brewery / taproom · Bar		38 Chimayo Rd	open
The Reserve Bar at The Market at I Square	Dessert · Coffee shop · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Breakfast	400 Bakers Park	open
The Sly Fox Tavern	Bar		5324 Saint Paul Blvd	open
Titus Tavern	Bar		690 Titus Ave	open
Zoe's Bread	Bakery	Bakery	Hudson Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	17	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	16	14	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	17	12	8	3	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	18	13	7	5	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	21	15	6	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	24	16	9	4	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	22	17	11	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	22	18	10	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	21	17	12	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	20	16	10	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	22	18	10	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	19	16	8	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	22	19	8	7	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	24	21	7	9	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	23	19	6	8	5	—	NAICS2007
2011	24	20	5	10	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	23	19	4	11	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	24	20	6	9	5	2	NAICS2012
2014	25	20	5	12	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	26	20	7	9	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	26	20	7	9	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	25	19	9	7	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	26	20	9	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	17	8	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	17	8	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	18	9	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 14617. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
14622	2.0 mi	22	2023
14621	2.6 mi	54	2023
14616	3.7 mi	33	2023
14609	3.8 mi	60	2023
14615	3.8 mi	29	2023
14605	4.0 mi	11	2023
14613	4.0 mi	15	2023
14604	4.9 mi	37	2023
14614	4.9 mi	12	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.