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BMIE Market 16506

Erie County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)24,070
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,196 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households10,144
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±497 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count23,720
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units10,345
2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income$81,060
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,532 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age44.5
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent$1,216
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±62 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value$237,300
2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,494 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area13.6 sq mi
Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants29
2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 16506
Restaurants per 10,000 residents12.2
DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year+11.5%
DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year+16.0%
DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year-6.5%
DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file+16.0%
DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 202831 (range 29–34)
FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years aheadNeeds more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score68 / 100
MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score76 / 100
MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score67 / 100
MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score56 / 100
MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Consumer Market Score76.47640%+30.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score66.56735%+23.3
Market Momentum Score56.25625%+14.0
Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
Population (ACS)24,0708540%+33.8
Median household income (ACS)81,0606440%+25.4
Households (ACS)10,1448620%+17.2
Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
10-year restaurant growth165935%+20.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)12.16425%+16.1
Population (ACS)24,0708520%+16.9
Median household income (ACS)81,0606420%+12.7
Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)

ComponentValueRankWeightAdds
5-year restaurant growth11.56950%+34.7
10-year restaurant growth165930%+17.8
20-year restaurant growth-6.51820%+3.6
Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (68)

By cuisine

American 13 · Pizza 11 · Bakery 7 · Coffee 7 · Dessert 7 · Sandwiches 6 · Italian 4 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Breakfast 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 12 · Bar 11 · Bakery 9 · Dessert 8 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

NameTypeCuisineAddressStatus
Arby's Arby'sQuick serviceSandwiches · American2812 W 26th Stopen
Art's BakeryBakery · Quick service · Specialty food shopBakery · Sandwiches4380 W Ridge Rdopen
Bistro 26Restaurant (service type not stated)American · Mediterranean3557 W 26th Stopen
Brick House CoffeeCoffee shopCoffee3741 W 26th Stopen
Bro Man’s Birria N' Burgers - WestRestaurant (service type not stated)American · Burgers3558 W 26th Stopen
Brooklyn Pizza - WestRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza4115 W Ridge Rdopen
Burger KingQuick service2872 W 26th Stopen
Butch's Place Family RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)American · Breakfast3330 W 26th Stopen
Cali's West CateringRestaurant (service type not stated)3826 W Ridge Rdopen
Casa CaféBakery · CaféBakery · Mexican · Coffee3505 W 26th Stopen
Cellar 22Bar3330 W 26th St Unit 12open
Chase Checkpoint 2 Vip LoungeBaropen
Chipotle Mexican Grill ChipotleQuick service5000 W Ridge Rdopen
Cole CreationzDessert · Juice, smoothie, teaDessert · Juice / smoothies4065 W Ridge Rdopen
Creamland Drive InDessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert6221 W Ridge Rdopen
Docksider PubBar5186 Walnut Ridge Dropen
Domino's Domino's PizzaDelivery-focused · Quick servicePizza3060 W 26th Stopen
Dunkin' Dunkin'Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shopDessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee3310 W 26th Stopen
Eduardo's TavernBar · Casual dining3979 W Ridge Rdopen
Falcone’s KitchenRestaurant (service type not stated) · Casual diningItalian · American2901 Copperleaf Dropen
Fry Mans Weiner shackRestaurant (service type not stated)American3350 W 41st Stopen
gracedbysweetsBakeryBakery2633 Caughey Rdopen
Holland Dairy Queen IncRestaurant (service type not stated)3505 W 26th Stopen
Hong Kong Chinese RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)Chinese · Asian2887 W 26th Stopen
Hoss's Steak and Sea Hoss's Steak and Sea HouseRestaurant (service type not stated)American · Steakhouse3302 W 26th Stopen
Hungry Howie's PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza3558 W 26th Stopen
Ironstone MeaderyWinery / distillery / taproom2890 Copperleaf Dropen
J C Parker IncRestaurant (service type not stated)3979 W Ridge Rdopen
Jjc86 Partnership LlcRestaurant (service type not stated)3741 W 26th Stopen
Kadhai KitchenRestaurant (service type not stated)Indian · Middle Eastern5901 W Ridge Rdopen
Lake Erie Candy CompanyDessertDessert3330 W 26th Stopen
Little Caesars PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza3939 W Ridge Rdopen
Little Caesars Pizza Little CaesarsQuick servicePizza · Italian2897 W 26th Stopen
Little TaipeiRestaurant (service type not stated)Chinese2421 Asbury Rdopen
Long John Silver's Long John Silver'sQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Seafood2840 W 26th Stopen
Lorie's Wildridge RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)American5455 W Ridge Rdopen
Lucky BeanCoffee shop · CaféCoffee3741 W 26th Stopen
Marco's PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza2421 Asbury Rdopen
Maria's PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza · Italian2340 W Grandview Blvdopen
McDonald's McDonald'sQuick serviceBurgers · American2643 W 26th Stopen
Midway Beer GarageBar2947 W 26th Stopen
Noodles N MoreRestaurant (service type not stated)Thai · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian3826 W 26th Stopen
Panera Bread Panera BreadBakery · CaféBakery · Sandwiches · Coffee2501 West 12th Streetopen
Peninsula PizzeriaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza4115 W Ridge Rdopen
Pisano Family Wine CellarBar3330 W 26th Stopen
Pizza Pete's PizzeriaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza2823 W 26th Stopen
Presque Isle Pizza RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated) · DessertPizza · Ice cream / frozen desserts3150 W 32nd Stopen
Rex Brothers BakeryBakeryBakery3558 W 26th Stopen
Ringside RestaurantRestaurant (service type not stated)Italian · American3202 Sterrettania Rdopen
Scuba’s bar and grillCasual dining · Bar2729 E Park Lnopen
Sneaky Pete'sBar6116 Swanville Rdopen
Sontheimer's Country BakeryBakery · DessertBakery · Dessert3720 Sterrettania Road, PA-832open
StarbucksCoffee shopCoffee4986 W Ridge Rdopen
Subway SubwayQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Sandwiches5350 W. Ridge Roadopen
SubwayQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Sandwiches2251 W 38th St, Unit 5open
Subway SubwayQuick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)Sandwiches3104 W 26th Stopen
The Boardroom Dining & SpiritsRestaurant (service type not stated)Steakhouse · American4353 W Ridge Rdopen
The CabCasual dining · BarAmerican5442 W Ridge Rdopen
The FreezerieDessertIce cream / frozen desserts · Dessert4393 W Ridge Rdopen
The Saucery TavernBar2606 W 26th Stopen
Tim Hortons Tim Hortons Cafe and Bake ShopCoffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · BakeryCoffee · Dessert2745 W 26th Stopen
Twins Restaurant & CateringRestaurant (service type not stated)American4353 W Ridge Rdopen
U Pick 6 Public House U Pick 6 Tap HouseBar · Casual dining4575 W Ridge Rdopen
Vintage Wood Fire Restaurant and CateringCateringBBQ · Pizza3826 W Ridge Rdopen
Walmart BakeryBakeryBakery5350 W Ridge Rdopen
Yummy BowlRestaurant (service type not stated)Asian2421 Asbury Rdopen
Zoo's BbqRestaurant (service type not stated)BBQ3826 W Ridge Rdopen
Patti's PizzaRestaurant (service type not stated)Pizza3403 W 38th Stclosed
Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

YearAll food serviceRestaurantsFull-serviceLimited-serviceSnack & beverageBarsIndustry codes
19943025———5SIC1987
19952722———5SIC1987
19962723———4SIC1987
19972422———2SIC1987
1998272581251NAICS1997
1999302871561NAICS1997
2000292761651NAICS1997
2001322981652NAICS1997
2002332791621NAICS1997
20033831101822NAICS2002
2004332991631NAICS2002
20053531101641NAICS2002
2006393592141NAICS2002
2007352971834NAICS2002
2008352991634NAICS2007
2009363091734NAICS2007
2010352991633NAICS2007
2011352991623NAICS2007
2012322781622NAICS2012
20133025101413NAICS2012
2014292581612NAICS2012
2015302581612NAICS2012
2016332991912NAICS2012
201732261114—3NAICS2017
201831261115——NAICS2017
201934291117——NAICS2017
202032281214——NAICS2017
2021332912143—NAICS2017
202231271115——NAICS2022
202334291215—3NAICS2022
U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 16506. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTADistanceRestaurantsYear
165084.1 mi262023
165054.1 mi602023
164154.2 mi92023
165024.3 mi162023
Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.