BMIE Market 17534
Lancaster County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | Data source not yet connected |
| Housing units | Data source not yet connected |
| Median household income | Data source not yet connected |
| Median age | Data source not yet connected |
| Median gross rent | Data source not yet connected |
| Median home value | Data source not yet connected |
| Land area | 0.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 17534 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | Not yet derived |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -33.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 6 (range 3–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 12 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 1 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 17534. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 12 (Medium confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 1.1 | 1 | 40% | +0.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 28.6 | 29 | 25% | +11.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 1 (Medium confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 0 | 1 | 40% | +0.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 0 | 1 | 20% | +0.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -33.3 | 8 | 50% | +4.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20 | 63 | 30% | +18.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (17)
By cuisine
Dessert 5 · American 4 · Coffee 4 · Bakery 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Dessert 5 · Café 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Quick service 2 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amos' Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 14 Center St | open |
| B.J.'s Pitstop Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 3504 Old Philadelphia Pike | open |
| Corner Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 3526 Old Philadelphia Pike | open |
| Immergut Hand-Rolled Soft Pretzels | Bakery · Quick service | Bakery | 3537 Old Philadelphia Pike | open |
| Intercourse Village Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 3599 E Newport Rd | open |
| Lapp Valley Farms Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 3529 Old Philadelphia Pike | open |
| M & A Sweet Treats | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 23-3 Center St | open |
| Moms Pretzels | Quick service | 3529 Old Philadelphia Pike | open | |
| Olde Mill Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9 Queen Rd | open | |
| Oola Bowls Intercourse Oola Bowls Lebanon PA | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea | Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3465 Old Philadelphia Pike | open |
| Pappy's Kettle Korn Shoppe | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3529 Old Philadelphia Pike | open | |
| Pepper Lane Fudge & Sweets | Dessert | Dessert | 3529 Old Philadelphia Pike | open |
| Sweet Shenanigans Cupcakery | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 3598 Old Philadelphia Pike | open |
| Taylor Chip Cookies | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 23 Center St | open |
| The Happy Vajayjay Clam, Cocktail and Sushi Bar | Bar | 64 Queen Rd | open | |
| The Roasted Rooster | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 3529 Old Philadelphia Pike | open |
| The Village Cafe | Café | Coffee · American | 3598 Old Philadelphia Pike | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 5 | 5 | 1 | — | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 5 | 5 | 1 | — | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 9 | 9 | — | — | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 9 | 9 | — | — | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 8 | 8 | — | — | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 7 | 7 | — | — | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 6 | 6 | — | — | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 6 | 5 | — | — | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 7 | 6 | — | — | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |