BMIE Market 19565

Berks County, Pennsylvania · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,302 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±791 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,579 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±395 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,531 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,497 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$96,325 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,899 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,279 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$300,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,376 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 19565
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-30.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 4–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 19565. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Pennsylvania and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,354, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	73.2	73	40%	+29.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62.5	62	35%	+21.9
Market Momentum Score	53.3	53	25%	+13.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,302	70	40%	+27.9
Median household income (ACS)	96,325	78	40%	+31.4
Households (ACS)	3,579	69	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.5	82	25%	+20.6
Population (ACS)	9,302	70	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	96,325	78	20%	+15.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · BBQ 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
10 West Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10 W Penn Ave	open
Calabria Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	6646 Penn Ave	open
CC's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	147 W Penn Ave	open
Dadd's Diner Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		440 E Penn Ave	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Dessert	328 E Penn Ave	open
Galen Hall Restaurant, Grill House & Pub and Golf Course	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	645 N Galen Hall Rd	open
Julie's Fast Foods	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4850 Penn Ave	open
Knerr Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American		open
Lerch Tavern	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Original Charlies Pastry Shop	Coffee shop · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	41 W Penn Ave	open
Paradise by the Slice	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	63 E Penn Ave	open
Penn Warner Hotel Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5 E Penn Ave	open
Red Plate Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	440 E Penn Ave	open
Slice Life Operations, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		69 E Penn Ave	open
The Valley Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	4741 Penn Ave	open
Tosco Brick Oven Pizza Tosco in Myerstown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6889 Penn Ave	open
True's Cuppa Love	Coffee shop	Coffee	5 E Penn Ave	open
Twistee Treat Twistee Treat (Plant City)	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	N Walnut St	open
Wertz Ice Cream Cone	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	55 Penn Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	12	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	10	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	9	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	13	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	13	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	13	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	13	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	11	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	6	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	7	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	7	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 19565. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
19551	2.9 mi	7	2023
19608	3.4 mi	29	2023
17569	4.9 mi	3	2023
19609	4.9 mi	15	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.