BMIE Market 22206
Arlington County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,703 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,327 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,985 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±663 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,051 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,689 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $140,877 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,381 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±80 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $586,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,940 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 40 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 22206 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +90.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +135.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 37 (range 31–43) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.37) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 22206. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.37, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.2 | 88 | 40% | +35.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68.7 | 69 | 35% | +24.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 80.1 | 80 | 25% | +20.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,703 | 82 | 40% | +32.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 140,877 | 95 | 40% | +38.0 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,985 | 87 | 20% | +17.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 35% | +23.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 19.3 | 39 | 25% | +9.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,703 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 140,877 | 95 | 20% | +19.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 42.9 | 88 | 50% | +44.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 30% | +20.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 90.5 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (76)
By cuisine
American 13 · Asian 8 · Burgers 5 · Dessert 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Italian 4 · Bakery 3 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Mexican 3 · Pizza 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · French 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 54 · Dessert 8 · Bar 6 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1801 Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2700 S Quincy St Ste 210 | open | |
| Ah Love Oil & Vinegar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4017B Campbell Avenue | open | |
| Akivva Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 2921 S Glebe Rd | open |
| Aroma Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Asian | 4044 Campbell Ave | open |
| Astro Beer Hall | Bar | 4001 Campbell Ave | open | |
| Astro Doughnuts & Fried Chicken | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | open | |
| BBQ At Its Best | Food truck | BBQ · American | 3700 S Four Mile Run Dr | open |
| Bear Rock Cafe | Other | Sandwiches | 4251 Campbell Ave | open |
| Best Buns Bakery & Burgers Great American Restaurants | Bakery · Coffee shop | Bakery · Coffee · Burgers | 4010 Campbell Ave | open |
| Big Buns Damn Good Burger Company Big Buns | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 4251 Campbell Ave | open |
| Bistro Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · French · Burgers | 4021 Campbell Ave | open |
| Bonsai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 4040 Campbell Ave | open |
| Cakelove | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 4150 Campbell Ave | open |
| Capitol City Brewing Co | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 4001 Campbell Ave | open | |
| Carlyle Great American Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4000 Campbell Ave | open |
| Chiko CHIKO | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Korean | 4040 Campbell Ave | open |
| China House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 2249 S Shirlington Rd Ste B | open |
| Copperwood Tavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 4021 Campbell Ave | open |
| Corso Italian | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 4024 Campbell Ave | open |
| Dak Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4040 Campbell Ave | open | |
| Dc Ben & Jerry's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2701 S Oakland St Ste C | open | |
| Delia’s Arlington | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 2931 S Glebe Rd | open |
| District Dumplings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2923 S Glebe Rd | open |
| Dudley's Sport and Ale | Bar | 2766 S Arlington Mill Dr | open | |
| Extra Virgin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 4053 Campbell Ave | open |
| Green Valley Pharmacy | Bar | 2415 S Shirlington Rd | open | |
| Guapo's Guapo's Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4028 Campbell Ave | open |
| Hackney Food Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2680 S Shirlington Rd | open | |
| Hula Girl Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific | 4044 Campbell Ave | open |
| I-CE-NY Arlington | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4150 Campbell Ave Ste 101 | open |
| Ichiban Sushi & Ramen - Arlington Ichiban Sushi Indonesia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4251 Campbell Ave | open |
| Jd Sisters Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4044 Campbell Ave | open | |
| Jeni's Splendid Ice Creams Jeni's Splendid Ice Creams | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 4150 Campbell Ave | open |
| Johnny Rockets | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4251 Campbell Ave | open |
| Kovi Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 2921 S Glebe Rd | open |
| La Sarita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Burgers | 2300 24th Rd S | open |
| Las Brasas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Steakhouse · Chicken / wings | 4154 S Four Mile Run Dr | open |
| Lotus Vietnamese Grill & Noodles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4041 Campbell Ave | open | |
| Luna Grill & Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4024 Campbell Ave | open |
| Mason's Famous Lobster Rolls Mason's Famous Lobster Rolls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Sandwiches · American | 4017A Campbell Ave | open |
| Medi Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4037 Campbell Ave | open | |
| Moby Dick House of Kabob Moby Dick House of Kabob | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 4037 Campbell Ave | open |
| Monument Restaurant and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2480 S Glebe Rd | open | |
| Nana Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1334 28th St S | open |
| New District Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 2709 S Oakland St | open | |
| Osteria Da Nino Italian Ristorante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 2900 S Quincy St | open |
| Our Mom Eugenia - Shirlington | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4044 Campbell Ave | open | |
| Padaek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 2931 S Glebe Rd | open |
| Palette 22 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas · American | 4053 Campbell Ave | open |
| Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4115 Campbell Ave | open |
| Ping by Charlie Chiang's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4060 Campbell Ave | open |
| Pizza Pie Me | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 2249 Shirlington Rd Ste E | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 4675 King St | open |
| Pretty Sweet Bakery | Dessert | Dessert | 2555 S Glebe Rd | open |
| Pupatella Management, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2700 S Quincy St Ste 210 | open | |
| Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 4115 Campbell Ave | open |
| Samuel Beckett's Irish Gastro Pub | Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food | 2800 S Randolph St #110 | open |
| Shirlington Halal Pizza Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 2534 S Shirlington Rd | open |
| Simmer | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 3870 S Four Mile Run Dr | open | |
| Soul Sista’s And The Brotha | Food truck | open | ||
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2925 S Glebe Rd | open |
| Stellina Pizzeria Stellina Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2800 S Randolph St Ste 130 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2774 S Arlington Mill Dr #51 | open |
| SweetFrog Arlington at S. Glebe Rd | Other · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2931 S Glebe Rd | open |
| Sy Food Incorporated | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2249 S Shirlington Rd Ste B | open | |
| T.h.a.i. Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4029 Campbell Ave | open | |
| T.H.A.I. in Shirlington | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 4029 Campbell Ave | open |
| Taco Bamba Shirlington Taco Bamba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4041 Campbell Ave | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 4681 King St | open |
| Tazza Kitchen Arlington Ridge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2931 S Glebe Rd | open | |
| Tgi Friday's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3400 S Four Mile Run Dr | open |
| Weenie Beenie | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2680 S Shirlington Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5050 Chesterfield Rd. | open |
| Woodstock Cafe | Café | Coffee | 2800 S Shirlington Rd | open |
| Yogi Castle | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 4014 Campbell Ave | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 4250 Campbell Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 18 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 20 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 23 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 23 | 21 | 15 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 24 | 21 | 15 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 25 | 21 | 15 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 28 | 24 | 16 | 8 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 31 | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 30 | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 30 | 25 | 16 | 8 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 35 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 38 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 36 | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 36 | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 35 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 37 | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 43 | 35 | 13 | 17 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 40 | 17 | 17 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |