BMIE Market 22305
Alexandria city, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,214 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,148 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,681 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±499 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 15,440 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,863 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $113,537 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,086 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,902 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±80 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $864,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,372 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 22305 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 19.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +10.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -8.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +93.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 29 (range 25–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 22305. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 82.9 | 83 | 40% | +33.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63.1 | 63 | 35% | +22.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 40.7 | 41 | 25% | +10.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,214 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 113,537 | 88 | 40% | +35.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,681 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 10.7 | 55 | 35% | +19.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.0 | 43 | 25% | +10.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,214 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 113,537 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 10.7 | 55 | 30% | +16.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -8.8 | 17 | 20% | +3.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (84)
By cuisine
American 14 · Coffee 11 · Pizza 11 · Bakery 10 · Latin American (other) 7 · Chicken / wings 5 · Chinese 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Italian 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · African 2 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Seafood 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Vietnamese 2 · BBQ 1 · French 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Quick service 16 · Bakery 11 · Casual dining 9 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 5 · Bar 4 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| &pizza &pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3525 Richmond Hwy | open |
| 24 Express Food Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4007 Mt Vernon Ave #24 | open |
| 2D Noodles | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 3823 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| American Rotisserie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · BBQ | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 3325 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3325 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| Big Daddy's Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Boardwalk Fresh Burgers & Fries | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Caffe Utopia | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | African · Coffee | 410 E Glebe Rd | open |
| Caffé Utopia And Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 410 W Glebe Rd | open | |
| CAVA CAVA | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 3525 Richmond Highway | open |
| Chez Andree | Restaurant (service type not stated) | French | 10 E Glebe Rd | open |
| China Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1039 W Glebe Rd | open |
| China House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4110 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3425 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Chiri Lagua Pollo & Steak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 4112 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| DC Pizza & Kabob | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Middle Eastern | 3406 Commonwealth Ave | open |
| Del Merei Grille | Café | Coffee | 3106 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| District Biscuit Company Maple Street Biscuit Company | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee · American | 3401 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| DMV Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3406 Commonwealth Ave | open |
| Dolce Mia Desserts | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1033 W Glebe Rd K114 | open |
| Don Pablo's Mexican Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3525 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| Ease Yoga & Cafe | Café | Coffee | 3051 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| El Cuscatleco Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 3819 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| El Pulgarcito Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 3838 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Fanaticos Sports Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Latin American (other) | 3901 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3525 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Four Mile Food Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open | |
| Hebir Exotic Ethiopian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 410 E Glebe Rd | open |
| Hector's Place | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 3112 Mount Vernon Ave # 22305-2639 | open |
| Hops Grill & Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3625 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open | |
| Hops N Shine | Quick service · Bar · Casual dining | Chicken / wings · American · Pizza | 3410 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Huascaran | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian | 208 W Glebe Rd | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 3425-A Richmond Hwy | open |
| Jerry Chen Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 3830 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Jet's Pizza Jet's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6 E Glebe Rd | open |
| Just Pupusas | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Latin American (other) · American | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Jyoti Indian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| la feria bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 3858 Mount Vernon Ave. | open |
| Ladda Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Little Fiamma | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Marcela's Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · American | 3856 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Marino's Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 3100 Richmond Hwy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 121 W Glebe Rd Unit 5032 | open |
| Meridian Place Foods Group Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10 E Glebe Rd | open | |
| My Bakery & Cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 3839 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Northside 10 | Casual dining · Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 10 E Glebe Rd | open |
| NuVegan Cafe | Café | Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Oh Poke | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Old Alexandria Food Service Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3100 Richmond Hwy | open | |
| Orkney Springs Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 3125 Mt Vernon Ave | open | |
| P Y Pancakes, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3425A Richmond Hwy | open | |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4106 mount vernon ave | open |
| Pardon My Cheesesteak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3425-A Richmond Highway | open |
| Pasta Shop Alexandria | Delivery-focused | Italian | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Pho Saigon 8 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 3819 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1049 W Glebe Rd Alexandria City | open |
| Po Siam Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3807 Mount Vernon Ave | open | |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3402 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Potomac Yards &pizza | Quick service | 3525 Richmond Highway | open | |
| Project Shawarma | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Ricky's Sports Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 4124 Mt Vernon Ave | open | |
| RT's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3804 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Saladworks Saladworks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Fast casual | Mediterranean · Healthy / salads / bowls · Greek | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Señora Lola Taquería | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3901 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Shiekh & Associates Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1025 W Glebe Rd | open | |
| South Block South Block | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 3051 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 3101 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 3101 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 621 E Glebe Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3825 Jefferson Davis Hwy Ste B | open |
| Taso's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Pizza | 1041 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp | Quick service | 3425A Richmond Hwy | open | |
| Tiger Market & Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 3903 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Togo's | Bakery | Bakery | 3325 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Toppers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Pizza | 3827 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Veronica's Bakery and Cafe Veronica's Bakery and Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Latin American (other) · Coffee | 4116 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Vocelli Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3406 Commonwealth Ave | open |
| Waffle Shop | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 3864 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Wing Zone Wing Zone | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 4110 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Xi’an Famous Foods Alexandria @Four Mile Food Co [DOORDASH ONLY] | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1033 W Glebe Rd Unit K119 | open |
| Your Daily Macros | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 1033 W Glebe Rd | open |
| Sake Express Japanese Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 3823 Mt Vernon Ave | closed |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 3829 Mount Vernon Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 14 | 14 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 20 | 13 | 7 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 25 | 15 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 30 | 30 | 19 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 34 | 34 | 17 | 16 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 34 | 34 | 16 | 16 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 37 | 37 | 18 | 17 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 36 | 35 | 19 | 15 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 35 | 35 | 18 | 15 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 34 | 34 | 19 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 32 | 32 | 17 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 12 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 13 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 28 | 14 | 13 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 17 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 17 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 28 | 13 | 14 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 29 | 29 | 12 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 28 | 27 | 11 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 29 | 28 | 11 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 32 | 31 | 11 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2022 |