BMIE Market 22303
Fairfax County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 16,922 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,273 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±457 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 12,601 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,858 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $103,656 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,308 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,080 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $552,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,980 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 21 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 22303 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +10.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -4.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -8.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -30.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 20 (range 17–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 22303. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 81.1 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.5 | 55 | 35% | +19.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 43.9 | 44 | 25% | +11.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 16,922 | 79 | 40% | +31.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 103,656 | 83 | 40% | +33.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,273 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -4.6 | 21 | 35% | +7.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.4 | 63 | 25% | +15.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 16,922 | 79 | 20% | +15.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 103,656 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 10.5 | 68 | 50% | +34.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -4.6 | 21 | 30% | +6.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -8.7 | 17 | 20% | +3.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (46)
By cuisine
Pizza 7 · Mexican 6 · American 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Asian 4 · Italian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Bakery 3 · Chinese 3 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Peruvian 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 5 · Bar 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jefes | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2249 Huntington Ave | open |
| Abis Carry Out Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 5838 N Kings Hwy | open |
| Balkan Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · European | 5902 N Kings Hwy | open |
| Bob and Edith's Diner Bob & Edith's DINER | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5918 N Kings Hwy | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks and Wings Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 6307-F Richmond Hwy | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 6307-F Richmond Hwy | open |
| Chicken Boxx | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2303 Huntington Ave | open | |
| Chico Halal Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern | 2245 Huntington Ave | open |
| Chin's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6136 N Kings Hwy | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 6228 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5836 N Kings Highway | open |
| El Paso Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6151 Richmond Hwy | open | |
| El Paso Rt1 Alexandria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6151 Richmond Hwy | open |
| El Pollo Peruano El Pollo Loco Reynosa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Peruvian · Chicken / wings | 5834 N Kings Hwy | open |
| El Rancho Latin Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 5834 N Kings Hwy | open |
| Great American Steak & Buffet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5902 Richmond Hwy | open | |
| Haymi Bbq & International Grocery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6130 N Kings Hwy | open | |
| Helena's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5735 Telegraph Rd | open |
| JAWA Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 5952 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Juliano's Pizzeria &pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 5950 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Ken's Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 2256 Huntington Ave | open |
| KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot KPOT Korean BBQ & Hot Pot-Orlando,FL | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Chinese · BBQ · Asian | 6224A N Kings Hwy # C | open |
| Las Catrachitas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 2303 Huntington Ave | open |
| Las Vegas Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mexican | 6151 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Mama Mia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza · Italian · Burgers | 2259 Huntington Ave | open |
| Marino's Pizza and Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6100 Richmond Hwy | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6239 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Montebello Market and Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5905 Mt Eagle Dr | open |
| New China Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5910 N Kings Hwy | open |
| Old Chicago Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2245 Huntington Ave | open |
| Panadería Argentina La Gloria | Bakery | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 6100 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6301 b richmond hwy | open |
| Petra, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2260 Huntington Ave | open | |
| Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2304-B Huntington Ave | open |
| PJ's Coffee PJ's Coffee of Hammond | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Breakfast | 6220 N Kings Hwy | open |
| Snowcone and Fruits | Food truck · Quick service | 6151 Richmond Hwy | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5836 N. Kings Hwy Suite A | open |
| Taj of India | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Asian | 6027 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Tango Pastry | Bakery | Bakery | 6100 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Tippy's Taco House Tippy's Taco, Centreville | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5912 N Kings Hwy | open |
| Twin Apple | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 6038 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Viet House Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 6226 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Voila Pastry & Cafe | Bakery | Bakery | 5908 N Kings Hwy | open |
| Washington Management Corporation | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5905 Mount Eagle Dr | open | |
| Wnb Factory - Wings & Burger | Quick service | 5952 Richmond Hwy | open | |
| Zelda's NoVa Soul | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5902 Mount Eagle Dr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 30 | 30 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 26 | 26 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 26 | 26 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 23 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 23 | 23 | 12 | 11 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 22 | 12 | 10 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 24 | 23 | 13 | 10 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 11 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 25 | 24 | 10 | 14 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 24 | 23 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 25 | 24 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 23 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 23 | 22 | 10 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 25 | 25 | 11 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 25 | 25 | 11 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 23 | 23 | 9 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 21 | 8 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 23 | 8 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 23 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 20 | 8 | 12 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 19 | 17 | 8 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 20 | 19 | 6 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 23 | 22 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 23 | 22 | 8 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 23 | 21 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 23 | 21 | 7 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2022 |