BMIE Market 22301
Alexandria city, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,665 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±720 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,988 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,162 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,017 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $194,819 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,328 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,454 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±127 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,027,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±53,488 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 22301 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 22.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -6.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +19.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +72.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +181.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 30 (range 24–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 22301. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 85.0 | 85 | 40% | +34.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64.3 | 64 | 35% | +22.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 44.6 | 45 | 25% | +11.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,665 | 75 | 40% | +30.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 194,819 | 99 | 40% | +39.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,988 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 19.2 | 62 | 35% | +21.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 22.7 | 31 | 25% | +7.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,665 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 194,819 | 99 | 20% | +19.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -6.1 | 22 | 50% | +10.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 19.2 | 62 | 30% | +18.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 72.2 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (70)
By cuisine
American 13 · Pizza 9 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 7 · Italian 7 · Mexican 5 · Asian 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Dessert 3 · Japanese 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · French 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 52 · Bar 11 · Bakery 8 · Café 7 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al's Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Sandwiches · American | 1504 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| America's Best Wings America's Best Wings | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 2320 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Aspen on the Avenue | Bar | 2312 Mount Vernon Ave | open | |
| Bagel Uprising | Bakery | Bakery | 2307A Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Baker's Bread, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1508 Mount Vernon Ave | open | |
| Bark Social | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 529 E Howell Ave | open |
| Bella Napoli | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1310 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Bingo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 428 Hume Ave | open | |
| Bombay Curry Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 2607 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Caboose Cafe & Bakery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Seafood · Bakery | 2419 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Charlie’s On The Avenue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1501 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Del Ray Cafe | Café | French · European · Coffee | 205 E Howell Ave | open |
| Del Ray Cigars & More | Bar | 2104 Mount Vernon Ave | open | |
| Del Ray Pizzeria & Draft House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2218 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Dos Hermanos Fine Tex Mex | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 1603 Commonwealth Ave | open |
| Dsa Phase 1 Beer Hall, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2000 Mount Vernon Ave | open | |
| Express Subs & Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches | 2320 Jefferson Davis Hwy | open |
| Fireflies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1501 Mount Vernon Ave | open | |
| Flatop Burger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 529 E Howell Ave | open |
| Flavor of Mexico | Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Mexican | 426 E Monroe Ave | open |
| Founding Farmers Alexandria Founding Farmers | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | American · Coffee | 461 Swann Ave | open |
| Gustave Boulangerie | Bakery · Café | Bakery · French · Coffee | 2213 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Hi-Fi Tex-Mex BBQ | Café · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Coffee · BBQ · American | 2000 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Holy Cow | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 2312 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Junction Bakery & Bistro | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1508 Mt Vernon Ave #1718 | open |
| Just Fine Donuts | Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery · American | 2310 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| La Bergerie Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 205 E Howell Ave | open | |
| La Chiquita Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 529 E Howell | open |
| Lena's Wood-Fired Pizza & Tap | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 401 E Braddock Rd | open |
| Live Oak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1603 Commonwealth Ave | open |
| Los Tios Grill Los Tios Grill of Van Dorn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 2615 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Mama Reacer’s Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1606 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Market 2 Market | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 116 E Del Ray Ave | open |
| Matt and Tony's All Day Kitchen and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1501 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Monroe's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1603 Commonwealth Ave | open |
| Nectar Coffee and Wine Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 106 Hume Ave | open |
| Neighborhood Restaurant Group | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2000 Mount Vernon Ave | open | |
| Pak Soii Izakaya & Bar | Casual dining · Bar | Japanese · Sushi | 1909 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Pickett &pizza | Quick service | 9476 Main St #2 | open | |
| Piece Out Del Ray | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 2419 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Pork Barrel BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | BBQ | 2312 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Port City Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 2308 Mt Vernon Ave | open | |
| Rolling Sloanes Bakery KARACHI BAKERY | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 219 E Bellefonte Ave | open |
| Rosemarino D'italia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1905 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Rosemont Cellar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 2 E Walnut St | open |
| Sam’s Pizza Cafe’ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Pizza · American | 428 Hume Ave | open |
| Shakthi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3807 Mt Vernon Ave | open | |
| Sicilian Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 446 Calvert Ave | open |
| Skålbar | Bar | 21 E Bellefonte Ave | open | |
| Smallcakes Cupcakery & Creamery | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert | 1506 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| South China | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1302 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| St. John's Community Services Tennessee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2000 Mount Vernon Ave | open | |
| Stomping Ground | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2309 Mount Vernon Ave | open | |
| Stracci Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 106 Hume Ave | open |
| Superior Bed Bug Solutions | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 118 E Del Ray Ave | open | |
| Swing's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 501 E Monroe Ave | open |
| Taqueria el Poblano Taqueria Poblano Del Ray | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2400B Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Thai Peppers Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2018 Mount Vernon Ave | open | |
| The Big Greek Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 2732 Richmond Hwy | open |
| The Front Porch | Bar · Casual dining | American | 2006 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| The Garden | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 1503 Mt Vernon Ave | open | |
| The Happy Tart Gluten Free Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2307 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| The Reserve | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2216 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| The Sushi Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 2312 Mount Vernon Ave | open |
| Tsim Yung Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2603 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Venezia's Gourmet Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 446 Calvert Ave | open |
| Vocelli Pizza Vocelli Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1607 Commonwealth Ave | open |
| Yates Restaurant Group, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 401 E Braddock Rd | open | |
| Zuki Moon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 1909 Mt Vernon Ave | open |
| Dolce And Bean | Dessert | Dessert | 2003A Mount Vernon Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 16 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 19 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 20 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 22 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 27 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 28 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 32 | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 36 | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 30 | 19 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 33 | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 35 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 38 | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 33 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 26 | 19 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 32 | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |