BMIE Market 22312
Fairfax County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 26,768 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,630 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,462 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±561 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 30,614 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,919 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $109,272 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,730 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,020 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±99 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $604,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,397 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 45 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 22312 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +18.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +60.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 49 (range 42–56) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 22312. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 86.4 | 86 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.3 | 53 | 35% | +18.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 24.3 | 24 | 25% | +6.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 26,768 | 86 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 109,272 | 86 | 40% | +34.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,462 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 35% | +7.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.8 | 47 | 25% | +11.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 26,768 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 109,272 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -10 | 19 | 50% | +9.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.3 | 20 | 30% | +6.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 18.4 | 45 | 20% | +8.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (86)
By cuisine
Asian 11 · American 9 · Sandwiches 8 · Chicken / wings 7 · Bakery 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Thai 6 · Coffee 5 · Mexican 5 · Middle Eastern 4 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Korean 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Pizza 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Vietnamese 2 · African 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Indian 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 61 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 6 · Bar 5 · Café 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afghan Restaurant Authentic Cuisine & Sheeryakh | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 6244 Little River Tpke | open |
| Akeno Sushi Bar and Thai Alexandria AKENO Sushi Bar at Annandale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian | 6550 Little River Turnpike Unit F | open |
| America's Best Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 6244-F Little River Turnpike | open |
| America's Best Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · Halal / kosher | 6244-F Little River Turnpike | open |
| Andalusia Lounge | Bar · Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 6239 Little River Turnpike | open |
| Arby's Arby's | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 4817 Beauregard St Beauregard Street & N Chambliss Street | open |
| Barnside Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 6306 Little River Tpke | open |
| Baskin-robbins Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee · Dessert | 6451 Edsall Rd | open |
| Boston Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4809 Beauregard St | open |
| Bren Mar Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5614 General Washington Dr | open |
| Cake Affair Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6548C Little River Tpke | open | |
| Cakes by Long | Bakery | Bakery | 4724 Edwards St | open |
| Chef Guo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 6259 Little River Tpke | open |
| Cherokee Café | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5510 Cherokee Ave | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6242 Little River Tpke Ste A | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6550 Little River Turnpike, Unit #I | open |
| Couscous Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6310 Mayapple Pl | open | |
| Edsall Road Mobil Service | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6451 Edsall Rd | open |
| Effie's Place | Bakery · Catering | Bakery | 6441 General Green Way | open |
| Enat Ethiopian cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 4709 N Chambliss St | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6550-H Little River Turnpike | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 6546 Little River Tpke | open |
| Flippin' Pizza Annandale | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6544 Little River Tpke | open |
| Fortune Cha | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 6231 Little River Tpke | open |
| Foxfire Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6550 Little River Tpke | open |
| Gogi Friends | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Korean · Asian | 6231 Little River Tpke | open |
| Halal Kabab House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher | 6245 Little River Turnpike | open |
| Heebeen Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean | 6231 Little River Tpke | open |
| honeygrow | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6464 Lincolnia Rd Ste A | open | |
| Hot Lola's Alexandria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6544 Little River Tpke Unit A | open | |
| Hunan Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6550 Little River Turnpike Unit #D | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 6254 Duke St | open |
| IndAroma - Modern Casual Indian | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Indian · Bakery | 6548C Little River Turnpike | open |
| Jollibee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4809 Beauregard Street | open |
| Ju Mak Jip | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 6531C Little River Turnpike | open |
| Jung & Kim Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5601F General Washington Dr | open | |
| Justa's Chicken Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4711 N Chambliss St | open |
| Kajiken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho | 6550 Little River Tpke | open |
| Kfc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6227 Little River Tpke | open |
| Kim Tran Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 6431 Lincolnia Rd | open |
| Ksp Management Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5614 General Washington Dr | open | |
| Kyo Matcha | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6550 Little River Tpke | open |
| Landmark Kabob Bazaar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6230 Little River Tpke | open | |
| Liberty Management And Services Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5515 Cherokee Ave Ste 400 | open | |
| Linjee Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 6244-K Little River Turnpike | open |
| Maguey Taqueria Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 4711 N Chambliss St | open |
| Mama's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Spanish / tapas | 6257 Little River Turnpike | open |
| Marky's Munchery | Food truck · Quick service | Hot dogs | 6555 Little River Turnpike | open |
| Maurice Pastries | Bakery | Bakery | 5702 General Washington Dr Ste A | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Burgers · American | 6302 Little River Tpke | open |
| Menchie's Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6550F Little River Tpke | open |
| Panaderia Latina | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 6251 Little River Tpke | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 5578 Vincent Gate Terrace | open |
| Pho Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 6237 Little River Tpke | open |
| Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6303 Little River Tpke | open |
| Quickway Quickway Japanese Hibachi Carter's Crossing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Asian | 6242C Little River Turnpike | open |
| Rita's Water Ice | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6242 Little River Tpke | open |
| Roro's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 5655 General Washington Dr | open |
| Royal Palace Kabob | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 6301 Little River Tpke | open |
| sam thana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 6244 LITTLE RIVER TRNPK, Unit K | open |
| Senzu Juicery | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 6200 Little River Tpke | open |
| Sheger Hookah Lounge | Bar | 4705 N Chambliss St | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6552-B Little River Turnpike | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6200 Little River Turnpike | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6224 Little River Turnpike | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5601 General Washington Drive Unit D | open |
| Sugar Palm Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 5580 Vincent Gate Ter | open |
| Super Pollo | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6464 Lincolnia Rd | open |
| Szechuan Delight | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6238 Little River Turnpike | open |
| Taco Bamba Landmark Taco Bamba | Bar | Mexican | 6259 Little River Tpke | open |
| Taco Rock - Alexandria Taco RocK | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6550 Little River Turnpike Spc 50 | open |
| Tempt Asian Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 6259 Little River Tpke | open |
| Thai at Landmark | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 6244K Little River Tpke | open |
| The Block | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Latin American (other) | 6445 2nd St | open |
| Time Cafe And Market Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4701 N Chambliss St # A | open | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 6552 Little River Tpke | open |
| TYT Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 5701 General Washington Dr | open |
| Valentino’s Pizzeria & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4813 Beauregard St | open |
| Viva Tequila | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6244 Little River Tpke Ste C | open |
| Wildfire Restaurant Tyson Corner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Seafood | open | |
| Win Buffet | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6244 Little River Tpke | open | |
| Yamazato | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Thai · Sushi | 6303 Little River Tpke | open |
| Yoon Lincoln Towers, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6303 Little River Tpke | open | |
| King Of Pita Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 6460 General Green Way | closed |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6226 Little River Tpke | closed |
| Red Crab Juicy Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet | Seafood · Asian | 6244 Little River Tpke | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 28 | 28 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 31 | 31 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 29 | 29 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 41 | 41 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 40 | 36 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 36 | 33 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 38 | 35 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 43 | 37 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 40 | 36 | 16 | 14 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 41 | 38 | 12 | 22 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 41 | 37 | 12 | 21 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 42 | 39 | 14 | 22 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 44 | 41 | 14 | 22 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 42 | 37 | 11 | 23 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 49 | 44 | 12 | 29 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 53 | 47 | 14 | 27 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 54 | 49 | 16 | 29 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 51 | 47 | 14 | 28 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 51 | 46 | 14 | 26 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 53 | 48 | 14 | 27 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 53 | 48 | 16 | 25 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 49 | 45 | 16 | 22 | 6 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 53 | 48 | 16 | 26 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 57 | 52 | 19 | 28 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 54 | 50 | 19 | 27 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 53 | 48 | 16 | 28 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 48 | 43 | 16 | 24 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 58 | 53 | 21 | 29 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 58 | 53 | 22 | 29 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 50 | 45 | 17 | 27 | — | — | NAICS2022 |