BMIE Market 22315
Fairfax County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 30,404 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,927 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,539 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±669 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 26,202 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,988 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $159,805 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,962 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,519 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±135 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $618,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,777 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 57 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 22315 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 17.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +1.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +21.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +78.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +5,600.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 59 (range 53–66) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 22315. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 92.1 | 92 | 40% | +36.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69.9 | 70 | 35% | +24.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 63.7 | 64 | 25% | +15.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 30,404 | 89 | 40% | +35.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 159,805 | 97 | 40% | +38.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,539 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.3 | 64 | 35% | +22.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 18.8 | 41 | 25% | +10.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 30,404 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 159,805 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 1.8 | 58 | 50% | +29.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.3 | 64 | 30% | +19.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 78.1 | 77 | 20% | +15.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (91)
By cuisine
American 12 · Asian 9 · Coffee 9 · Pizza 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Dessert 7 · Italian 7 · Chicken / wings 6 · BBQ 5 · Burgers 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 4 · Chinese 4 · Mediterranean 4 · Mexican 4 · Middle Eastern 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sushi 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Greek 2 · Korean 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Thai 2 · Vietnamese 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · French 1 · Indian 1 · Peruvian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 60 · Quick service 18 · Dessert 8 · Bar 7 · Café 7 · Bakery 5 · Casual dining 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Fast casual 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| &pizza &pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5926 Kingstowne Towne Ctr Ste 110 | open |
| Aditi Indian Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 5926 Kingstowne Blvd #150 | open |
| APlus at Sunoco | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5800 Kingstowne Ctr | open |
| baddpizza - Hilltop baddpizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6453 Old Beulah St | open |
| Baytna Mediterranean Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 6468 Landsdowne Ctr | open |
| Bob & Edith’s Diner - Hilltop Village Bob & Edith's DINER | Casual dining | Middle Eastern · American | 6451 Old Beulah St | open |
| Bonefish Grill Bonefish Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 5920 Kingstowne Town Center | open |
| Bruster's Real Ice Cream Bruster's Real Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6463 Old Beulah St | open |
| Buccino's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6410 Landsdowne Ctr | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5890 Kingstowne Towne Ctr | open |
| Burtons Grill & Bar Burtons Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6452 Old Beulah St | open |
| Cava CAVA | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Mediterranean · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5965 Kingstowne Towne Ctr Suite 100 | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches · American | 5885 Kingstowne Blvd | open |
| Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks | Quick service | Sandwiches | 5885 KINGSTOWNE BOULEVARD | open |
| Chi Mc Chicken & Beer | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean | 6410 Landsdowne Ctr | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 5808 Kingstowne Ctr | open |
| Chick-Fil-A | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | Kingstowneinlinedt 5808Kingstownectr Alexandria Va | open |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6250 Inter Parcel Rd. | open |
| China Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 6426 Landsdowne Centre Dr | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5955 Kingstowne Towne Ctr Ste 160 | open |
| Chopt Creative Salad Company Chopt | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls | 5926 Kingstowne Towne Ctr #120 | open |
| Coco Loco Lounge | Bar | 5608 Ashfield Rd | open | |
| Coffee In | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Middle Eastern | 6434 Landsdowne Centre Dr | open |
| Crumbl - Kingstowne Crumbl Cookies | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 5810 Kingstowne Towne Ctr, Ste 100 | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5810 Kingstowne Ctr Ste 150 5810 Kingstowne Ctr Ste 150 | open |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6446 Landsdowne Ctr | open |
| Dickey's Barbecue Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 6451 Old Beulah St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 5960 Kingstowne Center Drive | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 7710 Telegraph Rd | open |
| EL Fogón- Authentic Mexican Tacos - Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 7554 Telegraph Rd | open |
| Fiona's Irish Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 5810 Kingstowne Ctr #160 | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5900 Kingstowne Towne Center Suite 120 | open |
| Four Seasons Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5960 Kingstowne Towne Ctr Ste 110 | open |
| Hangry Joe's Hot Chicken & Wings Hangry Joe's Hot Chicken & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 6480 Landsdowne Centre Dr | open |
| Hot Bagel | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 7578 Telegraph Rd | open |
| House of Dynasty | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 7550 Telegraph Rd | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 6206 Interparcel Rd | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 5890 Kingstowne Towne Ctr | open |
| Johnny Rockets | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5900 Kingstowne Ctr Ste 100 | open |
| Katana Sushi Restaurant at Virginia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 7588 Telegraph Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5890 Kingstowne Ctr | open |
| King Street Blues | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 5810 Kingstowne Ctr | open |
| Kingstowne &pizza | Quick service | 5926 Kingstowne Center, Suite 110 | open | |
| La Madeleine French Bakery & Café La Madeleine Bakery & Cafe | Café · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Bakery · French · Coffee | 5876 Kingstowne Ctr | open |
| Ledo Pizza Kingstowne, VA Ledo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5890 Kingstowne Towne Ctr | open |
| Little Peru Vian Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6410 Landsdowne circle | open | |
| Market Café | Café | Coffee | 7905 Hilltop Village Center Dr | open |
| Matsui Japanese Sushi & Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 6408 Landsdowne Centre Dr | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · Breakfast | 7580 Telegraph Rd | open |
| Mission BBQ MISSION BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 6482 Landsdowne Centre Dr | open |
| Moby Dick House of Kabob Moby Dick House of Kabob | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 5900 Kingstowne Towne Ctr | open |
| Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 7869 Heneska Loop | open |
| Namlan | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Vietnamese · Asian | 6406 Landsdowne Ctr | open |
| Noodles & Company Noodles & Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho · American | 5900 Kingstowne Blvd | open |
| Olympians Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Italian | 6430 Landsdowne Center Dr | open |
| Osaka Japanese Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 5860 Kingstowne Ctr | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 6477 Old Beulah St | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 5926 Kingstowne Towne Center | open |
| Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 5860 Kingstowne Towne Ctr | open |
| Pasara Thai Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 5926 Kingstowne Towne Ctr | open |
| Peri Peri Original | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6456 Old Beulah St | open |
| Pho Ngon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 5810 Kingstowne Towne Ctr #140 | open |
| Pica Taco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Indian | 6480 Landsdowne Ctr | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | 5926 Kingstowne Towne Ctr Ste 150 | open | |
| Puzukan Korean BBQ Bowl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · BBQ · Asian | 6464 Landsdowne Center Dr | open |
| Red Hot & Blue - Barbecue, Burgers & Blues | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 6482 Landsdowne Ctr | open |
| Rice & Spice Thai Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 6466 Landsdowne Center Dr | open |
| Rita's Italian Ice and Frozen Custard Rita's Italian Ice & Frozen Custard | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7592 Telegraph Rd | open |
| Rita’s of Alexandria VA Rita's Italian Ice | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | open | |
| Robeks Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 5824 Kingstowne Ctr | open |
| Romano's Macaroni Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5925 Kingstowne Towne Ctr | open |
| Roze's Caravan Sarai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6410 Landsdowne Ctr | open | |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6601 S Van Dorn St | open | |
| Shah Paran Corp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6446 Landsdowne Ctr | open | |
| Smashburger Smashburger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5920 Kingstowne Center #120 | open |
| Smyrna Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Middle Eastern · Mediterranean | 7588 Telegraph Rd | open |
| Spin Pollo Kingstowne | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings | 5942 Kingstowne Blvd | open |
| Spring Season Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6426 Landsdowne Ctr | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5980 Kingstowne Village Pkwy | open |
| Stone Hot Pizza Alexandria Stone Hot Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7578 Telegraph Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5810 Kingstowne Ctr Dr Building D Ste 130 | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 7566 Telegraph Rd | open |
| sweetFrog sweetFrog Premium Frozen Yogurt | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5926 Kingstowne Towne Ctr #170 | open |
| Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp | Quick service | 6206 Inter Parcel Rd | open | |
| The Burger Shack The Burger Shack | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 6468 Landsdowne Center Dr | open |
| The Greene Turtle Sports Bar & Grille | Bar | 7879 Heneska Loop | open | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 6424 Landsdowne Center Dr | open |
| UNO Pizzeria & Grill Uno Pizzeria & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5935 Kingstowne Towne Ctr | open |
| Virginia Wineries | Winery / distillery / taproom | 7503 Berwick Ct | open | |
| Weenie Beenie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 6606 Castle Bar Ct | open |
| Yahoo Deli And Food Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6420 Landsdowne Ctr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 20 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 29 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 33 | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 36 | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 38 | 37 | 18 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 40 | 40 | 20 | 15 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 39 | 39 | 19 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 43 | 43 | 20 | 16 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 46 | 46 | 20 | 20 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 47 | 47 | 24 | 18 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 45 | 45 | 20 | 20 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 49 | 49 | 22 | 21 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 48 | 47 | 22 | 19 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 51 | 49 | 21 | 22 | 6 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 51 | 50 | 21 | 19 | 10 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 56 | 55 | 23 | 21 | 11 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 59 | 58 | 24 | 26 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 57 | 56 | 22 | 26 | 8 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 57 | 56 | 24 | 25 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 57 | 55 | 24 | 24 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 56 | 52 | 23 | 23 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 56 | 52 | 23 | 23 | 6 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 61 | 57 | 24 | 26 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |